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Zacks Rank 3-Hold, Recommend Neutral, Industry Rank 186 / 217, Target 11.30, Avg of 11 analysts 13.78
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http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/11/18/this-industry-has-a-failing-report-card.aspx
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http://finance.yahoo.com/q/co?s=DV+Competitors
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The government's going to make an example of EDMC and spank them hard to send a signal to the education industry.
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fraud
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With only a few exceptions, the for-profit education sector is doomed, especially those which are heavily dependent on online revenue. Ultimately their doom won't be attributable to government intervention; that might just speed up the inevitable. The problem is competition from traditional universities, which are increasingly running for-profit ventures, as I've seen firsthand in the education industry. Competition from real universities is something most investors don't understand: most of these traditional schools are now offering online and continuing education courses, often in remote parts of the globe, that use precisely the same business models that outfits like Phoenix are using. Universities finance their traditional programs out of these for-profit enterprises. These schools have a huge leg up on the for-profit colleges: (a) zero taxes on endowment gains; (b) a reputable name/accreditation; (c) government support in the form of subsidies, grants, etc. Meanwhile, the for-profit schools only have tons of research showing that for-profit schools are the equivalent of quicksand for students. The only thing that the for-profit schools have going for them is the insistence that the free market can do everything more efficiently -- to which one can only reply: the traditional colleges have already figured that one out for themselves, and are heavily invested in for-profit strategies already.
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I believe this stock will outperform the market because of what is happening with our economy the sectors that are showing a strong increase are in the education,health care and information techonoly sectors
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Earnings growth is strong and sustainable. Plenty of growth opportunities
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This met a high level screen to indicate a buy and strong outperform against its peers (other tickers in its industry). My 1st version of this spreadsheet devles deep into the company's balnace sheet and recent income statements, combined with other relevant price data for the company including insider/institutional holdings, short interest, debt levels, etc.
Testing capabilities of this 1st version of my automated, valuation spreadhseet matched with my personal criteria and see how it holds up.
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EDMC is an old, well-managed higher education company with deep leadership that has recently purged marginal-performers or those who are culturally mis-aligned.
EDMC has a broader range of offerings (career to doctorate) than other for-profits and has managed to devote the leadership and resources necessary to ensure product quality -- something lacking in many of the for-profits.
From personal experience, I note that Doctorates from their Psych program are employed by some of the largest and most well-known neurological institutes in the nation. EDMC's Art Institutes (where they started) are a standard commodity in that industry.
The CEO has experience (from Apollo) banking positive investor surprises and, some say, has personal motivation to out-perform Apollo.
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