Epl Oil & Gas, Inc. (NYSE:EPL)
An independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company with operations concentrated in the Shelf and deepwater Gulf of Mexico as well as the Gulf Coast onshore region.
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Can a random number generator (www.random.org) produce the best 100 stock picks that will beat the market over the years? Let’s find out. :)
My process, for those interested:
I use www.random.org number generator to produce a number between 1 and 7,801. There are 7,801 stocks available to choose on the Motley Fool CAPS Game. Once I get a number, I go to the list, find that stock, and select that stock to outperform for the next five years.
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Completely picked at random.
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bad management losing money in an energy bull run
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I'm in at 12.72 (after doubling down 3x since June 07). Liked Price/Sales and /Book vs industry + light on debt. In for the long haul or the acquisition, whichever comes first.
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EPL has had a wild ride as it spurned a $23 per share take over and then failed to sell itself for more. But the company has executed on its operations just as promised and has been unduly penalized in the market decline. Expect a $18+ stock price by 12/07.
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I love the risk reward. $1 down, but potential for $23 upside were the company repurchased shares within the past year. Terrible management... what more do you want in a takeover target.
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Regional focus equals tight cost control
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Will be bought out.
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oil hitting bottom. consolidation in drillers. good reserves
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Take-over target.
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Manufacters solar products for efficent and free energy supply
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Buy out pending
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EPL is set to acquire Stone Energy at about $20/bbl for proven reserves. There may be an upside if reserves are found to be conservative. This deal more than doubles EPL's Deepwater position and gives it some more onshore production in the Rockies. The onshore production will provide cashflow when hurricanes shut down Gulf production and gas prices spike. The deal also gives EPL its first international exposure to a development in China. Great deal for EPL to build out its core area (the Gulf Shelf) and diversify its production. EPL had been growing at 30% per year before this deal.
Caveat: deal is not inked yet!
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