Genworth Finl Inc (NYSE:GNW)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5 50.14

A financial security company dedicated to developing solutions that help meet the investment, protection, homeownership, retirement and independent lifestyle needs of customers, with a presence in more than 25 countries.

Caps

How do you think GNW will perform against the market?

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All Players

672 Outperform
66 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

129 Outperform
15 Underperform
 

Wall Street

11 Outperform
2 Underperform
 

Top GNW Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

jed71 (99.73)
Submitted March 04, 2016

I have been watching this race higher for the past 5 days, patiently waiting for any down day so I could add this to Caps. Of course, as soon as I actually have a bull thesis for a stock, it runs away from me. This is the 9th or 10th time I have put… More

yes2jbs (98.91)
Submitted March 08, 2010

GNW crashed in the a wave decline from 2007 until march 2009. It has risen substantially since then. However, I'll predict that the company will go bankrupt before the depression is over.

GNW VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about GNW.

Recs

0
Member Avatar Junkyardhawg1985 (62.10) Submitted: 12/19/2016 4:48:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.88 GNW Score: +11.30

Genworth (GNW) at $3.88/sh trades at a significant discount to their net tangible assets. Net tangible assets exceed $14.5 billion while the market cap is less than $2 billion. While the company has lost money lately, there is still significant upside potential. This is a high risk, high reward type stock.

Recs

0
Member Avatar gcaderas (82.01) Submitted: 3/11/2016 5:52:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $2.73 GNW Score: +51.12

Average Estimate $0.21 $0.21 $0.86 $0.87
Number of Analysts 4 4 4 4
High Estimate $0.24 $0.24 $0.95 $1.00
Low Estimate $0.16 $0.16 $0.71 $0.60
Prior Year $0.31 $0.24 $0.51 $0.86
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -31.45% -11.46% 68.63% 0.58%

Recs

9
Member Avatar jed71 (99.73) Submitted: 3/4/2016 11:03:10 AM : Outperform Start Price: $2.84 GNW Score: +42.91

I have been watching this race higher for the past 5 days, patiently waiting for any down day so I could add this to Caps. Of course, as soon as I actually have a bull thesis for a stock, it runs away from me. This is the 9th or 10th time I have put a “thumb” on this stock, and all but one have been successful. I should NEVER have taken my previous down thumb off, but I got scared I was missing something big on the bull thesis so took an accuracy hit to avoid a big points loss. And Boy, was I wrong. The red thumb thesis would have paid out big time!! At first glance, this seems to be about the worst stock possible to put a green thumb. Let’s go through the bad:

- Ceased selling Life insurance and Annuities.
- Consistently laying off staff. Bleeding talent left and right.
- Turnover of Executive staff.
- Consistently correcting their reserving profile (This is a BIG red flag for an insurer). One timers seem to be “all the timers.”
- Bleeding money in LTC division.
- Consistently unprofitable in GAAP and STAT set of books.
- Ratings downgrades from every major agency.
- Very heavy debt load.
- Seems like they are being constrained from a capital perspective.

And yet I have bought some shares in real life. Have I lost my mind? Yeah, I probably have. Yet I think this is very close to being a “special situation” investment. I broke this company a part and it seems to me the pieces are worth way more than the whole. I did a comparison to other mortgage insurance companies and I think the value here is in the MI business. I think they have been pretty honest they are attempting to set the company up so that it can be broken up (if you listen to the conference calls, this is about all they talk about). They have had some large transactions recently that make me think this next year will make for an interesting time for this insurance company.

I think this is worth $6 a share when everything is said and done. This is EXTREMELY risky for an insurance company so please be careful if you are following me in Caps, or in real life. Please be sure to do your own research and don’t rely on me. I do very well on red thumbs, but green thumbs have not been my friend for the past few years. :-)

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in GNW.

