$12.39 -0.14 (-1.12%)
12/3/2009 4:01 PM

CGI Group, Inc. (USA) (GIB)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

The Company provides a full range of IT services including outsourcing, systems integration and consulting. The Company's primary focus is large scale systems integration and outsourcing contracts.

Current Price $12.39 Mkt Cap $3.81B
Open $12.58 P/E Ratio 13.05
Prev. Close $12.53 Div. (Yield) N/A (N/A)
Daily Range $12.36 - $12.58 Volume 189,351
52-Wk Range $6.65 - $13.47 Avg. Daily Vol. 182,000

GIB News and Commentary

Caps

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All Members

200 Outperform
6 Underperform
 

All-Star Members

56 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Wall Street

3 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top GIB Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

ajsiegel (98.47)
Submitted September 18, 2009

Great cash flow and proprietary software that seems to be popular at many gov't agencies.

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GIB VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from members about GIB.

Recs

0
Member Avatar mrbill6 (< 20) Submitted: 10/20/2009 11:09:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.79 GIB Score: -4.36

navallier rated A, moneycentral rated 9

Recs

1
Member Avatar ajsiegel (98.47) Submitted: 9/18/2009 3:22:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.16 GIB Score: +7.80

Great cash flow and proprietary software that seems to be popular at many gov't agencies.

Recs

1
Member Avatar MagicDiligence (80.38) Submitted: 9/9/2009 7:51:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.66 GIB Score: +8.68

CGI Group is Canada's largest IT consulting firm, based in Montreal, and dominates the consulting market for most of the top-shelf Canadian companies. CGI's services are concentrated into three basic areas: consulting, systems integration, and business process outsourcing. The company has focused on a few well-defined industries to target their services, namely financial services, telecommunications, retail, manufacturing, and healthcare. The largest geographic contributor to revenues is Canada, although the U.S. market provides about a third of sales (CGI entered the U.S. in 2004).

Consulting and outsourcing is a huge market with a lot of nooks and crannies and an absolute tidal wave of competition. CGI Group focuses mainly on large scale systems integration and their outsourcing contracts, which puts them into direct competition with some large competitors like Accenture (ACN), IBM (IBM), Computer Sciences (CSC), and others. A durable competitive position in such a competitive and (in many cases) discretionary market is difficult to achieve. One of CGI's biggest disadvantages is a lack of presence in cheap labor geographies where outsourcing things like call centers and IT support can be done inexpensively. Less than 10% of the work force is located in these regions, putting CGI at a disadvantage against a truly global player like Accenture. And CGI's only real geographic advantage is in Canada, where established relationships favor it. Additionally, some competitors provide their own hardware solutions, which creates customer lock-in potential (and add-on profits) that CGI cannot boast.

On the growth side, CGI benefits from a secular trend towards outsourcing of IT functions, a trend that will likely continue. It makes little sense for large companies to maintain their own IT departments when much of the work is standardized around generally accepted hardware and protocols better managed by a specialized firm. CGI's growth will come mainly from expanding into new geographies, as management hopes to build the U.S. business up to the size of the Canadian side and also add sales in Europe and Asia. Historically the company has used acquisition in this effort, completing numerous deals over the past few years, and this avenue will likely be followed in the future. Recent results have been pretty good given the environment, with backlog at $11.8 billion and new contract wins exceeding revenue.

Financially, CGI has a strong position and has been steadily improving operations for several years. Cash on the balance sheet totals $271 million, vs. just over $300 million in long-term debt, and interest coverage is not a concern. Free cash flow margin has averaged around 6% over the past 5 years, about average for the industry, but has been improving over the past few years. Operating margin has marched up from about 9% in 2005 to about 11.5% today. MFI return on capital has been right around the 60% range. CGI's nominal return on capital is more pedestrian though, at about 9% when you add in acquisition costs.

CGI Group can really be summed up in two words: plain vanilla. The business is a good one but competitive, the growth prospects are available but not easily grasped, and the financial position is nothing to be concerned about or excited over. Customer satisfaction rates are good but are no substitute for the hardware lock-in that some competitors can boast. New contracts and backlog have remained steady but are not exploding. In a nutshell, CGI Group is a good company that is certainly underpriced at a 13.3% earnings yield, and will probably deliver MFI investors decent returns. MagicDiligence has a positive opinion. But it is not exciting enough to consider as a MagicDiligence Top Buy pick.

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in GIB.

Score Leader

ActiveTuning

ActiveTuning (< 20) Score: +105.79

The Score Leader is the member with the highest score across all their picks in GIB.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score Commentary
ActiveTuning < 20 10/4/2006 Outperform 3W $6.39 +93.90% -11.89% +105.79
sandvig 99.70 10/18/2006 10/26/2006 Outperform 5Y $6.61 +87.44% -14.43% +101.87 1 Comment
sebastian30 43.14 1/16/2007 Outperform 1Y $6.82 +81.67% -18.11% +99.78
amatern96 77.44 11/22/2006 Outperform 3W $6.79 +82.47% -16.82% +99.30
moakes22 88.12 9/29/2006 1/4/2009 Outperform 1Y $6.73 +84.10% -12.42% +96.52
blackbear9 24.85 10/17/2006 Outperform 3M $6.82 +81.67% -14.07% +95.74
EvisionaryFool < 20 1/29/2007 Outperform NS $6.98 +77.51% -17.42% +94.93
drambermoore < 20 1/3/2007 Outperform 1Y $7.00 +77.00% -17.64% +94.64
TotalStockMarket 86.88 12/11/2006 Outperform NS $7.08 +75.00% -17.16% +92.16
twopairfullhouse < 20 10/20/2006 Outperform 1Y $6.99 +77.25% -14.37% +91.62

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackCanaccord 77.41 8/28/2009 Outperform NS $10.47 +18.34% +7.56% +10.78
TrackWellsFargo < 20 3/26/2009 Outperform NS $8.29 +49.46% +35.60% +13.85
TrackRBCCapMkts 81.80 1/29/2008 Outperform NS $9.96 +24.40% -15.48% +39.88
TrackRBCCapMkts 81.80 1/31/2007 Outperform NS $7.56 +49.87% +7.35% +42.52 10/1/2007 @ $11.33

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