CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:CBG)
A commercial real estate services firm offers a full range of services to occupiers, owners, lenders and investors in office, retail, industrial, multi-family and other commercial real estate assets.
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bnym pick from Jan 2012
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Relative Pullback Likely Complete, Rise to Resume
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I may be a little late to the party...
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With the housing sector so thoroughly depressed, there is no choice for the house-hunter but to wait until banks open the purse strings with a little less trepidation. This means a steady stream of rental income for at least another year... As the Fed shoots money out of a firehose, there is little choice for the market but to scale up further. Finally, Comm. Real Estate is seeing occupancy levels rising quickly. The trifecta for CBG's continued success.
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strond highly quaified personnel in a weak industry that is a go to for large corporations needing quality services
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I have been trying to short this from the mid 13's, Scottrade hasn't had any for shorting. Watch for this to drop at the first hike in interest rates.
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crazy high beta.. stocks volatile.. at its high for years.
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Commercial real estate will likely take longer to recover than residential.in the U. S. This company however has holding world wide and many of those market are in much better condition and will recover somewhat more rapidly. Also this company has traditionally been considered to have very good management skills. I expect the price to rise slowly with obvious ups and downs but should be good for the long haul from my perspective.
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A GOOD REIT
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I thought to short this but commercial real estate must be doing OK. This is a best of breed along with SLG.
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outperform....
regarding your bearish outlook in CBRichardEllis...you couldn't be more off base. CBRE will outperform the market, as they have been undervalued for some time. they recently restructured their maturing debt. a large investor bought $100M of stock @ $7.50 recently. what do you think he was thinking? he saw the great earnings potential of the leveraged balance sheet, the prospect of the dominant real estate broker in the world now taking up the slack as smaller cometitors fall by the wayside, a great, young management team...remember: CBRE doesn't own real estate, they are basically transaction brokers, so they have no toxic assets. they are poised to scream to $20 per share in the next 6 months. sit back and watch....and don't be short
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A good company
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More pain ahead for commercial real estate but CBRE sells and rents the stuff so it's a revenue 'opportunity'. Should become apparent in late 2009.
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Strong Company, always has been. Some would say, wasn't AIG in the same category a few months ago, and I would say no. Reason being, Management that cares.
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Share up 58% for what?
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This stock would be a better pick for later this year when it's debt and revenue situations clear up. Of course, when such things are clearer, the stock will be dearer!
As the downturn continues, buildings are put up for sale and lease and while there isn't much business right now, eventually this will pick up. Essentially this is CBRE's inventory which costs them nothing and is all future revenue.
The question, of course, is when will this happen and if you know that you've probably picked when this recession has bottomed. 2H09? 2010? Read CBRE's quarterly transcripts (seekingalpha seems to be a good site for these) and watch for management's discussions of increased transactions.
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Fee-driven company in an industry with no fees to earn. Investment sales/RE inv banking business has been crushed with no end in sight. Most likely will end up merging with another group
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Going long on this stock was a mistake on my part.... the company did a stock purchase of about 635 Million dollars last November, this was a terrible move by management. What they should have done was pay down their debt, this would have dropped their leverage down by about a third, creating a much stronger balance sheet, and give them a greater competitive edge in a market that will certainly hammer any commercial real estate company. Remember this, in the long run fundamentals will always control the stock price!
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commercial real estate will slow down during recession. Fewer business expansions, etc.
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