Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST)
The Company sells industrial and construction supplies in a wholesale and retail fashion.
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Zacks Rank 4-Sell, Recommend Neutral, Industry Rank 90 / 265, Avg target of 11 analysts 48.80
- Short Interest Ratio: 7.20 %
- Est Revision Ratio: Up 0 vs 41 Down
- Free Cash Flow: 104.73 M
- Debt / Equity Ratio: 0
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New industrial vending programs, controlled new store growth and disciplined expense controls will drive earnings growth over the next year.
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Sell-off was over done. Looking for modest rebound.
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For reference point and to allow for comments by others. As of the end of March, 2013.
ROE 27.01%
Trailing PE 35.82
PB 9.38
Div yield 1.50%
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I gave this the green thumb on Investor Beat yesterday. Fastenal is a solid company in a tough industry today. Metalworking along with industrial demand in general is weak and they're feeling the pinch of no organic revenue growth. However Fastenal has a long history of beating the market, it's well-managed and it's fiscally fit. At 30 times normalized earnings it's not a steal, but it is worthy of consideration for investors with a long-term (5 yrs plus) time horizon.
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Nasdaq in maximums.
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I like the recent sharp decline in price on declining volume and the history of strong bounces from around this level. I also see a bounce in the industries it serves in the next quarter, but this is mostly an "oversold" play that I expect to pay off in a few weeks, and which I don't mind holding longer if it doesn't.
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housing recovery, vending machines
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It got a little ahead of itself, but will continue to grow with the construction recovery.
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specialized
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consistent best of breed in stable industry
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The stock currently looks over valued but FAST will continue to be a long term win.
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Not an exciting stock like an Apple or Google but kicks the market's behind for years and pays a nice little regular yield. This is a great, steady, no frills money maker.
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good history safe stock
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This is a great company, but so is the current valuation. The growth just doesn't justify a $13.9 billion market cap. The stock is currently overvalued by about 40 to 50 percent. Remember what a smart investor once said - "a great business is not a great investment if you pay too much for it."
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no debt
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298. Fastenal Co. (NASDAQ: FAST) is repping out new all-time highs like it's nobody's business. Sell. Do not think twice. The valuation here is so high that a small mis-step will result in lower prices. The chart is parabolic. Target: $30-$40. I'm betting CAPS points on this one coming back down to earth. Since when can you apply a P/E of 40+ to a company set to grow at less than 20%? Well, if your answer was: "In your dreams." You'd be right. Mark my words, Fastenal will fall below $40 in the next 5 years.
http://beta.fool.com/bradford86/2012/01/16/price-market-part-46/
Recs
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Solid business
Wide moat/durable competetive advantages
Persistent/predictble FCFs, returns on capital and profit margins
Strong balance sheet (cash, D/E, Current Ratio, etc)
Managers are competent stewards of owner capital
Currently trading well above FV
Fair value = 30.80
Moderate-High FV uncertainty
Buy with 37% MOS below 19.70
Sell now above 41.90
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Awesome management
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