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$3.28 0.20 (6.49%)
5/16/2008 4:01 PM

The First Marblehead Corp (FMD)

CAPS Rating:
****

The Company with its subsidiaries offers national, regional financial, educational institutions, as well as businesses, education loan marketers & other organizations, a suite of outsourcing services for private education lending in the U.S.

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Rating a stock in CAPS consists of three components:

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Total Players

2963 Outperforms
178 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

775 Outperforms
60 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

1 Outperforms
4 Underperforms
 

Players bullish on FMD are also bullish on:

Players bearish on FMD are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Financial Services (31), Credit Services (49), Massachusetts (15), Boston (6), Small Cap (1922), Dividend (187)
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The First Marblehead Corp At A Glance

Current Price: $3.28
Last Trade Time: 5/16/2008 4:01 PM
Open: $3.05
Previous Close: $3.08
Daily Range: $2.99 - $3.32
52-Week Range: $2.95 - $42.50
Volume: 2,906,305
Market Cap: $304.53M
P/E Ratio: 1.75
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Stock Trends

FMD VS S&P 500 (SPY)

FMD 12 month chart vs. S&P

News & Discussion Boards

Top Bull Pitch

Recs

11

The First Marblehead Corp (FMD)

Avatar tycoonbull (90.09) Submitted: 4/14/08 10:27 PM

FMD's loss of a $1 billion credit facility, provided by an affiliate of Goldman Sachs, is a cause for significant concern. FMD's access to the credit facility would have eased liquidity concerns stemming from the turmoil in the credit markets.

More obviously, TERI's recent bankruptcy filing is a ma...More

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Top Bear Pitch

Recs

30

The First Marblehead Corp (FMD)

Avatar o2n2y (< 20) Submitted: 1/01/08 2:13 PM

Still working on "fundamentals" to figure out if there's a safe entry point with real $$$!!!


In the interim, I'm beginning to wonder about some of the commentary in Caps postings!





1) An amazing # of "outperformers" seem to think the credit crunch will be over in...More

Replies: 9 | Reply | Permalink

CAPS Players

picks per page. CHANGE

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Show Pitch Replies

Recs

1

 (FMD)

Avatar NASAGeek (88.39) Submitted: 5/16/08 7:28 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.05 FMD Score: 7.63

beat up financial, mdp discussion, p/e 1.75

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Recs

1

 (FMD)

Avatar AhhHaleNo (< 20) Submitted: 5/15/08 9:01 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.05 FMD Score: 7.63

I bought today ay $2.97 a share. I have no doubt this company will rebound and do well for years to come.

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Recs

1

 (FMD)

Avatar thedavil (38.85) Submitted: 5/15/08 12:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.00 FMD Score: 8.64

A total run-around play. At sub-3.00, I'm thinking that FMD has bottomed out and the new company direction will drag the stocks out of the muck. A couple of class action lawsuits have been filed, but that's way beyond my knowledge to sort out. My knee-jerk reaction to the suits is that they're sour grapes from folks that rolled the dice and lost.

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Recs

1

 (FMD)

Avatar graybell (68.39) Submitted: 5/14/08 3:58 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.00 FMD Score: 8.17

at $3, this could bounce

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Recs

2

 (FMD)

Avatar jstran (85.00) Submitted: 5/13/08 6:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.34 FMD Score: -3.73

5.38 in book value.
$120 million in cash; about $2 in cash for a 2.55 stock;
RBC analysis seems interesting: $1 price target, yet his earnings show .50 The analyst is calling for P/E of 2?
Dividend: conference call stated dividend in .25 range with earnings covering the dividend. Now we know why they were piling up the cash, in case there were issues.

IMB has announced deferal of their payment which was only 2% of companies and AFN stated it would take off .02 of earnings. HOWEVER, it forced 5 of their trups into OC test. This is a significant hit and is why the stock is in freefall. While in deferal, those earnings still count for AFN, but they don't get the cash. If IMB starts paying again, the stock will move back up, if not, then a serious problem.

Still, for risk / reward. I still think in 5 years time, it will outperform. $120 million in cash easily covers the dividend for quite a while. They have $2 in cash - I see the stock rising higher than being worth less than its cash.

The company mentioned in the conference call they are having a commitee looking at alternatives - including de-REIT, staying a REIT and other options. Even if bought out, they should be bought out for at least book value, which would be a great increase.

I re-iterate my outperfrom at 2.55 and believe the reward outweighs the risk. However, momentum players are in control for the short-term as it is a hated small-cap stock with bad press. But I believe it will survive, and if it does will easily beat the benchmark.

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Wall Street

Results 1 - 5 of 5  

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick		Player NamePlayer RatingStart
Date		CallTime FrameStart
Price		Stock
Gain		S&P
Gain		ScorePitch
TrackSnow 75.82 09/30/07 Outperform NS $37.62-91.28%-6.50%-84.78 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackJimCramer 80.65 04/17/07 Underperform 3W $35.87-90.86%-3.01%+87.84
TrackFBR 86.53 12/06/06 Underperform NS $51.21-93.59%+0.57%+94.16
TrackMatrix 89.07 09/19/06 Underperform NS $41.05-92.01%+7.98%+99.99
TrackUBS 93.41 08/11/06 Underperform NS $31.73-89.66%+12.21%+101.87

Results 1 - 5 of 5  

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