+ Watch ELLI
on My Watchlist
Real estate is just beginning its turnaround.
I got a little paranoid and thought people were out to get me. Now I know, they are.
Housing - Loan Origination. http://boards.fool.com/elli-news-from-the-field-31119232.aspx
moat from network effect; ongoing need for their products
I have looked into this one quite a bit, and the numbers look great. I like the concept as well. Big potential risk in the equation would be a weakening housing market.
Encompass is taking over the mortgage industry with its application software. Growth, revenue, and margins increasing for ELLI as it automates the process of originating and funding mortgage loans, and allows up to date regulatory compliance, plus reduces errors. It is extremely user friendly, and I expect Excompass to take over the entire mortgage industry as its cutting edge software is implemented everywhere. Encompass saves mortgage companies big money and a lot of headaches. Strong buy at these levels, as I would expect its share price does not come close to reflecting its cutting edge software taking the mortgage industry by storm. This could easily break out above $30 in the near term.
long term bet. The mortgage process is out of date.
I will submit it here in caps to keep an eye on it. Will consider a real position soon.
- Rapidly growing user base (+40% yr/yr) that is adopting the Encompass software solution. - As users become more comfortable/familiar with Encompass, switching costs rise and # of transactions/user increases (revenues to ELLI).- Asset-light business model that is easily scalable.- Huge addressable market that is in flux due to increased regulations. Increased regulation is good for ELLI business.- Network Effect: The Ellie Mae Network becomes more valuable as more users subscribe.Full Overview of my bullish thesis:http://beta.fool.com/txinvestor82/2013/03/06/why-ellie-mae-needs-be-your-radar/24624/
Growth Stock finding a base
housing market activity continues to improve and ELLI offers the market an efficient way to conduct business.
Housing recovery and new mortgage applications bode well for ELLI.
Looks like its software is set to become the de facto standard for the mortgage industry. That's a strong position to have.
Cheap with multiple catalysts in the years ahead. Interesting way to plan the housing recovery.
Growing fast, and has approximately 1/3 of the available market. Lots of room to grow yet..
I just listened to the Needham investor presentation (January 17, 2013) and the ELLI CFO said that they had a pilot program going with CITI to buy ELLI's on demand automated mortgage solutions. I'm trying to refinance a property with CITI and it's been impossible to deal with their (clueless) mortgage people--if ELLI sells to CITI, which desperately needs ELLI services IMHO, I think it will be a huge new revenue source. Likewise according to the CFO ELLI recently landed another big bank account and that will bolster 2013 revenues/earnings as well. And surely there are other big banks shopping for electronic mortgage services to streamline for the projected housing boom. Right now ELLI is on a dip, likely because of one recent negative analyst report, but I think it will rebound quickly and continue to grow in the quarters ahead.
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