Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (CTRP)
The Company is a consolidator of hotel accommodations and air tickets in China.
Recs
investorpoet2
(81.25)
Submitted: 10/13/2009 12:00:37 PM :
Start Price:
$60.98
CTRP Score:
-12.36
I like Ctrip and think that management has done a good job managing for growth. However, shares have gotten a little expensive. Assuming a 5-year growth rate of 25% and then growth declining to 15% by year 10, Ctrip is worth $66 per share at a 10% discount rate and $55 per share at a 12% discount rate.
I will look to end this pick if Ctrip falls much below $50 per share. Short-term on this one. I will go thumbs up again at $45.
Recs
jstegma
(99.65)
Submitted: 8/19/2009 12:46:50 PM :
Start Price:
$44.49
CTRP Score:
-35.22
I don't think it's all that hard to start a travel website.
Recs
JerryDreamer
(< 20)
Submitted: 8/17/2009 1:41:40 AM :
Start Price:
$49.00
CTRP Score:
-31.03
When the overly optimistic FOMC says that household spending will be "constrained" by sluggish income growth, ongoing job losses, lower household wealth, and tight credit AND Shanghai stocks hit a seven-week low, then you know this bear market rally is finally over!
Recs
Paramnesia1930
(97.38)
Submitted: 7/31/2009 7:37:04 PM :
Start Price:
$51.65
CTRP Score:
-24.79
The 1929-1930 equity rally (coming out of The Great Depression) lasted 147 days and the market was up 46%. It has been the same amount of time since the March, 2009 low and we are up about the same percentage. It’s déjà vu (paramnesia), so prepare for a drop of about the same percentage (85%).
Recs
zloj
(98.51)
Submitted: 5/26/2009 1:09:18 AM :
Start Price:
$36.50
CTRP Score:
-66.25
It's game over for China
Recs
sumbawa
(30.36)
Submitted: 5/21/2009 3:35:54 PM :
Start Price:
$36.22
CTRP Score:
-68.22
Good company. But looking overpriced again.
Recs
supercoffee
(81.01)
Submitted: 10/24/2008 3:08:47 PM :
Start Price:
$26.00
CTRP Score:
-142.66
sell china
Recs
j1e1k1
(97.40)
Submitted: 10/22/2008 3:52:44 PM :
Start Price:
$29.76
CTRP Score:
-110.13
still overvalued
Recs
Financebikes74
(< 20)
Submitted: 5/16/2008 4:41:16 PM :
Start Price:
$57.21
CTRP Score:
-42.65
With the recent events I doubt anything in China will be doing much of anything. However give it 3 to 4 years and this will be ripe for the taking.
Recs
urkgurgle
(47.76)
Submitted: 5/2/2008 3:32:01 PM :
Start Price:
$67.05
CTRP Score:
-23.54
ahead of its value
Recs
Recs
princetontiger88
(39.26)
Submitted: 11/17/2007 10:46:19 PM :
Start Price:
$60.66
CTRP Score:
-36.21
People have no idea what they are buying
Recs
TexGARP
(< 20)
Submitted: 10/3/2007 8:15:37 AM :
Start Price:
$53.62
CTRP Score:
-55.94
Great business prospects but seems overvalued at these prices.
Recs
wgscogen
(< 20)
Submitted: 8/30/2007 1:31:13 PM :
Start Price:
$41.10
CTRP Score:
-91.86
Love the stock but PE of 73 and PEG of over 2 is too rich. Will wait for better pricing.
Recs
liv1478
(< 20)
Submitted: 6/11/2007 8:33:27 PM :
Start Price:
$36.93
CTRP Score:
-113.23
CHINA hoLds olympics 8/2008. MAKE YOUR LODGING AND FIGHT RESERVATIONS NOW.
Recs
JonB2004
(53.52)
Submitted: 5/31/2007 12:11:40 AM :
Start Price:
$37.64
CTRP Score:
-111.16
This stock is overvalued.
Recs
LivingInChina
(< 20)
Submitted: 5/9/2007 12:06:18 AM :
Start Price:
$35.99
CTRP Score:
-118.21
the P/E is way to high. I do not see how the stock price can continue to climb this much with a p/e of almost 67.
Recs
bluetotoro
(67.00)
Submitted: 3/22/2007 2:09:47 AM :
Start Price:
$33.54
CTRP Score:
-128.65
Maybe it is a great company, but it is getting expensive now.
Recs
wcwhiner
(99.80)
Submitted: 2/27/2007 2:30:42 PM :
Start Price:
$29.77
CTRP Score:
-154.91
Reload after a plus-five. I won't do this if the game designers ever repair their addlepated "accuracy" measure.
On the stock, I don't think they sustain their margins, and much as I want to be long Renminbi cash flow, I don't think they'll have as much of that as the market (still) believes.
Recs
nlcondit
(< 20)
Submitted: 2/1/2007 9:38:55 AM :
Start Price:
$34.83
CTRP Score:
-120.95
Have enjoyed the ride up on this one but I think at this valuation it is too high and recent comments by Chinese government officials that the market is heading for a bubble concern me given the uncertainty of government intervention possibilities in the Chinese market.
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