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$33.00 -0.95 (-2.80%)
9/5/2008 4:03 PM

PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)

CAPS Rating:
****

Closed-end Fund

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What the Community Thinks

Total Members

550 Outperforms
21 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

130 Outperforms
8 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

1 Outperforms
0 Underperforms
 

Members bullish on DBA are also bullish on:

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Ticker Tags

Closed-End Fund - Equity (269), ETF (Exchange Traded Fund or Note) (958), Micro Cap (4824)
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PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund At A Glance

Current Price: $33.00
Last Trade Time: 9/5/2008 4:03 PM
Open: $33.33
Previous Close: $33.95
Daily Range: $32.81 - $33.50
52-Week Range: $26.51 - $43.50
Volume: 1,453,689
Market Cap: $184.32M
P/E Ratio: 0.00
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Stock Trends

DBA VS S&P 500 (SPY)

DBA 12 month chart vs. S&P

News & Discussion Boards

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Top Bull Pitch

Recs

5

PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA)

Avatar marc64 (96.83) Submitted: 6/10/08 2:13 PM

I'm back into DBA in response to a flood of reports in the press about an array of potential troubles in agriculture. The WSJ ran a story on hedge funds buying up land, arguing consolidated/large farms are more productive. Unfortunately, later commentary suggests that, in fact, smaller farms are act...More

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CAPS Members

picks per page. CHANGE

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Recs

0

 (DBA)

Avatar ResearchLover (96.41) Submitted: 8/21/08 12:12 PM : Outperform Start Price: $37.54 DBA Score: -9.61

A little blog on my perspective of the future of commodity prices through 2009:


I hate to root for the root cause of inflation, but heres two big thumbs up for a realistic expectation that raw materials for all kinds of products will continue to increase in price until Ben raises rates. How will that change anything?? Good question. Come December at the earliest, after housing has stabilized for 2 consecutive months, he raises rates to fight inflation here in the US. He'll keep doing that for a while. Bonds issued by riskier emerging market countries start to look more expensive from a risk/reward perspective. Emerging markets subsidize their growth in part by borrowing money, issuing bonds. They then will have to pay more to maintain their subsidies, and that leads to loosening of price controls, and a decrease in demand.


All of this assumes that commodities are effectively one big basket (where large in and outflows of investment across the sector have apparently caused various fundamentally different commodities to behave the same in terms of their price movements--PRICE COUPLING). This is a powerful force, which on the occassions where it reverses to reflect specific market forces affecting a single commodity--e.g. GOLD earlier this spring--leads to DECOUPLING of prices and volatility.


I think the first assumption also justifies this second one, that commodities prices have been fundamentally altered by speculative investment, and will continue to be for the forseeable future. Therefore, it is only the EXPECTATION that emerging markets are driving these price swings, and the above logic, that need apply in order for Ben and the housing market, and financial sector weakness to have the big role it has in this new bubble. And if it bothers you calling the drive up in commodities prices a bubble, then, think of it as the next way that big investors are able to 'magically' take money from..virtually everybody, and devalue it relative to their invested currency.


So, a final point which rests on the above assumptions, but which I also offer as proof prima facie, is that the invested currency of choice (dollars) should see a substantial decrease in its value as it is converted back from investment gains into currency. But wait, that means that commodities prices falling and the dollar rising are causally linked in BOTH directions. The other direction is that dollar denominated commodities decrease in price as the dollar strengthens.





(See more on my blog)

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Recs

0

 (DBA)

Avatar jroack (30.67) Submitted: 8/08/08 2:28 AM : Outperform Start Price: $33.84 DBA Score: -0.78

global growth

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Recs

1

 (DBA)

Avatar kavaron (< 20) Submitted: 7/22/08 8:48 AM : Outperform Start Price: $36.19 DBA Score: -8.23

Food consumption is increasing more than fuel demand worldwide. In contrast with the Oil which it's rise is just speculation-manipulation, food demand is gonna increase dramatically. People can stop consuming oil by taking public transport etc, but they cannot stop eating. At this price I believe it is a bargain.

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Recs

1

 (DBA)

Avatar comet9 (< 20) Submitted: 7/14/08 12:26 AM : Outperform Start Price: $39.50 DBA Score: -15.68

Many bullish factors for agricultural commodities:





1) Asian populations slowly moving toward more meat consumption, and it takes many pounds of grains to get a pound of meat.





2) A lot of farmland being used to grow corn for ethanol, not consumption.





3) General inflation and dollar weakness should pressure food commodity prices upward.





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Recs

0

 (DBA)

Avatar EBStroke (< 20) Submitted: 7/05/08 12:12 AM : Outperform Start Price: $40.72 DBA Score: -17.07

I am looking at flodding in the midwest and it's impact on the prices of corn and soy. Wheat & sugar have also been on a steep incline.

Prices for all of the grains appear to be elevated until mid 2009 at the earliest, and probably 6-9 months after that.

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TrackJohnKeeley 96.95 09/30/07 Outperform NS $29.50+11.86%-18.46%+30.32 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies

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