Canadian Oil Sands Ltd Com (NASDAQOTH:COSWF)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

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Member Avatar LDascha (< 20) Submitted: 11/3/2013 8:04:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $17.74 COSWF Score: -0.49

Right place at the right time, oil reserves with no end in sight.

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Member Avatar buffalonate (94.15) Submitted: 3/24/2013 7:19:09 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.67 COSWF Score: -25.13

Great investment for the long-term. Pipeline construction will make them much more profitable.

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Member Avatar blesto (31.81) Submitted: 8/18/2012 7:45:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $19.92 COSWF Score: -53.63

Made outperform pick on 2/2/2012 Current start price $23.16 no divi to speak of.
I don't believe I would've made the pick if I was using this;
http://wiki.fool.com/The_Graham_Number
Formula: Fair value=Sqrt(22.5*EPS*BV) I expanded it a little by also using EPS Normalized and Tangible BV
My current Graham Number Valuation Range for COSWF.PK: $19.19 to $21.68

What has hurt them most I believe is the negative (-37.79%) Earnings Per Share (EPS)(TTM) growth rate.
Will they turn it around?
I'm only keeping this pick open to watch and see. Maybe recover some points.
Only time will tell.

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Member Avatar fooll0gic (31.13) Submitted: 2/26/2012 12:54:58 AM : Outperform Start Price: $19.86 COSWF Score: -49.54

Given the expectation that the Oil prices would tend to remain in $100- $120 / bbl territory if not higher, these reserves can be commercially produced and would provide a good cheap play on peak oil thoery.

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Member Avatar Bluebst (68.90) Submitted: 1/11/2011 1:30:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.72 COSWF Score: -67.96

Beaten up on conversion back from income trust, US energy consumers will hold their nose and buy the oil. Potential home run if ENB builds new pipleine with terminus at Pacific - China wants this energy too.

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Member Avatar DannyNOLA (< 20) Submitted: 12/28/2010 2:29:20 AM : Outperform Start Price: $32.27 COSWF Score: -105.09

It is more expensive for them to extract the oil, but they have huge supplies. I have been invested since the end of 2007 so needless to say I have lost money. However, I have been collecting a 7% yield which is not bad at all. I see it as a dividend play with a call option which will be ITM when oil prices go up a lot.

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Member Avatar fightinphi (< 20) Submitted: 12/12/2010 6:04:36 PM : Outperform Start Price: $20.32 COSWF Score: -64.80

Just recently obtained a massive reserve, oil demand continues to go up

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Member Avatar jahjimhall (< 20) Submitted: 11/17/2010 11:50:02 AM : Outperform Start Price: $20.96 COSWF Score: -76.64

Hedge against impending dollar devaluation. Great dividend (7.5%).

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Member Avatar dollarpuppy (78.01) Submitted: 11/6/2010 9:47:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $22.19 COSWF Score: -76.50

The name says it all -- if gas prices continue to head up they should have demand to match their increasing supply.

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Member Avatar ag77840 (23.45) Submitted: 10/28/2010 3:25:43 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.44 COSWF Score: -78.97

Reserves

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Member Avatar Jeffreyw (95.46) Submitted: 10/25/2010 1:35:10 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.44 COSWF Score: -79.05

As oil remains above $75US/bbl, these oil reserves are able to produce profits as the cost of extraction is higher than pure liquid wells. Better technology will lower the cost of extraction in years to come.

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Member Avatar Maximus88 (< 20) Submitted: 6/5/2009 3:55:08 PM : Outperform Start Price: $20.55 COSWF Score: -120.37

Its a proven winner with the price of oil holding it down. Oil can't stay down for long... everyone depends on it!

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Member Avatar npz88 (92.66) Submitted: 12/5/2008 1:39:59 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.03 COSWF Score: -80.61

Cuz I know. Trust me.

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Member Avatar iceberg17 (< 20) Submitted: 11/22/2008 7:28:23 AM : Outperform Start Price: $14.57 COSWF Score: -117.41

After Oil migrates to 30 it will go back up. I may be getting in too early but then again there is that dividend...

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Member Avatar jyhemlin (< 20) Submitted: 11/11/2008 4:01:08 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.32 COSWF Score: -127.57

Stability, stability, stability and a good price

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Member Avatar isnorman (< 20) Submitted: 8/21/2008 2:06:33 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.27 COSWF Score: -105.09

We once had a sportswriter whose idea of a perfect match was to marry a women who owned a liquor store. Owning a rockpile that is full of oil tha will last for 50 years ain't bad either. And that 12% return will buy a lot of peanut butter sandwichs.

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Member Avatar TheGarcipian (44.20) Submitted: 8/1/2008 6:21:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $41.36 COSWF Score: -117.61

Along with what AeroFool has written up (please see his pitch), I think the demands for metals and oil w.r.t. emerging markets will continue to climb from our recent leveling off. Just because the summer Olympics will soon over in Beijing doesn't mean that millions of Chinese are going to suddenly pack it in and head back to their country farms. Ain't gonna happen! People will still need (and demand access to) oil.

The resources pull from China and India will continue to be strong (like a black hole, but in a good way) for the next 3-5 years, regardless of what the pundits are saying currently about those markets being overbought. This one has been on my WatchList since mid-January 2008, and I wish I'd acted on it sooner. True, there will be ups & downs in these markets, but with such a multitude of people migrating into the middle class (both literally migrating to the cities/urban areas, as well as figuratively migrating up in social status), it will be very difficult to predict with accuracy just how well things will go. But one thing is for sure: this social migration is an epic event. Events like this do not occur every decade, but when they do, you should strap yourself in and hold on for the ride because it will be a wild one, generally moving upwards. Thumbs up!

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Member Avatar simonmccabe (46.42) Submitted: 3/16/2008 9:42:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $35.36 COSWF Score: -106.77

...recently watched documentary on same, sure I'm simply joining the band wagon though its probably going to be something of a long long term holding

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Member Avatar Golfbrix (< 20) Submitted: 3/9/2008 10:09:00 PM : Outperform Start Price: $35.86 COSWF Score: -107.42

This Trust is a Pure Play owning 37% of Syncrude the company refining Canadian oil sand territory in Alberta. Current technology indicates this oil sand area is second only to Saudi Arabia in oil reserves. As technology improves SYNCRUDE and COSWF could easily surpass Saudi in the future.

As a Trust it is Shareholder friendly and kicks out good QU dividends which have been increasing lately just like the shareprice.

I see myself holding this 10-15 years easy right now.

DYODD,

Best of Luck

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Member Avatar Magneticjim (< 20) Submitted: 2/10/2008 7:28:56 PM : Outperform Start Price: $30.59 COSWF Score: -93.90

The growth of India and China and the other emerging markets will keep the price of oil high. Look for the US to get its oil supply from the oil sands rather than the middle east.

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