The Brink's Company (NYSE:BCO)
The Company conducts business in the security industry, principally through its wholly owned subsidiaries, Brink's, Incorporated and Brink's Home Security, Inc.
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GOOD BUSINESS
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This company's forward EV/EBITDA multiple of roughly 3x (even in this environment) is just way to cheap. Taking into account the current difficult economic environment as well as the qualitative and quantitative attributes of this business, a multiple 2x today's seems much more appropriate in my opinion. After all, BCO is a financially strong (debt free), competitively entrenched, relatively recession resistant business that earns solid returns on assets and equity.
In time, I think Mr. market will come to his senses and award a much more rational multiple on this type of business of 6-7x. When he does, investors who purchased at or around today's depressed prices should earn a double or more. Outperform.
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This is a bit of a gamble, but the BHS spinoff could be very profitable.
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Seems well diversified business with solid revenue which will be required irrespective of economic conditions
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Tax-free spin-off to shareholders of two operating subsidiaries could occur. Even so, both subsidiaries are performing well, and Brink's has an excellent cash flow relative to current share price without the spin-off. Potential for shareholder gain either way.
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pressure to spinoff business will lead to increased valuation for both.
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breaking out once goes past resistance
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