Genworth Finl Inc (NYSE:GNW)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

A financial security company dedicated to developing solutions that help meet the investment, protection, homeownership, retirement and independent lifestyle needs of customers, with a presence in more than 25 countries.

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Member Avatar OklaBoston (66.59) Submitted: 3/26/2016 3:30:53 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.68 GNW Score: +26.65

CEO, CFO and multiple other senior oddicers have made open market buys of this at prices higher than the last weekly close since the last insider open market sale.

Technicals improving and valuations very good.

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Member Avatar gcaderas (71.82) Submitted: 3/11/2016 5:52:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $2.73 GNW Score: +23.12

Average Estimate $0.21 $0.21 $0.86 $0.87
Number of Analysts 4 4 4 4
High Estimate $0.24 $0.24 $0.95 $1.00
Low Estimate $0.16 $0.16 $0.71 $0.60
Prior Year $0.31 $0.24 $0.51 $0.86
Growth Rate (Year over Year) -31.45% -11.46% 68.63% 0.58%

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Member Avatar jed71 (99.85) Submitted: 3/4/2016 11:03:10 AM : Outperform Start Price: $2.84 GNW Score: +17.39

I have been watching this race higher for the past 5 days, patiently waiting for any down day so I could add this to Caps. Of course, as soon as I actually have a bull thesis for a stock, it runs away from me. This is the 9th or 10th time I have put a “thumb” on this stock, and all but one have been successful. I should NEVER have taken my previous down thumb off, but I got scared I was missing something big on the bull thesis so took an accuracy hit to avoid a big points loss. And Boy, was I wrong. The red thumb thesis would have paid out big time!! At first glance, this seems to be about the worst stock possible to put a green thumb. Let’s go through the bad:

- Ceased selling Life insurance and Annuities.
- Consistently laying off staff. Bleeding talent left and right.
- Turnover of Executive staff.
- Consistently correcting their reserving profile (This is a BIG red flag for an insurer). One timers seem to be “all the timers.”
- Bleeding money in LTC division.
- Consistently unprofitable in GAAP and STAT set of books.
- Ratings downgrades from every major agency.
- Very heavy debt load.
- Seems like they are being constrained from a capital perspective.

And yet I have bought some shares in real life. Have I lost my mind? Yeah, I probably have. Yet I think this is very close to being a “special situation” investment. I broke this company a part and it seems to me the pieces are worth way more than the whole. I did a comparison to other mortgage insurance companies and I think the value here is in the MI business. I think they have been pretty honest they are attempting to set the company up so that it can be broken up (if you listen to the conference calls, this is about all they talk about). They have had some large transactions recently that make me think this next year will make for an interesting time for this insurance company.

I think this is worth $6 a share when everything is said and done. This is EXTREMELY risky for an insurance company so please be careful if you are following me in Caps, or in real life. Please be sure to do your own research and don’t rely on me. I do very well on red thumbs, but green thumbs have not been my friend for the past few years. :-)

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Member Avatar SmartAce (99.90) Submitted: 12/14/2015 12:03:16 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.82 GNW Score: -12.32

Cheap, but I have a personal bias here.

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Member Avatar MightyMinnow (45.02) Submitted: 11/4/2015 8:56:24 AM : Outperform Start Price: $4.72 GNW Score: -24.96

buy low

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Member Avatar dinasourneil (99.89) Submitted: 11/10/2014 7:51:13 AM : Outperform Start Price: $8.45 GNW Score: -60.86

sotp

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Member Avatar 2win (< 20) Submitted: 6/5/2014 8:55:15 AM : Outperform Start Price: $17.65 GNW Score: -87.25

StockScouter 9, P/B .55, P/S .91

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Member Avatar AllTooFoolish (79.93) Submitted: 4/24/2014 9:26:26 AM : Outperform Start Price: $7.67 GNW Score: -104.59

While its valuation remains on the high side due to its above average price appreciation over the few years, it is not high enough to warrant selling my position. Its future remains bright and earnings growth has been strong. The insurance side of their business is very much paying off and should continue to so for many years.

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Member Avatar athakkar9 (< 20) Submitted: 10/18/2013 5:11:26 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.88 GNW Score: -93.73

Long term play.

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Member Avatar BetaLocker (< 20) Submitted: 8/10/2013 6:59:38 AM : Outperform Start Price: $12.65 GNW Score: -95.37

Because it has a great score on my scale of excellence:
2,96;12,78;14,504;0,262;0;6,845

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Member Avatar TMFSpiffyPop (99.59) Submitted: 5/14/2013 1:22:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.83 GNW Score: -93.35

Flyer. I hate insurance (I have a few Fool friends in the field who tweak me whenever I say this -- hello, Hodges) -- and I find the businesses pretty opaque and not easily followed. So I CAP them and see if my hunches work out. Outperform.

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Member Avatar Dolphin00 (< 20) Submitted: 5/9/2013 3:38:22 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.67 GNW Score: -94.32

Mortgage ins business doing great, but stock trades like it has no value..

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Member Avatar BornOnFriday (47.81) Submitted: 5/5/2013 12:01:37 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.53 GNW Score: -95.19

Undervalued and under the radar.

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Member Avatar awallejr (62.18) Submitted: 3/4/2013 5:25:34 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.36 GNW Score: -97.63

Valuation.

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Member Avatar doorknob870 (< 20) Submitted: 1/21/2013 1:39:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.18 GNW Score: -101.74

Its terribly undervalued - its selling for slightly over 25% of book

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Member Avatar line70day (< 20) Submitted: 11/15/2012 10:03:53 AM : Outperform Start Price: $5.51 GNW Score: -87.37

$34M in net income a vast improvement over the yr ago loss of $16M still indicates a downward trend from this yr's Q1 income of $47 M and huge let down from its Q2 of $ 76M Mortgage insurance division still suffering from mortgage meltdown

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Member Avatar txfpc1 (< 20) Submitted: 8/19/2012 12:02:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $5.25 GNW Score: -79.99

Value

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Member Avatar FoxForce5contest (< 20) Submitted: 8/18/2012 6:20:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $5.25 GNW Score: -79.99

On 8-18-12 Megashort picked GNW

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Member Avatar john1wee (< 20) Submitted: 7/1/2012 1:52:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $5.74 GNW Score: -91.42

I would like to have this stock put on my "watch list"

thanks

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Member Avatar gamellendorf (< 20) Submitted: 6/30/2012 8:11:29 AM : Outperform Start Price: $5.74 GNW Score: -91.42

The company will break up

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