Direxion Shares ETF Trust Large Cap Bear 3x (BGZ)

shorting all ultrashorts, bears, or any of these terrible "leveraged" funds.

testing what's been said here on CAPs.
Do shorting all 3x ETFs mean easy net returns?
YES, IF, you rebalance once ratio goes 1.7 (or 1/1.7)

In a sideways or down market this would also translate into net points on CAPs
But your accuracy will be hurting, you'll mostly be 50% accuracy at best on this strat.
Current batch I am redthumbing here on CAPs today (at these levels):
BGU/BGZ
MWJ/MWN
TNA/TZA
FAS/FAZ

Further on my personal thoughts on this strat:
using hypothetical scenarios, actual 3x #s from '09, and 2x funds from differing periods:

Worst case scenario, this strategy loses in a year: (5%)

Best case scenarios in a year: 10%+

Should expect most returns in a year: 3-7%

In implementing this strat, pray for two things: 1) Hope your short shares don't get called back by broker & 2) if in rebalancing you wish to increase position, hope you can short more.

This strategy may be a good play to allocate comparable to the fixed income/bond allocation of portfolio or completely replace that bond allocation with this.

I would say maximum amount you sell each position is 23% of face value of account. IE a $10,000 acct, short sell a maximum $2,300 worth of each ETF.

Ultra-shorts and Ultra-pros are all bad investments due to daily rebalancing

Cake Dex test run

you knew it, contrarian

Financial sector earning

3x large cap bear ETF
underperform reason: shorting the ultrashorts long term == free CAPS points.

Re-shorting the ultashort ETFs

beware the ides of August

broken

alstry finally got to me.

Half-life period of leveraged ETF is inversely proportional to its volatility.

Based on my call that the rally is going to see a pull-back over the next few weeks I am giving all Bear ETFs a thumbs up and all Bull ETFs a thumbs down in the short run. I am only invested in a small sampling of these bear ETFs but in order to raise my CAPS score I entered several here.

I own shares in this ETF.

As of today, my one favorite stock. I have 105K real money into BGZ as the clowns at CNBC and other pumpers are out o hot air.

Ca. crashes, GM crashes, rates rise, foreclosures rise, 600K unemployment and they are all telling you " Better than expected" ... DOW 12,000!

I say Dow 7200 next... Staying away from skf and faz as goverment i propping up bank stocks.

trying to boost my accuracy

Stocks are overbought, investors getting overly optimistic about end of a recession.

Fading every pick made by Ultralong

Market neutral arbitrage strategy. Has yielded around 200 points since mid March. The accuracy, as expected, is 50%. See blog.

here it is - my first conspiring to change my rating with a trade i woould not do in real account