Elastic (NYSE:ESTC)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

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All Players

9 Outperform
3 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

4 Outperform
3 Underperform
 

Wall Street

0 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top ESTC Bull/Bear Pitches

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ESTC VS S&P 500 (SPY)

ESTC Summary

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Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about ESTC.

Recs

0
Member Avatar ak1010 (99.81) Submitted: 10/11/2018 10:34:03 AM : Outperform Start Price: $61.75 ESTC Score: +4.83

Paul

Recs

0
Member Avatar TSIF (99.97) Submitted: 10/8/2018 3:31:08 PM : Underperform Start Price: $66.57 ESTC Score: -0.26

Many stocks skyrocket upward beyond their set IPO price. In most cases as the equity gets into the index funds and "mandatory" buy arenas it typically settles back down. It can be more vulnerable when lockup expires.

Usually a high price immediately after IPO is not worth "calling" here, but in this case I think there is a lot of over exuberance and hence "elasticity". It was interesting the company said it didn't "need the money", but was going public to achieve a higher level of credibility. I'm not clear why any growing company with a sought after product needs to be listed. So off the bat I doubt the leadership.

8M shares will be a somewhat low float initially so there may be a base. Overall though the 2X the already high IPO price puts this one at a $4.5B market cap on $160M in revenue with $50M in losses. Expect more growing pains.

"Open-source software for search and data analytics" also has some heavy hitting competition who won't back down.

Target....if this one can ramp revenue, with the IPO money (which it said it didn't need) to offset SG&A growth it might hold up awhile. I doubt this, but will set a fairly low point wise target of +15 and evaluate or close.

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in ESTC.

Score Leader

Juvenal

Juvenal (48.56) Score: +13.66

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in ESTC.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
Juvenal 48.56 10/15/2018 Outperform 5Y $61.40 +4.99% +0.11% +4.87 0 Comment
ak1010 99.81 10/11/2018 Outperform 5Y $61.75 +4.40% -0.43% +4.83 1 Comment
daya 57.03 10/9/2018 Outperform 3Y $64.31 +0.23% -3.82% +4.05 0 Comment
CMFChadf926 88.99 10/10/2018 Outperform 5Y $65.61 -1.75% -3.69% +1.94 0 Comment
PaulWBryant 84.35 10/9/2018 Outperform 5Y $66.21 -2.64% -3.88% +1.23 0 Comment
TSIF 99.97 10/8/2018 Underperform 1Y $66.57 -3.16% -3.42% -0.26 1 Comment
redfox18 99.93 10/10/2018 Underperform 5Y $65.61 -1.75% -3.69% -1.94 0 Comment
anchak 99.91 10/8/2018 Underperform NS $65.06 -0.92% -3.55% -2.63 0 Comment
usubanas2 90.32 10/5/2018 Outperform 5Y $69.47 -7.21% -3.99% -3.22 0 Comment
Bartolomo < 20 10/8/2018 Outperform 3Y $69.75 -7.58% -3.78% -3.81 0 Comment

Wall Street

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