Expeditors International of Washington (NASDAQ:EXPD)
The Company is engaged in the business of providing global logistics services. It offers its customers a seamless international network supporting the movement and strategic positioning of goods.
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M* Ultimate Stockpickers
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Quality company, volumes will return....meanwhile a price opportunity.
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Expeditor's fortunes are closely tied to global economic activity in the same way that shipping companies are. As long as the global economy continues to waddle along at a slow pace, I don't quite see this outperforming the benchmark S&P in the next 12 months.
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There's been a lot of negative vibe for this stock surrounding the expectation of an economic slowdown. But Expeditors has built expertise in their niche and is shareholder-friendly (they have been aggressively increasing their dividend). I think they're a long-term outperformer that is selling on the cheap.
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I bought EXPD at $34.42 on 10/12/12
Consider Buy below 36.60
Consider Sell above 68.00
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SUMMARY
Current Price 34.78
My Fair Value 52.28
Req'd Margin of Safety 30%
MOS Low 36.60
MOS High 67.96
Residual Income/Sh 1.73
ASSUMPTIONS
Forecast ROE 18.1%
Hurdle Rate 10.0%
Years 1-5 growth % 8.2|7.6|7.0|6.6|6.2
Years 6-10 CAGR 5.0%
Years 11-15 CAGR 4.0%
Terminal CAGR 3.0%
EXPECTED 5-YEAR ROI
Dividend Yield 1.5%
Forecast RI CAGR 7.1%
Change in Multiple 8.5%
Forecast ROI 17.1%
Required ROI 15.0%
SUMMARY RATINGS
Economic Moat Wide
Fund'l GPA 3.6|4.0
Price to Fair Value 66.5%
Technical Indicators Oversold
Indicated Action CONSIDER BUY
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As the economy picks up shipping will increase and EXPD will benefit and will have increased earnings.
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Expeditors is an incredibly well run company with an excellent business model. Although growth is tied to global trade, Expeditors also grows by taking market share, which it does by offering a more expansive network, better service, and higher reliability than its peers. The company's internally built systems are more efficient than those cobbled together by peers. Employees and managers are properly aligned with shareholders and the company's balance sheet is pristine.
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Excellent management, start of recession is good time to get in.
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Great management, no debt
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Good company with a small market share.
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295. Expeditors Int'l (NASDAQ: EXPD) is expensive. I even checked to see if this was because they were trading around book value. This is not the case. Target: $30-$40. This company seems to like to trade at a premium to where I'd set its intrinsic value. I'm not a fan at all. Can someone explain their investment hypothesis here? I just don't get it. This looks way overvalued. I definately wouldn't own this one but am hesitant to put it on the underperform block but am going to do it anyway.
http://beta.fool.com/bradford86/2012/01/16/price-market-part-46/
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It appears that they have their eyes on the future and feel that weathering the storm now will lead to bigger returns.
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Been hit hard with the global turmoil, but the longer term global growth story is still intact.
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Adding ahead of earnings report.
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Rock solid financials run by the shareholder friendly founder with an exceptional record of reinvesting capital with stock off recent highs due to declerration of growth off strong base last year.
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Getting killed -- insider buying -- good company with a strong balance sheet -- logistics make sense in a world of growing global trade.
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-expected to increase earnings and revenue this year
-recent insider buying
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shipping expedited
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no debt and 4 stars
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NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Expeditors International of Washington Inc. /quotes/comstock/15*!expd/quotes/nls/expd (EXPD 50.52, -1.00, -1.94%) said Tuesday its third-quarter earnings rose to $96.1 million, or 44 cents a share, from $57.8 million, or 27 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $1.67 billion from $1.04 billion. Wall Street analysts expected earnings of 42 cents a share and revenue of $1.61 billion, according to a survey by FactSet Research. "It is particularly reassuring when market share gains made when volumes were down actually show up en masse when the market turns," the company said.
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