Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

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Member Avatar vistacarolina (56.75) Submitted: 2/11/2016 6:55:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $103.74 FB Score: -2.57

the world is connected....

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Member Avatar TomFoolNC (28.27) Submitted: 2/10/2016 4:22:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $99.60 FB Score: +0.07

doing the best job of monetizing their users, have the best info on their users for targeted adds

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Member Avatar Snydes (50.26) Submitted: 2/5/2016 10:26:15 AM : Outperform Start Price: $106.54 FB Score: -2.88

People are gaga over this one, it's life span may be about five years but will be keeping investors in on the gamble until reality sets in, which should take about five years

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Member Avatar Markandeya10 (< 20) Submitted: 1/30/2016 2:13:16 PM : Outperform Start Price: $112.27 FB Score: -6.07

Face book's recent earnings is proof that their strategy of cashing in on Mobile ads is a success. There is so much more potential for growth in their business model. FB is a growth story and will remain one into the foreseeable future.

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Member Avatar tradeseeker14 (36.36) Submitted: 1/30/2016 1:16:18 PM : Underperform Start Price: $105.05 FB Score: -6.25

Perfect short zone after earnings 1-29

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Member Avatar reimerpdx (65.31) Submitted: 1/28/2016 4:50:38 PM : Outperform Start Price: $97.69 FB Score: +2.38

So many things. Expansion around the world and monetization of WhatsApp, VR to rule them all, that will eventually be monetized with crazy ads.

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Member Avatar warrenout (99.66) Submitted: 1/28/2016 12:18:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $112.42 FB Score: -6.20

Come on. There's a light up here inside my brain. Sometimes I turn it off and forget to turn it back on.

I'll never sell FB again.

It will beat the S&P ten fold.

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Member Avatar PeterJana (39.56) Submitted: 1/22/2016 2:43:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $96.41 FB Score: +7.47

outperform

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Member Avatar nrlbuild (98.62) Submitted: 1/18/2016 7:50:43 AM : Outperform Start Price: $96.53 FB Score: +7.43

Huge market, leader in social media, visionary leader, well run company with long term focus.

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Member Avatar wilsoncbs (< 20) Submitted: 1/13/2016 1:37:37 AM : Outperform Start Price: $97.86 FB Score: +6.94

Still the best social apps !

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Member Avatar seanocode (40.25) Submitted: 1/9/2016 1:35:41 PM : Outperform Start Price: $97.91 FB Score: +7.49

It's platform of users it's able to reach. It's the new NEWS!

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Member Avatar BeFoolery (40.02) Submitted: 1/8/2016 6:23:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $97.91 FB Score: +7.49

social network juggernaut with genius zuckerberg at the helm

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Member Avatar PartyPooper (< 20) Submitted: 1/5/2016 12:38:38 AM : Underperform Start Price: $102.89 FB Score: -6.48

Facebook stock's Price-to-Sales ratio is insane at 18.57.

Total Price of
Facebook, Inc.:
$289,080,000,000
(Market Cap; approximate price of almost all the public stock)

Facebook, Inc.'s
last 12 months of SALES (revenue):
$15,567,043,619

Facebook, Inc.'s
Price-To-Sales Ratio is the
total price (market cap)
divided by its last 12 months of sales:

$289,080,000,000 / $15,567,043,619
= 18.57 ( the P/S ratio )

That's like buying your local diner for $18.57 million if
its sales were $1 million for the last 12 months:
$18.57 million price / $1 million sales

It will take Facebook, Inc.
18.57 years years of SALES at 100% profit
to equal the market price.
(3.8% annualized return)

But that's NOT REALISTIC.
What about years of PROFIT
needed to equal the purchase price?

Your investment about doubles when
Facebook, Inc.'s accumulated profits reach the purchase price.

Facebook's profit margin is about 17.7% according to Yahoo Finance. Keep that in mind when looking at the following...

YEARS of PROFIT needed to DOUBLE investment
if sales remain flat...
At 30% profit: 61.9 years (1.1% annual return)
At 25% profit: 74.3 years (0.9% annual return)

At 20% profit: 92.9 years (0.7% annual return)<-- FB's is lower
At 15% profit: 123.8 years (0.6% annual return)

At 10% profit: 185.7 years (0.4% annual return)
At 5% profit: 371.4 years (0.2% annual return)
At 3% profit: 619 years (0.1% annual return)

BUT WHAT ABOUT GROWTH?

