$34.51 1.86 (+5.70%)
2/9/2010 4:00 PM

ENERGY BULL 3X (ERX)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

Current Price $34.51 Mkt Cap $96.63M
Open $33.87 P/E Ratio 0.00
Prev. Close $32.65 Div. (Yield) 0.44 (1.10%)
Daily Range $33.50 - $35.72 Volume 6,344,801
52-Wk Range $16.23 - $54.54 Avg. Daily Vol. 0

ERX News and Commentary

Caps

How do you think ERX will perform vs the S&P 500?

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All Members

173 Outperform
176 Underperform
 

All-Star Members

94 Outperform
77 Underperform
 

Wall Street

0 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top ERX Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

ktrotter79 (99.91)
Submitted January 23, 2009

I am not sure we are at the bottom, but I am sure that we are very close. I am recommending a long position in this etf. Every time there is a 10% drop in the index you should buy, and every time there is a 10% increase in the index you should sell.… More

volatilitydecay (99.24)
Submitted February 08, 2009

My intention is to showcase/prove that Leveraged ETFs are inappropriate for any Medium-to-Long term Investment strategy - and are only suitable as EXTREMELY short-term "market timing" trading vehicles.

I am starting this profile… More

ERX VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from members about ERX.

Recs

0
Member Avatar fooletfs (78.17) Submitted: 11/25/2009 3:14:51 PM : Underperform Start Price: $41.92 ERX Score: +13.95

testing what's been said here on CAPs.
Do shorting all 3x ETFs mean easy net returns?
YES, IF, you rebalance once ratio goes 1.7 (or 1/1.7)

In a sideways or down market this would also translate into net points on CAPs
But your accuracy will be hurting, you'll mostly be 50% accuracy at best on this strat.
Current batch I am redthumbing here on CAPs today
ERX/ERY
DRN/DRV
TYH/TYP
Further on my personal thoughts on this strat:
using hypothetical scenarios, actual 3x #s from '09, and 2x funds from differing periods:

Worst case scenario, this strategy loses in a year: (5%)

Best case scenarios in a year: 10%+

Should expect most returns in a year: 3-7%
Remember, because of leverage, your broker will require to reserve alot of capital.

In implementing this strat, pray for two things: 1) Hope your short shares don't get called back by broker & 2) if in rebalancing you wish to increase position, hope you can short more.

This strategy may be a good play to allocate comparable to the fixed income/bond allocation of portfolio or completely replace that bond allocation with this.

I would say maximum amount you sell each position is 23% of face value of account. IE a $10,000 acct, short sell a maximum $2,300 worth of each ETF.

Recs

0
Member Avatar guybrushthreepwd (46.49) Submitted: 11/9/2009 11:13:24 AM : Outperform Start Price: $42.16 ERX Score: -16.62

Favorable sector. No single stock risk. Potential for outsized returns.

Recs

0
Member Avatar satansfolly (< 20) Submitted: 11/6/2009 10:54:05 AM : Underperform Start Price: $40.11 ERX Score: +14.35

oil going down with unemployment breaking 10%

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in ERX.

Score Leader

UltraLong

UltraLong (100.00) Score: +140.07

The Score Leader is the member with the highest score across all their picks in ERX.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score Commentary
vaugh010 98.19 3/6/2009 Outperform 3W $15.42 +123.84% +59.95% +63.89
Theory1 < 20 11/19/2008 Underperform NS $40.40 -14.58% +31.14% +45.72
rocketshipxm 61.84 7/8/2009 Outperform 5Y $20.65 +67.13% +21.61% +45.52
NomiSid 97.59 4/21/2009 Outperform NS $20.09 +71.80% +30.81% +40.98
BlackDragon64 48.28 3/4/2009 10/16/2009 Outperform NS $18.02 +91.51% +52.09% +39.43
Malireddys 83.69 3/16/2009 Outperform NS $19.08 +80.91% +41.79% +39.12
abitarePERFECT 99.84 11/12/2008 Underperform 1Y $39.52 -12.68% +25.49% +38.16
mckx < 20 7/14/2009 Outperform 5Y $22.28 +54.88% +19.21% +35.67
dljames33 < 20 11/20/2008 Underperform 3W $34.09 +1.24% +35.61% +34.36
moonlightmoney < 20 3/11/2009 Outperform 3Y $19.12 +80.49% +49.04% +31.44

Wall Street

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