CurrencyShares Euro Trust (AMEX:FXE)
This ETF provides an exact proxy for the euro.
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Europe is a mess, with many countries spending way beyond their means. The foundation and principals upon which the Euro was founded prevent any functional means of resolving individual country financial/debt issues. Austerity measures are too drastic to be acceptable to the people who must endure them. Hard to see any way out. High probability that the Euro will weaken vs. the dollar.
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I think the Euro will go down in value (compared to the US $) over the next 6 months or so.
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Euro hope springs eternal, but it won't last.
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I am betting against EUR vs USD because i think the european situation is very serious in terms of economics and political issues and will not be resolve until the end of 2012.
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Greek/Italy/Spain/etc worries will most likely continue to weaken the euro, which should cause FXE to underperform against the S+P. I'm not saying the Euro is going to tank by any means I just think in the short term this play should be easy points.
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The Euro is a failed experiment. The EU will still try to prop it for as long as it can.
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Will the Euro survive?
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Greece is only a small canary in the deep black hole that the Eurozone is trying to climb out of. When Spain, Portugal and Italy begin to waver, expect plenty of pain for the Euro.
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So long as European monetary policy is less inflationary than US monetary policy we should see good numbers in this ETF, however this may change short-term if the central banks of Europe alter policies in favor of bailing our Ireland or Greece. Keep a tight watch.
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Sell November
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Global retrenchment
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Almost certain!
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Euro is a dead currency.
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Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, and Spain will destroy the Euro. U.K. isn't too far behind either.
Europe is as good as being bankrupt.
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the euro will get stronger and stronger against the dollar due to monetary emission by the US federal reserve.
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The amount of <20 players bearish on the Euro is astonishing and should be looked as a contrarian indicator.
Eurodollar postionning on retail traders and speculators is -1.5 and is also a good contrarian we might be closing on the bottom.
The US$ is way overbought and EuroDollar short squeeze will end and market will return to fundamentals you want it or not.
Don't worry if you are long FXE because when US$ is going to reverse it is going as sharp as when it went up.
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As the dollar strengthens against the Euro this should drop.
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