If SALES DOUBLE for 1 year = $31,134,087,238
P/S**: 9.28 with TODAY'S stock price
At 30% PROFIT: 30.9 years (2.3% annual return)
At 25% PROFIT: 37.1 years (1.9% annual return)

At 20% PROFIT: 46.4 years (1.5% annual return)<-- FB's is lower
At 15% PROFIT: 61.9 years (1.1% annual return)

At 10% PROFIT: 92.8 years (0.7% annual return)
At 5% PROFIT: 185.7 years (0.4% annual return)
At 3% PROFIT: 309.5 years (0.2% annual return)

If SALES DOUBLE for 2 years = $62,268,174,476
P/S**: 4.64 with TODAY'S stock price
At 30% PROFIT: 15.5 years (4.6% annual return)
At 25% PROFIT: 18.6 years (3.8% annual return)

At 20% PROFIT: 23.2 years (3% annual return) <-- FB's is lower
At 15% PROFIT: 30.9 years (2.3% annual return)

At 10% PROFIT: 46.4 years (1.5% annual return)
At 5% PROFIT: 92.8 years (0.7% annual return)
At 3% PROFIT: 154.7 years (0.4% annual return)

If SALES DOUBLE for 3 years = $124,536,348,952
P/S**: 2.32 with TODAY'S stock price
At 30% PROFIT: 7.7 years (9.4% annual return)
At 25% PROFIT: 9.3 years (7.8% annual return)

At 20% PROFIT: 11.6 years (6.2% annual return)<-- FB's is lower
At 15% PROFIT: 15.5 years (4.6% annual return)

At 10% PROFIT: 23.2 years (3% annual return)
At 5% PROFIT: 46.4 years (1.5% annual return)
At 3% PROFIT: 77.4 years (0.9% annual return)

If SALES DOUBLE for 4 years = $249,072,697,904
P/S**: 1.16 with TODAY'S stock price
At 30% PROFIT: 3.9 years (19.6% annual return)
At 25% PROFIT: 4.6 years (16.1% annual return)

At 20% PROFIT: 5.8 years (12.7% annual return)<-- FB's is lower
At 15% PROFIT: 7.7 years (9.4% annual return)

At 10% PROFIT: 11.6 years (6.2% annual return)
At 5% PROFIT: 23.2 years (3% annual return)
At 3% PROFIT: 38.7 years (1.8% annual return)

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Member Avatar Merlinsmoney (90.00) Submitted: 12/31/2015 10:57:21 AM : Outperform Start Price: $105.55 FB Score: +5.46

Smart and stable leadership, level of use.

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Member Avatar beerpshr (31.39) Submitted: 12/27/2015 10:53:34 AM : Outperform Start Price: $105.02 FB Score: +6.03

Social media will continue to grow and they know how to monetize their product

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Member Avatar PanguSandhai (54.85) Submitted: 12/20/2015 2:52:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $99.89 FB Score: +6.82

Pipeline

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Member Avatar saer1212 (45.73) Submitted: 12/12/2015 5:39:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $102.29 FB Score: +7.37

COMPANY has strong management that is investing money into business that are just beginning to create profit or will create profit in the next few years. I see the company as having a "moat" which is it's name. I support this with FB having over one billion users currently. Although no one knows for certain, as I follow the story I see increased earnings and growth for this company. I am grateful that I bought what I could afford around the 52 dollar per share mark and have continued to purchase shares. If FB story was a baseball game I think it is still in the very early innings and see this story and company as buying a biz that has the potential to earn me good money if I am patient and wait for the maturation of the stock.

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Member Avatar oylmiller (60.78) Submitted: 11/30/2015 1:23:48 AM : Outperform Start Price: $105.60 FB Score: +7.65

Facebook will continue to add value and services across its multi-billion user base. Unlocking entirely new revenue streams such as the eventually monetising of What's App, virtual reality and artificial intelligence.

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Member Avatar roesler11 (< 20) Submitted: 11/28/2015 11:02:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $105.84 FB Score: +7.40

Huge following and opportunity

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Member Avatar andrewtraylor2 (51.42) Submitted: 11/27/2015 12:20:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $105.39 FB Score: +7.77

Fools keep betting against Mark Zuckerberg; don't be one!

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