Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQOTH:AVRNQ.PK)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

The Company and its subsidiaries, is a producer and marketer of ethanol in the United States.

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Member Avatar Stoat1004 (56.44) Submitted: 7/29/2008 3:22:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.61 AVRNQ.PK Score: -104.70

Let's face it, corn based ethanol has been beat up pretty bad lately. Not only is the political future of subsidies for domestic production and tariffs on brazilian imports being reexamined but the industry has been under an impressive margin squeeze as ethanol pricing relative to corn has not been favorable. How much worse can it get? Expect margins to improve during the second half of '08 and any political compromise reached regarding ethanol subsidies and mandates will still provide incentives for domestic production. AVR is probably the best in breed when it comes to US corn based ethanol producers and will outperform both it's peers and the SP500 for the remainder of the year. Resistence at $8 to 8.50 a share and a price target of $11 this year. Buy on weakness $5.50 - $6.50 if the oportunity presents itself.

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Member Avatar dannp (63.47) Submitted: 7/21/2008 5:45:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.70 AVRNQ.PK Score: -105.41

I look for companies dealing with ethanol and soy diesel products to become very valuable as our country and it's people try to get away from our dependance on foreign oil.

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Member Avatar chcarlson (94.18) Submitted: 7/16/2008 1:53:58 AM : Underperform Start Price: $4.76 AVRNQ.PK Score: +107.03

Ethanol will go nowhere. It's not cost effective, and people have caught on to that fact.

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Member Avatar calrose12 (72.66) Submitted: 6/13/2008 10:08:36 PM : Underperform Start Price: $4.74 AVRNQ.PK Score: +95.55

Rising corn prices are going to make it tougher to offer ethanol at a competitive price

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Member Avatar theinsideskinny (< 20) Submitted: 5/23/2008 6:59:52 AM : Outperform Start Price: $5.48 AVRNQ.PK Score: -94.29

I believe that AVR is one renewable energy stoke that has been beaten down but still has potential for growth. It is no surprise that the production of ethanol puts a strain on the corn industry so I believe that the companies are going to continue research to develop ways of producing renewable energy. We depend on man to create the ingredients for beer and I certainly do not see a beer shortage.

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Member Avatar handoverhill (< 20) Submitted: 5/5/2008 8:56:14 AM : Outperform Start Price: $5.52 AVRNQ.PK Score: -92.87

Thsi stock will be doing good even if it's revenues for December 31, 2007 decreased by 1% and it's net income decreased 38% and the revenues reflect a lower number of gallons marketed and a decline in the average sales price of ethnoal. This stock is in the basic materails sector and is in the chemical manufacturing industry.

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Member Avatar lalakskss (< 20) Submitted: 4/29/2008 9:48:25 AM : Underperform Start Price: $4.43 AVRNQ.PK Score: +92.99

Ethanol is disco. Take it out to center field at Comiskey and smash it.

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Member Avatar poorman11 (< 20) Submitted: 4/24/2008 1:40:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.91 AVRNQ.PK Score: -92.64

Contrarian pick to take advantage of investment "group think" that ethanol, as an industry is not viable. Price to sales and price to book lead this to be way oversold. On the speculative side, a boost from politics will ethanol a subject of debate.

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Member Avatar EMG114 (< 20) Submitted: 4/21/2008 3:46:40 PM : Underperform Start Price: $5.32 AVRNQ.PK Score: +96.31

Going down, down. Many investors downgraded this stock as ethanol shares keep declining.

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Member Avatar jrskeen78 (< 20) Submitted: 4/11/2008 2:50:47 PM : Underperform Start Price: $4.27 AVRNQ.PK Score: +96.93

No Pitch just a hunch

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Member Avatar scbeachbum (63.03) Submitted: 2/25/2008 11:01:23 AM : Outperform Start Price: $6.57 AVRNQ.PK Score: -97.36

Right now this stock is trading below what it costs to build new plants. They beat earnings by 11 cents, yet their exposure to auction rate securities rated AAA hammmered the stock. The ARS market will be ok, but more importantly a slew of analysts downgraded at the lows. A company like ADM or other ethanol company would most liklely eye them to buy plants while they are cheap. Although it hurts the longer term holders, somone could offer a nice premium to the current stock price and pick up this company.

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Member Avatar tinyelvis1 (20.30) Submitted: 2/22/2008 3:32:41 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.83 AVRNQ.PK Score: -99.38

Buying on the dip

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Member Avatar Knightmoves63 (30.01) Submitted: 1/10/2008 4:12:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.98 AVRNQ.PK Score: -95.12

Has had a nice uptrend. Good time to buy with oil over 100.00.

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Member Avatar ben392 (20.45) Submitted: 12/15/2007 2:30:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.39 AVRNQ.PK Score: -92.33

For some reason the congress loves ethanol. I personally think that as a fuel ethanol is pretty worthless, but the congress loves it. (They're always ten years behind the rest of us.) Well if congress loves it, the ethanol industry is sure to get huge subsidies in the short term.

Long term, electric and hydrogen cars are going to take over.

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Member Avatar qubit16 (98.06) Submitted: 12/3/2007 9:55:28 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.07 AVRNQ.PK Score: +92.03

od

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Member Avatar milehighfooling (74.89) Submitted: 11/14/2007 5:40:55 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.90 AVRNQ.PK Score: +92.06

Don't cut the mustard regardless how it's sliced.

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Member Avatar Superbrb (< 20) Submitted: 10/8/2007 4:27:51 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.04 AVRNQ.PK Score: -86.60

has enough money to get through these tough times. good value at these prices.

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Member Avatar pilmn52 (< 20) Submitted: 8/30/2007 2:28:44 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.28 AVRNQ.PK Score: -93.43

e85 conversion of auto industry and a massive corn crop

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Member Avatar Doghair101 (21.98) Submitted: 8/13/2007 11:14:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $15.26 AVRNQ.PK Score: -93.61

Ethanol is undervalued and will grow and is a win win for the nation as well

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Member Avatar xac33 (< 20) Submitted: 8/4/2007 12:40:00 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.00 AVRNQ.PK Score: -94.75

One of the more sound ethanol companies, has future plans to move into cellulose ethanol, and is in the camp of "things can only get better from here", high corn prices, low ethanol prices, a beat up sector. The tide will turn soon and AVR may be one of the favorites.

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