Score Leader

checklist34

checklist34 (98.62) Score: +653.68

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in GNW.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
GoodbyeForNow 99.71 10/5/2009 Underperform 5Y $10.84 -53.78% +158.95% +212.73 0 Comment
DeliriousNomad 33.21 10/2/2009 Underperform 3W $9.98 -49.82% +161.20% +211.01 0 Comment
TrackCarter 23.39 9/21/2009 Underperform 3M $12.09 -58.57% +151.64% +210.21 0 Comment
gillyman32 < 20 9/22/2009 Underperform 5Y $12.90 -61.17% +148.93% +210.10 0 Comment
VolatilityRocks < 20 9/29/2009 Underperform 5Y $12.27 -59.18% +150.17% +209.36 0 Comment
BuyTheDip 25.72 9/30/2009 Underperform 3W $12.07 -58.51% +150.53% +209.04 0 Comment
ZOTMAP 64.27 2/1/2010 Underperform 5Y $13.40 -62.60% +146.38% +208.98 0 Comment
MicroCaptain < 20 1/29/2010 Underperform 1Y $13.61 -63.18% +143.17% +206.35 0 Comment
Paramnesia1930 28.83 8/18/2009 11/27/2009 Underperform 3M $7.35 -31.83% +171.72% +203.56 1 Comment
Truecontrarian < 20 8/14/2009 Underperform 3W $7.73 -35.19% +167.60% +202.79 0 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackJimCramer 85.31 5/4/2015 Underperform 3W $9.15 -45.25% +26.09% +71.34 0 Comment
TrackRaymondJame 87.98 11/13/2014 Outperform NS $9.02 -13.53% +3.19% -16.71 3/23/2015 @ $7.80 0 Comment
TrackJimCramer 85.31 4/16/2013 Outperform 3W $9.71 -5.77% +34.25% -40.02 5/4/2015 @ $9.15 0 Comment
TrackCreditSuiss 88.79 1/8/2013 Underperform NS $8.11 -38.22% +82.87% +121.09 0 Comment
TrackZacks < 20 10/12/2012 Outperform 3M $5.47 +7.68% -1.47% +9.14 10/31/2012 @ $5.89 1 Comment
TrackZacks < 20 5/2/2012 Underperform 3M $6.14 -10.91% +2.11% +13.02 10/10/2012 @ $5.47 1 Comment
TrackZacks < 20 1/10/2012 Underperform 3M $7.27 +26.13% +4.19% -21.95 2/3/2012 @ $9.17 1 Comment
TrackZacks < 20 11/30/2011 Underperform 3M $6.59 -8.95% -0.66% +8.30 12/21/2011 @ $6.00 1 Comment
TrackZacks < 20 7/15/2011 Underperform 3M $9.81 -15.19% -2.30% +12.89 7/29/2011 @ $8.32 1 Comment
TrackZacks < 20 11/10/2010 Underperform 3M $12.06 -14.26% +5.91% +20.18 6/14/2011 @ $10.34 1 Comment
TrackSnow 57.24 6/30/2010 Outperform NS $13.07 -61.67% +162.03% -223.70 0 Comment
TrackJohnKeeley < 20 3/31/2010 Outperform NS $18.34 -72.68% +160.16% -232.84 0 Comment
TrackNorthlandSe < 20 1/29/2010 Outperform NS $13.26 -62.23% +145.40% -207.63 0 Comment
TrackDreman 39.34 9/30/2009 Outperform NS $11.95 -58.08% +160.02% -218.09 0 Comment
TrackDeutscheSec 86.64 9/18/2009 Outperform NS $13.50 +38.30% +10.63% +27.67 4/6/2010 @ $18.67 0 Comment
TrackBarclaysCap 88.87 4/22/2009 Outperform NS $1.98 +153.34% +216.11% -62.77 0 Comment
TrackEdLampert 85.22 3/16/2009 Outperform 1Y $1.56 +221.30% +252.36% -31.07 2 Comments
TrackJimCramer 85.31 2/26/2008 Underperform 3W $22.30 -56.45% +13.77% +70.22 4/16/2013 @ $9.71 0 Comment
TrackSchneider 80.43 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $28.15 -82.20% +82.97% -165.18 2 Comments
TrackDodgeCox 96.08 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $28.15 -82.20% +82.97% -165.18 2 Comments
TrackNWQ < 20 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $28.15 -82.20% +82.97% -165.18 2 Comments
TrackHAndW 89.66 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $28.15 -82.20% +82.97% -165.18 3 Comments
TrackJohnKeeley < 20 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $29.61 -70.92% -23.98% -46.94 9/30/2008 @ $8.61 1 Comment
TrackBRogers 98.42 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $29.61 -86.66% -44.10% -42.56 10/24/2008 @ $3.95 2 Comments
TrackUBS 92.00 8/8/2007 Outperform NS $25.85 -80.62% +89.00% -169.62 0 Comment
TrackDeutscheSec 86.64 5/31/2007 Outperform NS $34.70 -93.66% -44.67% -48.99 4/13/2009 @ $2.20 0 Comment
TrackBofASec 92.09 5/1/2007 Outperform NS $35.42 -11.45% +5.05% -16.50 10/10/2007 @ $31.37 0 Comment
TrackBearStearns < 20 4/19/2007 Outperform NS $32.71 -76.40% -5.75% -70.65 4/17/2012 @ $7.72 0 Comment
TrackLehmanBros < 20 12/11/2006 Outperform NS $29.99 -74.25% -2.37% -71.89 4/17/2012 @ $7.72 0 Comment

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