Blackberry Ltd. (NASDAQ:BBRY)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

The company behind the BlackBerry, Research In Motion provides a range of wireless hardware, software, and services.

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Member Avatar cmrk3 (40.64) Submitted: 9/13/2014 3:47:36 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.82 BBRY Score: +0.13

iphone 6

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Member Avatar garytrob (< 20) Submitted: 9/8/2014 10:04:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.37 BBRY Score: +5.17

Has nowhere to go but up and they still have a loyal user base

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Member Avatar youngblood58 (24.56) Submitted: 8/21/2014 7:31:55 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.86 BBRY Score: -9.76

If Apple continues to make business deals like they did with IBM, Blackberry will continue to lose "business" users.

They are irrelevant and will probably die within the next year or so. They are the Radio Shack of the phone market.

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Member Avatar learnedall (69.35) Submitted: 8/5/2014 3:11:31 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.29 BBRY Score: -12.52

Global phone saturation paired with uncompetitive product. I knew someone with a blackberry once, and that was 5+ years ago.

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Member Avatar anthan (49.94) Submitted: 7/16/2014 12:10:57 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.36 BBRY Score: -3.64

dead man walking. especially after the IBM apple deal

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Member Avatar reaserman (< 20) Submitted: 7/9/2014 9:31:27 AM : Underperform Start Price: $11.14 BBRY Score: +4.19

Company is burning cash fast while they flail around for a new business model. They have no respect in the marketplace anymore; the Blackberry name is more of an albatross than a legacy. They have not proved that they can innovate in ~8 years.

That said the new CEO is a turnaround guy; always a possibility they latch on to a new viable growth business before the cash runs out.

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Member Avatar TSIF (99.96) Submitted: 6/19/2014 1:24:35 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.37 BBRY Score: -13.88

Blackberry Ltd, has managed to fool the analysts a tad bit of late. CEO Chen has delivered in the cost cutting area and seems focused on carving, (or maintaining) a niche specific to Blackberry among the travel savvy, security conscious business user. It has conceded to allow more compatibility and maybe those execs will have some games to play in their spare time. Chen sees break even to a small profit in the future and that could be a powerful catalyst for share price when it happens. Rumors also abound that Blackberry would still be a good acquisition play for one of the larger players, but betting on that idea is not investing.

My current play is that you can only gain so much by cutting. Moving supply to Foxconn and other initiatives will continue to help, and maybe the trajectory of losses may shallow, and maybe the loss of users may plateau somewhat, but overall, there is not much growth in being a "niche"....eventually, however, the well will dry up. Many around me are now allowing Apple as an option. One phone for home and business is also common.

Good liquidity saved from the heyday is good for now. Pop today is heavy shorts needing to cover, they will reupp....should settle lower in the short run, may bounce if they do get positive earnings, (without the one timers).....long term, negative outlook.

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Member Avatar DocDoo (32.19) Submitted: 6/11/2014 10:18:45 PM : Underperform Start Price: $7.85 BBRY Score: -35.62

Blackberry missed their opportunity.
Revenues fell from 18.4 Bn in 2011 to 6.8 Bn in 2014. in 2013 their net loss was 5.9 Bn.

Their best chance is to find a buyer but they are losing money hand over fist whilst looking for one.

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Member Avatar zzgorch (38.22) Submitted: 5/15/2014 3:51:05 PM : Underperform Start Price: $7.37 BBRY Score: -40.62

Losing virtually all once-held marketshare, all-too-frequent service dropouts, lack of any innovation and increased competition from companies that are beating them in every metric means this stock has nowhere to go but down. I wish I had shorted it years ago when the writing was on the wall.

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Member Avatar GKesarios (< 20) Submitted: 5/2/2014 6:36:47 AM : Outperform Start Price: $7.95 BBRY Score: +30.40

It has a very low Price/Sales ratio compared to similar companies, and if it turns around, I think it can rise 4-5 times its current value over the next several years

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Member Avatar TommyCount (50.12) Submitted: 4/28/2014 1:56:08 PM : Outperform Start Price: $7.26 BBRY Score: +41.75

Will be some corporate operation that will make grow up the stock price

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Member Avatar rubegon (71.42) Submitted: 4/26/2014 3:22:59 AM : Underperform Start Price: $7.40 BBRY Score: -39.86

Blackberry is at the tail end of slide into oblivion. They've lost all relevance and there are no signs this will change.

