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$1.83 0.06 (3.39%)
7/23/2008 3:53 PM

Caribou Coffee Company, Inc. (CBOU)

CAPS Rating:
*

The Company is an owned gourmet coffeehouse operator in the U.S. It offers its customers gourmet coffee and espresso-based beverages, as well as teas, baked goods, whole bean coffee, branded merchandise and related products.

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Ticker Not Ratable

CBOU doesn't currently meet the $100M market cap / $1.50 stock price minimum. (Learn More)

What the Community Thinks

Total Members

65 Outperforms
36 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

15 Outperforms
18 Underperforms
 

Members bullish on CBOU are also bullish on:

Members bearish on CBOU are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Specialty Eateries (11), Micro Cap (4824)
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Caribou Coffee Company, Inc. At A Glance

Current Price: $1.83
Last Trade Time: 7/23/2008 3:53 PM
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $1.77
Daily Range: $1.68 - $1.83
52-Week Range: $1.34 - $7.20
Volume: 12,940
Market Cap: $34.29M
P/E Ratio: 0.00
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Stock Trends

CBOU VS S&P 500 (SPY)

CBOU 12 month chart vs. S&P

News & Discussion Boards

Other News Headlines for CBOU

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Top Bull Pitch

Recs

3

Caribou Coffee Company, Inc. (CBOU)

Avatar HoldSideAnalyst (< 20) Submitted: 8/17/07 6:42 PM

There's a lot to dislike in this stock, but I'd like to make a few points and see your response. There are 3 fundamentals for me with this stock:
1. Like you mention, cash flow. If they stopped building stores today and capex dropped to a couple Mil a year, plus trim some OpEx, they could thr...More

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Top Bear Pitch

Recs

1

Caribou Coffee Company, Inc. (CBOU)

Avatar QualityProspects (89.16) Submitted: 8/03/07 8:05 AM

This is a company that just can't seem to find the right business model. The losses for the latest quarter were .20 per share versus a loss of .12 a year ago. They opened 36 new stores and grew revenue by 11%, but increased losses. Hmmmm. Worst of all, same store sales were a mere 1%. That tell...More

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Recs

3

 (CBOU)

Avatar HoldSideAnalyst (< 20) Submitted: 8/17/07 6:42 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.54 CBOU Score: -60.34

There's a lot to dislike in this stock, but I'd like to make a few points and see your response. There are 3 fundamentals for me with this stock:
1. Like you mention, cash flow. If they stopped building stores today and capex dropped to a couple Mil a year, plus trim some OpEx, they could throw off close to $20 Mil per year. That means we've got a 6X cash flow company today with an option on a better company in the future.
2. Industry - The coffeehouse industry continues to grow well ahead of the broader economy, and SBUX today has roughly 9000 of the 35,000+ coffee shops in the US, with CBOU #2 with over 500. This represents a tremendous opportunity for someone to step up and be a real competitor to SBUX.
3. Expansion: A) They're beginning to franchise more stores. In the restaurant industry, franchised stores typically perform better than company owned stores, and because the parent company collects royalties, it's good from a margin point of view. B) A typical mature CBOU store does about $700,000 in annual sales, versus $1MM for SBUX. I'm not exactly sure what type of operating leverage they have internally, but I know it's decent - they just bought a roaster that is running well short of capacity. 2 years of 5-7% comps (much easier said than done) would get them to around 800,000 per store, assuming 500 mature stores and 12% EBITDA margins (reasonable compared to SBUX), they could trade for 9X EBITDA (belong historical range) and the company would be worth over $400MM. To be sure, it's a bull scenario, and the toughest part is clearly achieving those comps. With that, everything else would fall into place.
From today's price, a number of neutral scenarios could bring the stock price to around 8. 18MM EBITDA at 9X by YE08 implies a $8.40 stock price - 25% upside.

Problems:
I have the same questions about the management team. Why aren't they getting it done? It's hardly a complicated business. Meanwhile, they're launching 10 new CBOU branded products a quarter, into a division which will have to grow 50% PA for the next 4 years to dent the bottom line.
Sentiment: The company is 60% owned by Arcapita Bank, based in Bahrain. In 2002, a nasty rumor was floated that this bank, and by extension, CBOU, were funneling money to terrorists. This was proven patently false, but unfortunately it left an impression in the minds of many consumers. Also because of this ownership the company must operate under Islamic law. While this is relatively meaningless from a business point of view (basically means no pork or alochol in the stores), it may also leave a mark in some consumers minds, and you can't deny latent Islamophobia in this country.

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Recs

1

 (CBOU)

Avatar QualityProspects (89.16) Submitted: 8/03/07 8:05 AM : Underperform Start Price: $6.94 CBOU Score: 61.94

This is a company that just can't seem to find the right business model. The losses for the latest quarter were .20 per share versus a loss of .12 a year ago. They opened 36 new stores and grew revenue by 11%, but increased losses. Hmmmm. Worst of all, same store sales were a mere 1%. That tells me that customers are not satisified with their Caribou coffee experience and do not want to go back. Not good.

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Recs

0

 (CBOU)

Avatar jimc69 (49.67) Submitted: 7/10/07 8:31 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.95 CBOU Score: -58.72

Good potential upside.

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Recs

0

 (CBOU)

Avatar gledmo (< 20) Submitted: 7/03/07 7:34 PM : Outperform Start Price: $7.00 CBOU Score: -57.98

They have great product, as good as SBUX, but don't have a leader like SBUX does in Howard Schultz. My bet is that they will get their act together and find someone who can bring some of that "magic dust" to the share price just like Howard.

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Recs

0

 (CBOU)

Avatar jpalyman (82.31) Submitted: 6/03/07 8:09 PM : Underperform Start Price: $6.60 CBOU Score: 55.78

The Coffee House Industry stock has been in decline for several months now.I think it will be several more before this outperforms the S&P 500.

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