Habit Restaurants (NASDAQ:HABT)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

HABT News and Commentary

Caps

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All Players

54 Outperform
8 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

14 Outperform
3 Underperform
 

Wall Street

2 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Top HABT Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

thequast (84.50)
Submitted August 29, 2015

I wrote about this recently on Seeking Alpha http://seekingalpha.com/article/3274055-heres-why-im-buying-habit-restaurants-and-selling-shake-shackBut here's the gist...basically this company is looking to double locations in the next 4 years. Given… More

thequast (84.50)
Submitted November 21, 2014

Valuation matters no matter who you are. Great concept at a really bad price.

HABT VS S&P 500 (SPY)

HABT Summary

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Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about HABT.

Recs

0
Member Avatar murph2727 (67.84) Submitted: 7/6/2017 2:10:46 PM : Underperform Start Price: $16.68 HABT Score: +24.51

Valuation call

Recs

0
Member Avatar fremontxianren (< 20) Submitted: 6/6/2016 10:59:35 PM : Outperform Start Price: $31.50 HABT Score: -77.09

Habit Restaurants' food offerings are well balanced to include burgers, sushi-grade albacore sandwich, salads, and some specialty items like sweet potato chips, tempura green beans, etc. As such, they allow different members of a family to have their choice of food without compromise. I believe this is one of the main reasons the restaurants deliver an almost 50/50 revenue split between lunch and dinner and a high AUV (average unit volume) of around $1.9 million currently, both of which are unusual among burger chains. The company continues to innovate on its menu items. The interior of the restaurants is contemporary and warm. There are 150 restaurants operated by the company right now and the count is growing at 30-35 per year, thus delivering around 25% of revenue growth per year. If one believes that the company can continue to deliver this kind of revenue growth through new unit additions, then in five years time, it will have 300 units, with an AUV (average unit volume) of around $2 million (counting inflation). It is not difficult to envision a market cap of around US$1 billion or more. That would be 100%+ return over five years.

Recs

1
Member Avatar thequast (84.50) Submitted: 8/29/2015 7:01:43 PM : Outperform Start Price: $25.01 HABT Score: -73.23

I wrote about this recently on Seeking Alpha http://seekingalpha.com/article/3274055-heres-why-im-buying-habit-restaurants-and-selling-shake-shack

But here's the gist...basically this company is looking to double locations in the next 4 years. Given its fantastic cash flow and impressive current cash reserve, there's no reason it shouldn't pull off the location double. If the market values Habit similar to Chipotle (not unrealistic given similar growth rate) in price to sales, then in 2019 habit's shares should be trading around $60, meaning I see little downside chance today at $25.

So in 4 years, not only could an investment today more than double, but Habit would only be 10% of the way towards its longterm growth goals.

In other words, good financials, decent price, long runway...many of the things we fools are looking for.

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in HABT.

Score Leader

MMCapitalMgmt

MMCapitalMgmt (99.90) Score: +86.44

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in HABT.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
Fishbolb 76.19 11/21/2014 Underperform 3W $38.00 -65.66% +19.89% +85.54 0 Comment
CamK05 61.16 11/21/2014 5/18/2016 Underperform 1Y $38.00 -65.66% +19.89% +85.54 1 Comment
MMCapitalMgmt 99.90 5/28/2015 Underperform 5Y $34.95 -62.66% +17.24% +79.90 0 Comment
motto1628 22.56 11/4/2015 Underperform 1Y $24.68 -47.12% +17.78% +64.90 0 Comment
murph2727 67.84 7/7/2017 Underperform 5Y $16.68 -21.74% +2.77% +24.51 1 Comment
Snappy85 25.41 8/24/2017 Underperform NS $13.33 -2.06% +2.01% +4.07 0 Comment
BigShort 98.54 8/3/2017 Underperform 5Y $13.38 -2.43% +0.79% +3.22 0 Comment
TMFGuardian 99.49 8/10/2017 Outperform 5Y $13.88 -5.95% +1.58% -7.53 0 Comment
Linh27 < 20 3/10/2017 Outperform 5Y $15.00 -13.00% +4.61% -17.61 0 Comment
WilfordT < 20 6/29/2017 Outperform 3Y $15.75 -17.14% +2.16% -19.31 0 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackCowenandCo 87.62 3/2/2016 Outperform NS $20.96 -37.74% +25.89% -63.63 0 Comment
TrackJimCramer 84.63 12/1/2015 Underperform 3W $24.20 -46.07% +18.16% +64.23 0 Comment
TrackWedbush 86.63 11/26/2014 Outperform NS $31.59 -58.69% +20.09% -78.77 0 Comment

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