DryShips, Inc. (DRYS)
The Company owns and operates fleets. The company's fleet carries various drybulk commodities, including coal, iron ore, and grains, bauxite, phosphate, fertilizers and steel products.
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This met a high level screen to indicate a sell and strong underperform against its peers (other tickers in its industry). My 1st version of this spreadsheet devles deep into the company's balance sheet and recent income statements, combined with other relevant price data for the company including insider/institutional holdings, short interest, debt levels, etc.
I'm testing capabilities of this 1st version of my automated, valuation spreadsheet matched with my personal criteria and see how it holds up.
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Stock seems to be up for no particular reason. Share dillution = price up? WTH
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Too much shipping capacity in the world.
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studying companies like this one make me feel real depressed for those about to loose thier job.
Yes, shipping will pick up on commodities.
But I cannot be convinced about this one.
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Shady business practices and the recent blog by Tastylunch on the overcapacity of bulk ships should eventually cause downward pressure on the stock price. Since bankruptcies are likely to happen in this industry, the ones with the bigger debt would be the first to die.
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Huge debtload + dwindling business = headed for the ocean floor
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LOADED up with debt, this boat is sure to sink....
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All Aboard the Fail Boat!@
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This may have been a bad pick? Analysts like dry shippers right now, but DRYS' fundamentals are Fugly. However, DRYS had been beaten up before this pick was made on CAPS, so it may have been late... We'll see.
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this was an easy one to rate. i have no idea where DRYS will be, but i do know the CEO is a crook who has a history of slandering american investors as "stupid".
he also has his family in very shady companys that deal with DRYS and the CEO tried to unload his personal boats unto DRYS shareholders at HUGE premiums. cough CONFLICT OF INTEREST cough.
yes DRYS may recover, miracles happen, but i wouldnt count on it. Id happily pass up any gains on DRYS and not fund this crook CEO's money draining plans.
what is this his 3rd company he ran into the ground?
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Down on almost double average daily volume. Headed lower!
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1) International trade is dying a painful death. That is a trend I'm quite certain of.
2) This company has way too much debt.
3) Management sux
4) Worst of breed
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this is a joke. this company has nothing but some connection to wall street. how stupid can investors get?
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Reload...hoping not to get screwed by the pumpers...
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Do not have confidence in management to guide company through current economic conditions.
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Crappy at best company.
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The recessions we are in is more like a smaller Depression.
I have wrote about this for 3 years. The Question is are we in a Depressions Like Japan was. There lasted 20 years since they had so many reitre as We are doing now! Cash is King the Paid off House is worth its weight in Gold and Throw those credit cards away!
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November 12, 2008
Shares in the Athens-based bulker owner plunged by about 20% in a generally rough day for US-listed dry bulk shipping stocks on Thursday, following a move by DryShips to register up to 25m new shares in a prospectus filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Among risk factors included in Thursday's filing, DryShips said that even with a hefty injection of fresh equity from the sale of the new shares it "cannot be assured" that operating and capital needs would be satisfied, or that it would remain in compliance with debt covenants "if the low charter rates in the dry bulk market continue."
Conjuring up a possible doomsday scenario, the company said: "If we are not able to comply with our loan covenants and our lenders chose to accelerate our indebtedness and foreclose their liens, we could be required to sell vessels in our fleet and our ability to continue to conduct our business would be impaired."
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You can fool some of the people, all of the time. And you can fool all of the people some of the time. But you can't fool all of the people all of the time.
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“It was surreal. When someone asked why he was doing the deal, here–now, he actually said, basically, ‘Because Americans are the dumbest investors around, and there’s lots of liquidity in this market.’”
CEO Dryship, George Economou
The secondary offerings, plus the testing of the stupidity aka enthusiasm of the market with another "drybulk" shipper. Safe Bulkers (SB), a company with a record of FOUR EMPLOYEES! Unlike DRYS which has TWO EMPLOYEES! LOL!
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=SB
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=DRYS
Here is my post from 20 May 08.
I am not in the "dry bulk" industry. I have done my share of world traveling and I have never seen a shortage of ships. There are always plenty of ships parked outside the port waiting/hoping for a charter. If there was a temporary shortage, it is going to be cured by the severe recession in bound to the US and a slow down in the US' debt ridden, over leveraged, “consumption based” economy. ( ref Consumer Sentiment: Is the Worst Yet To Come?) The ships that are being built or utilized currently are getting ready to be parked and transformed to barnacle rust collectors. Many of their owners will cash out and file bankruptcy (George Economou's Alpha shipping, again?).
There is a reason many Top Fools gave Dryships an Underperform. You can take your pick of article and realize how funny this company is.
Curious George
Nathan Vardi 02.25.08, 12:00 AM ET
http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2008/0225/095.html
World's Scariest Stock: DryShips
http://www.fool.com/investing/small-cap/2007/10/29/dryshi......
Dryships’ Debut Shows Speculation,
Liquidity Trumping Experience
“It was surreal. When someone asked why he was doing the deal, here–now, he actually said, basically, ‘Because Americans are the dumbest investors around, and there’s lots of liquidity in this market.’”
http://www.weedenco.com/welling/archive/sb/v07i04sblogo.asp
There is a major commodity bubble. When it pops the first to get taken out will be the leveraged, cash short and the stupid, which includes many in the "Drybulk" sector.
Many think “drybulk shipping” is a commodity play. It is a consumption/transportation play. As the consumption, spending, construction slows so will this sector. Many of these shippers were single digit stocks three years ago, they will return there once the bubble burst.
A highlight from: Curious George
"Who are my investors? Computer models, hedge funds and some institutions that go in and make $10 and get out." So much for consensus. DryShips has been operating with two employees (Economou, 54, and his internal auditor) since his chief financial officer quit in May, the second to split in three years. The company's fleet is managed by Cardiff, 70% owned by Economou, which gets more than $7 million a year for its troubles.
"A family business, this. Economou's two former wives own a total 15% of DryShips. Chryssoula Kandylidis, his sister, holds 30% of Cardiff Marine. With proceeds from its initial offering, DryShips bought six ships that had recently been picked up by Kandylidis. Five were sold at cost, but DryShips paid his sister a $3 million fee. Economou says she made very little money on the deal and bore great risk.
Kandylidis' son, Antonios Kandylidis, is also in this cozy network. The 30-year-old Antonios is the founder and largest shareholder in OceanFreight (nasdaq: OCNF - news - people ), which raised $218 million when it went public on the Nasdaq last year. Cardiff helped OceanFreight pick up its first dry-bulk vessels, helps manage that fleet and shares office space with OceanFreight.
A rocky maiden voyage. OceanFreight had to clarify its reporting in October, announcing third-quarter earnings per share were really 7 cents as opposed to the 11 cents it had advertised a day earlier. In December Antonios fired his chief executive, who says he intends to sue for wrongful termination. Then OceanFreight's chief financial officer quit; Antonios took over both the executive roles. Within days of the fuss OceanFreight announced it was buying the first of two tankers privately owned by Economou for $112 million."
Of interest also many dry bulk shippers are unloading shares on the stupid:
Secondary Offerings, Debt, and Defaults
Minyanville Professor David Nelson and Minyan Peter were talking about secondary offerings today. Let's take a look.
Professor Nelson: Shipping Secondaries
One by one the Dry Bulk Shippers are reporting blow out quarters. However, another pattern seems to be developing under the surface. Shortly after reporting and getting a big bump from the EPS reports, they've been announcing secondary's. Last week it was TBS International (TBSI) and this morning it's Genko Shipping (GNK).

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