China Yida Holding (NASDAQ:CNYD)

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Top CNYD Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

jdiegelmann (< 20)
Submitted April 06, 2011

Real Money = $8kHow does China Yida make money?===================================================China Yida's revenue is dependent upon its Advertising and Tourist destinations. It's advertising business is dependent upon agreements made with… More

kdakota630 (30.32)
Submitted October 30, 2009

Since this stock is currently up 100,000%, it makes me kind of wish I bought a bunch of it when it was trading at $0.01/share.

CNYD VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about CNYD.

Recs

0
Member Avatar ChinaRTO (99.91) Submitted: 4/14/2011 3:27:53 AM : Underperform Start Price: $6.44 CNYD Score: +136.01

This is a tracking portfolio of all CAPS-ratable tickers in the Chinese RTO/SPAC space (i.e., companies that listed without filing an IPO).

China Yida Holdings Co. went public via a reverse merger in 2007. The company is based in China.

Recs

4
Member Avatar jdiegelmann (< 20) Submitted: 4/6/2011 4:04:06 AM : Outperform Start Price: $6.77 CNYD Score: -133.87

Real Money = $8k

How does China Yida make money?
===================================================

China Yida's revenue is dependent upon its Advertising and Tourist destinations. It's advertising business is dependent upon agreements made with state-owned companies, and the tourism business is dependent upon land-use and management agreements with local governments. Below are some key facts, deduced from notes in the annual and quarterly reports. The company does not do an excellent job presenting revenue data for the tourism segment, which therefore gets most of my attention.

Total Tourism Revenue by Quarter-
---------------------------------------------------
Q1 = $6.03M
Q2 = $7.05M
Q3 = $1.3M
Q4 = $2.24M

Advertisement Contract Rights until-
---------------------------------------------------
FETV station - 2013, option through 2015 / Previous contract from 2003-2010
Revenue - $31.32M, up 4.3% annually (57% of total revenue in 2010)

Railway Media - 2015 / No previous contract
Revenue - $6.58M, up 336% annually (12% of total revenue in 2010)

Land-Use and Management Contract Rights until-
---------------------------------------------------
Great Golden Lake - 2032
Revenue - Q1 = $4.86M (9% Total Rev in 2010)
Revenue - Q2 = $5.4M (10% Total Rev in 2010)
Revenue - Q3 = $.52M (1% Total Rev in 2010)
Revenue - Q4 = unknown, estimated below $1M

Tulou - 2048
Revenue - Q1 = $1.17M (2% Total Rev in 2010)
Revenue - Q2 = $1.65M (3% Total Rev in 2010)
Revenue - Q3 = $.76M (1.5% Total Rev in 2010)
Revenue - Q4 = unknown, estimated between $.5-1M

Yunding Park - 2048
Revenue - Opened for business Q4 2010, revenue unknown, estimated below $1M

(In-Construction)
Ming Dynasty Entertainment World - 2050
Yang-Sheng Paradise - Unknown, atleast 2015 based on information provided in annual report.
City of Caves - 2050

Profitability Opinion- 5 Years span and beyond
---------------------------------------------------
Reasonable Worst-Case scenario (Besides completely imploding): Railway media contracts would expire and not be renewed, Great Golden Lake would continue to struggle, Yunding fails to get off the ground, and Tulou would remain steady. Current tourist destinations under construction would fail to catch producing little to no revenue.

Fundamental Stock Valuation = $4.12 per share

Reasonable Best Case Scenario: Railway media contracts extended and revenue grows for advertising segment, Great Golden Lake returns to old profitability and grows in the future, all other Tourist destinations produce a reasonable level of revenue and grow.

Fundamental Stock Valuation = $34+ per share

Based on my own thoughts of what will happen, I believe China Yida to be intrinsically worth approx. $22. per share. More details available upon request.

Recs

0
Member Avatar ElToroFuerte (23.00) Submitted: 3/14/2011 8:31:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $8.29 CNYD Score: -153.01

This is a chinese stock that takes part in tourism and advertisement business. This stock has an incredibly high gross profit ratio for any company. In the 3 months ending 2010-09-30, total revenue was at 11.03 and gross profit of 8.25 (millions of USD). Looking at the balance sheet shows that this company has a current ratio of well over 6, which is just unheard of. The cash flows statement shows a large amount of cash the company holds.

Stocks with these absurd numbers may seem to good to be true, however they do not have that very many expenses. It is in China where the laws are less strict, and no where near a large of an enforcer like the SEC. Nonetheless, until I see concrete evidence of some kind of misconduct I will be sticking with this one.

Leaderboard

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Score Leader

neumann101

neumann101 (89.13) Score: +298.79

Looking at this stock, I was impressed at how little revenue they did. Then the stock price quadrupled while the P/E ratio remained unchanged. Did someone miss a stock split on this? Is their an error converting RMB to dollars?

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
hamburglar89 89.38 6/1/2009 Underperform 5Y $8.60 -62.67% +158.34% +221.02 0 Comment
ohhhno 98.17 6/2/2009 Underperform 1Y $8.00 -59.88% +159.79% +219.67 0 Comment
jester112358 28.56 6/10/2009 Underperform NS $7.32 -56.15% +162.14% +218.29 0 Comment
JustinTheFool 98.47 5/19/2009 Underperform 5Y $6.48 -50.46% +167.55% +218.02 0 Comment
Paxtor 28.57 7/30/2009 Underperform 5Y $9.00 -64.33% +149.12% +213.45 0 Comment
mmmed 29.16 7/30/2009 Underperform 5Y $9.00 -64.33% +149.12% +213.45 0 Comment
Aargon < 20 6/30/2010 Underperform 5Y $14.16 -77.33% +132.15% +209.48 0 Comment
MisterCHW 99.91 7/7/2010 Underperform 5Y $11.40 -71.84% +132.73% +204.57 0 Comment
mooandjeff 99.82 8/25/2009 Underperform 5Y $8.60 -62.67% +136.84% +199.51 0 Comment
JGus 28.46 8/27/2009 Underperform NS $8.60 -62.67% +136.51% +199.18 0 Comment

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