UltraShort Dow 30 ProShares (DXD)
Close end exchange traded fund
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The Dow is overbought right now with people betting on the Bull to continue raging. Profit taking (short term) and wash sales (long term) will push the Dow 30 lower over the next month or so. Momentum may then push it even lower...
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Once more with feeling.
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shorting all ultrashorts, bears, and other "leveraged" funds.
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tmfeldrehed
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Ultra-shorts and Ultra-pros are all bad investments due to daily rebalancing
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I'm "all in" betting on a correction sometime over the next 2 Quarters.
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Stocks go up. This cognitive thinking pattern can get us out of any sort of depression.
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we can't go up forever
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I recently ran into this article on an Ultra oil ETF strategy:
http://www.howtowriteoptions.com/ultra-covered-call-strategy-fails
By shorting each side of the Long/Short ETFs I will eventually come up on the positive end. Not sure how effective this will be in real life but long term on CAPs combo-ing these ETF is a sure winner.
I think all of these Ultras are going to crash hard. I have received several warnings from my broker on the risk of these funds and some of my friend’s brokers will not even execute transactions on these.
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dow hits 6,000
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took the biggest drop when s+p surged mar-may
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Easy point pick!
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I'll stay this for ALL the levered ETF's out there, but especially the 3x levered ones...They're going to fail. Choppy markets decimate these things, as evidenced by the reverse splits of FAZ and FAS. UYG and SKF are also negative on the year... rather than buying and holding the one that's supposed to go in the direction you want it to go, its much better to simply short the one that is going in the opposite direction. Or short them both.
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dow is going down over next few weeks. upward momentum run dry. like a stalling plane
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* Summer house market will end with significant declines in prices, this will put 'surprising' pressure on financials (again).
* Outstanding CDS will come home to roost.
* Commercial real-estate!
* 'Surprise' decline in consumer spending
* By end of year, agriculture, gasoline inflation > 10%
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I think the rally in the markets has peaked and we are now in for a large slide down. I spell out my case in this blog post:
Still Bearish: FA and TA on S&P 500, Observations on the Economy
http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=192777&t=01008419310939784033
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Testing a theory here with this account, shorting all short ProShares for starters.
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Fading every pick made by Ultralong
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following Goodvibe
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bull market 101, what is a short etf is a bad etf

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