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Member Avatar fixmsft (< 20) Submitted: 4/23/2014 2:38:12 PM : Underperform Start Price: $7.43 BBRY Score: -39.56

I really think Blackberry is going to underperform for ever because most students in our school is going to use Skout over next couple of weeks which is more suitable for students who love to socialize more and have fun with lightning enabled friends or speedy best friends these days. Number of ultra-powerful and ultra fast best friends in most high schools continue to skyrocket than ever before and most of these students are willing to give up on BBM and move on to iPhones as they continue to be used by every modern lighting enabled families. Please make a official statement that blackberry messenger is not going to succeed because most students are having lots of fun on Snapchat and they will eventually go with iPhones when they start up their business. Most smarty pops (Bestfriends) are opening up their own fun styled businesses every year with new iPhones, powerful Windows 8.x laptops using Intel core i7 processors, Mac book pro with retina displays as well as iMacs and skinny consistently fast touch computers with Intel core i7 processors. These powerful best-friend style companies love iPhones and iPads more than Blackberries because they are garbage. iPhones and lighting fast pc's are the future for modern customers.

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Member Avatar addikt06 (23.40) Submitted: 4/19/2014 11:36:14 PM : Underperform Start Price: $7.16 BBRY Score: -44.45

Clueless CEO setting arbitrary 2-3 year turnaround times... he's got months before this all implodes. Why is he sitting in Silicon Valley? is he shifting BB there? I just don't get this type of management... makes no sense at all.

Blackberry's last hope is to go full Android and become a software company. But quite frankly that's pretty pointless now. The platform wars have been decided and Android / iOS are the winners. There is no room for a #3.

If BB management had a brain they would have spanned BBM across all devices back in 2009... that would make it the king of instant messaging... just that would be worth $19B today.

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Member Avatar GBeni (< 20) Submitted: 3/30/2014 10:39:39 PM : Outperform Start Price: $8.30 BBRY Score: +23.68

qnx

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Member Avatar meridius91 (55.65) Submitted: 3/27/2014 11:43:10 AM : Underperform Start Price: $8.87 BBRY Score: -13.86

They have no market to sell to,only only old customers, a patent portfolio and physical assets. That does not command much value as a stock.

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Member Avatar Sagetology (46.82) Submitted: 3/16/2014 5:42:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.36 BBRY Score: +8.20

Transforming the business from consumer to enterprise and services. Strong opportunity for significant gains. John Chen is a strong leader.

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Member Avatar bformato (< 20) Submitted: 3/12/2014 3:04:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.22 BBRY Score: +10.79

Automotive apps and control of the infotainment stack in cars.

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Member Avatar AndrewGreenBull (99.09) Submitted: 3/12/2014 1:56:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $7.50 BBRY Score: +35.05

buyout

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Member Avatar MKArch (99.75) Submitted: 3/11/2014 10:29:27 AM : Outperform Start Price: $9.56 BBRY Score: +7.26

I lifted the idea from jakilathehun who got it from the Citron Research below. The argument about the shift from devices to Enterprise Software going overlooked makes sense to me but what I know about Enterprise Software and $5.00 will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks. It's worth following in CAPS though.

http://www.citronresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/the-new-bbry-final.pdf

Lesson #2, my watch list in CAPS has done fantastic lately with a number of stocks I found interesting but didn't pull the trigger into full CAPS rec's. I was holding out for a market correction to drive the price of BBRY down and got too cute watching BBRY run up until this pull back put BBRY only 5% higher than my watch list price and 2.5 points in CAPS. It was tempting to hold out for my watch list entry or better but that's just anchoring and this is a good opportunity to train myself to break the "anchoring" bad habit.

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