Bridgepoint Education (NYSE:BPI)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

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Member Avatar RES7 (99.36) Submitted: 4/15/2016 12:38:20 AM : Underperform Start Price: $9.62 BPI Score: +0.02

jed1

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Member Avatar clangmead (60.73) Submitted: 4/6/2016 7:50:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $9.83 BPI Score: -3.95

tiny

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Member Avatar bfitz3309 (< 20) Submitted: 3/9/2016 4:43:47 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.19 BPI Score: -0.62

following superstar/tsif

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Member Avatar TSIF (99.95) Submitted: 3/9/2016 1:05:47 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.13 BPI Score: -1.07

What Jed71 said... :)

It only takes a little juice to get a short covering, speculating, day trading cycle going.
Usually I wait until about 2PM to jump in for "usually" optimal results, depending on volume...(sometimes these take 2.5 days to retreat).....but....

Target about 20 points...in the long view, I would think this is only going to go down, but maybe the students from Trumph University will transfer here...

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Member Avatar jed71 (99.85) Submitted: 3/9/2016 12:16:06 PM : Underperform Start Price: $8.91 BPI Score: -3.71

I have always been fascinated by the twisting, turning and bending like a pretzel that certain senior management teams do to make their company’s seem profitable on a quarterly basis. While I would normally not pick on this company, the 35% jump in share price today is beyond extreme and unwarranted.

“Non-GAAP net income for the fourth quarter of 2015 was $2.0 million, compared with non-GAAP net income of $5.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2014. Non-GAAP net income for the fourth quarter of 2015 excludes restructuring and impairment charges of $9.0 million and the related tax effect, as well as tax expense of $3.0 million relating to the valuation allowance against deferred tax assets. Non-GAAP net income for the fourth quarter of 2014 excludes restructuring and impairment charges of $16.8 million and the related tax effect.”

So, in reality they really were not profitable. In addition, on a year over year basis revenue FELL SHARPLY.

“Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2015 was $131.4 million, compared with revenue of $147.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2014.”

That’s an almost 11% decline in revenue in one year. Pretty steep. And this was pretty funny too.

“Non-GAAP fully diluted earnings per common share for the fourth quarter of 2015 was $0.04, compared with non-GAAP fully diluted earnings per common share of $0.12 for the fourth quarter of 2014.”

Obviously, if you add back the full GAAP items, they actually showed a decent sized loss. Later in their release you’ll find this:

“Fully diluted loss per common share for the year ended December 31, 2015, was $1.54 compared with fully diluted earnings per common share of $0.21 for the year ended December 31, 2014.”

Those are terrible results on a year over year basis. This is not an 80-90 point gainer, but based on the overreaction, I am looking for 20-30 points on my red thumb.

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Member Avatar chris293 (52.35) Submitted: 3/17/2015 3:47:58 AM : Underperform Start Price: $9.69 BPI Score: -0.03

What does BPI have going for it, but a steady declining growth at least for the last few years?

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Member Avatar Chilli (< 20) Submitted: 11/20/2014 5:09:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.34 BPI Score: -15.24

A short rebound is due in my uneducated opinion

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Member Avatar GreenChilePepper (< 20) Submitted: 3/13/2014 10:41:15 AM : Outperform Start Price: $15.22 BPI Score: -47.63

Accreditation issues are behind it. New student enrollment is turning around. With college tuition costs so high, I expect students to look for more valuable alternatives in the future.

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Member Avatar nonzerosum (69.38) Submitted: 11/8/2013 12:47:00 PM : Outperform Start Price: $17.24 BPI Score: -61.64

Jim Gillies round table 11/7/2013

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Member Avatar RumbachStock (32.01) Submitted: 6/18/2013 3:59:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.52 BPI Score: -48.30

This looks like a case of a solid company being excessively punished for the poor results of a single quarter. Never mind the $300M+ cash or the consistent, $100M+ cash flow capabilities... Lol. If only I had about $800M, I would buy out the entire company and make an absolute killing in the future.

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Member Avatar bes0m3b0dy (76.40) Submitted: 3/20/2013 12:59:27 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.47 BPI Score: -41.55

Net cash position (including investments) of $515 million, which implies $9.51 of cash per share. The main raincloud over this stock is Ashford University losing its accreditation, which accounts for 96% of Bridgepoint's revenues. Though I do not claim to predict the outcome of this situation, the stock is worth at least $18 even if enrollment at Ashford is more than cut in half. At a price of $10.47 this stock is such a bargain that there is a large margin of safety: the "worst-case" scenario of Ashford losing its accreditation means that revenues may slowly decline for a few years then fall precipitously (assuming management does absolutely nothing), but with the current cash position, Bridgepoint's stock is already massively depressed. The risk-reward on this one is quite favorable.

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Member Avatar chopchop0 (67.62) Submitted: 10/17/2012 11:30:30 AM : Underperform Start Price: $9.84 BPI Score: +44.34

The feds are on to this scam of an industry....

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Member Avatar buynholdisdead (< 20) Submitted: 10/5/2012 5:03:31 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.39 BPI Score: -49.89

Provider of education over the internet. The world is looking for education that is easily accessed and can be affordable.

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Member Avatar PhotoPhool (< 20) Submitted: 9/4/2012 4:09:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.54 BPI Score: -46.24

Stock market overreacted to delay in accreditation on the west coast. Any news of improvement on the accreditation status will improve the price.

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Member Avatar rygf30 (< 20) Submitted: 8/30/2012 12:16:12 AM : Outperform Start Price: $9.72 BPI Score: -48.29

Kids need jobs. Degree job % > non-degree %. Employers do not check the accreditation of colleges. Unfairly punished. Outperforming its current price by far.

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Member Avatar JBG189 (82.48) Submitted: 8/16/2012 1:06:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.42 BPI Score: -53.93

They will get new or maintain old accreditation.

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Member Avatar ebigmac (< 20) Submitted: 8/7/2012 1:32:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.82 BPI Score: -58.34

They cannot afford to lose accreditation and once it is solid, the market will restore its price.

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Member Avatar husj5 (< 20) Submitted: 8/1/2012 1:27:34 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.23 BPI Score: -55.51

I'm doubling down. If they achieve accreditation then my gain will be greater than my loss if they dont.

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Member Avatar TMFWreath (< 20) Submitted: 7/17/2012 12:35:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.80 BPI Score: -54.27

A better company than any of the others in its sector, and recent downtrend from bad news presents an excellent buying opportunity.

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Member Avatar jayjindo (< 20) Submitted: 7/11/2012 4:34:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.09 BPI Score: -84.00

I have ALOT of money in this stock do you think it will recover soon?

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