Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (NYSE:COG)

Continuing my 2 for 1 split investments

Cramers no. 2 stock for 2012

correction due with this stock

Annual ROE > 9%, heavy volume, and fund manager flight from positions, ensures share price run-up when we emerge from the recession.

Alright, couple of reasons I'm marking this as outperform, none of them related to the specific company at hand. Typically, about twice a year, I'll go to the finviz heatmap:

http://finviz.com/map.ashx?t=sec&st=ytd

From there I'll check the trending 6 months, 1 year, and YTD to find lagging sectors.

Once I find the lagging sectors, I'll do a quick analysis of the macro variables at hand and determine whether the secto is warranted to be under performing the market or whether I think the market has undervalued these sectors. In this case, I think O&G exploration and development as well as utilities are undervalued.

If you notice, pharmas are also undervalued, but I think the new healthcare law makes their underperformance relevant at this time - if they continue to be undervalued at the time of my next review, I may pick up some in the sector.

I digress, the reason I think O&G and utilities are a good buy at this time:

1. Winter is fast approaching
2. Energy prices are still comparatively low and will go up
3. The economy is rebounding
4. The oil spill worries are becoming something of the past for the majority of Americans (Personally, I hate that recency plays a factor in this at all)
5. Likely republican majority in one chamber will make it difficult to pass major energy reform, thus old energy wins and new energy loses. (Much to our malevolence)

After I determine which sectors to buy, I'll review each individual stock in CAPS. Anything less than 3 stars gets filtered out. 4 and 5 star picks are most preferable, as these quintiles usually gains points in a year's time.

I expect to remove 90% of these stocks by March/April. Typically, this nets me a few hundred caps points (read: profit), and roughly 75% accuracy. Some will be bombs or laggards. Those that barely lag will be kept on my portfolio in hopes that I may eke out a slight gain at a later date. The bombs will be dropped.

I want to emphasize, this is not a judgment call on this specific stock. I didn't even check the financials. Do your DD if you buy in RL. In fact if you like the sector and want to buy in RL, I recommend you buy a sector ETF - one of my personal faves is FCG.

Speculating on natural gas move higher

Price appreciation due to buyout coming.

Just cuz..

Natural gas and Oil in Northern America.

Nobody talks about the gas wells in Dimmock, Pa. This

company has hit a homerun in Pa. Stock will be selling

at $80 in 18 months. Buy now before it hits $30.

Expanding exploration into gulf, still thriving in east and west Texas sites

Cabot is a well run, fairly lean integrated Independent. I don't know how their financials shakeout but going forward they look good to me.

One of few stocks in the world that seem just too expensive even though it operates in an industry outside of the FIRE sector of economy (FIRE = Financial, Insurance & Real Estate).
The valuation to earnings potential going forward is not worth it, nothing going for it on the dividend end, and there would be other companies in the sector that are much more desirable.



I'd sell this company to put my money elsewhere. In fact, I'd rather use that money and pour it across residential real estate, apartment buildings, other stocks, commodities, or bonds. Even if it survives the next decade, it will lag its peers and it will likely lag S&P 500.


SELL.


bearish on pbr, cog, io, mcf, chd, prgo, zep, psa, ccl, joe, celg, sndk, wms, brk-a, alxn, mygn, otex, apol, fun, uti, swn, goog, tm, bms, stec



These picks are within this CAPs account that is market neutral - all longs are offset by a short. All long & short picks are diversified across industries & world location to limit downside exposure. This CAPS account will maintain at the very least 20 picks and at the very most 80 picks. Picks will be ended in long/short pairs to remain neutral.

long

I am buying this energy company on a pullback. It brings energy into my caps portfolio at a time when oil has bounced off of 110 heading for possibly higher territory. As the Oil and Gas industry sank heavily in the past weeks as the crude dropped from 147 to 110, I feel we are seeing bargain prices on oil and oil stocks. It is possible that the oil prices will continue to lag, and for this reason I choose cog which apparently controls gas reserves that are going to become economically feasible in the short future.

under review

The sell off is overdone. Natural gas is the bridge to alternative enregy. It's not going away any time soon.

Needs to gain over 100% to hit Bloomberg price target, per Bloomberg TV

Experiment time... I will pick whatever stocks that are on the cold 5 star list on the last trading day of each month. There is no research involved other what is on the cold 5 star list at the end of each month. Each pick will be for one year. Lets see where this goes...