Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

The Company operates in two business segments: Motorcycles and Financial Services.

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Member Avatar XMFYoda (98.38) Submitted: 10/21/2014 11:10:23 AM : Underperform Start Price: $62.22 HOG Score: -0.40

Revenue falls while days sales outstanding and days sales in inventory both rise, and the market celebrates a bottom line beat?

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Member Avatar RugbyViking13 (86.24) Submitted: 9/28/2014 12:24:55 AM : Outperform Start Price: $60.00 HOG Score: +6.02

who doesn't love a HOG

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Member Avatar wowdwarf2 (< 20) Submitted: 8/20/2014 12:44:22 PM : Outperform Start Price: $64.01 HOG Score: +0.61

Ride on

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Member Avatar rotax600 (55.59) Submitted: 6/28/2014 12:13:59 PM : Underperform Start Price: $69.21 HOG Score: +8.32

HD has good fundamentals and I think they are managing their debt well but I’m shorting the stock long term on MF mainly because I want to keep track and see how they manage their brand. Long term, I think smarter consumers will enter the market looking for performance and/or comfort at a reasonable price and won’t want to dress like pirates.
All of HD’s competitors offer a better product and don’t sacrifice performance for sound and with HD’s high debt load and failed Buell line I’m skeptical about them competing because HD’s brand is their business.
Because of the high stock price, it is a good time to short and the insiders agree.

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Member Avatar 78taxs (< 20) Submitted: 6/24/2014 12:05:01 PM : Outperform Start Price: $71.47 HOG Score: -10.92

Electric Motorcycle

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Member Avatar joolino (< 20) Submitted: 6/20/2014 7:53:24 AM : Outperform Start Price: $70.02 HOG Score: -9.22

First great Motorcycle brand to publically endorse the electric. Just imagine the movie bikes it will inspire, or the movies that inspire the bikes

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Member Avatar Dividends500 (69.87) Submitted: 4/3/2014 12:55:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $63.77 HOG Score: -8.72

Dividends500 tracks the 200 strongest dividends in the S&P 500. To qualify as a strong dividend, the company must meet two simple requirements:

- A payout ratio below 50%
- An increasing dividend from the prior year

Because there are more than 200 dividend paying companies in the S&P 500 that meet these requirements, the qualifying companies with the largest dividend yields were chosen.

Dividends500 intends to test this FactSet article, which highlights these strong dividend paying companies and their outperformance versus the S&P 500 as a whole (Page 12).

http://www.factset.com/websitefiles/PDFs/dividend/dividend_12.16.13

If you have questions or see something you think is inaccurate feel free to let me know.

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Member Avatar CarthAnne (50.62) Submitted: 3/8/2014 3:33:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $66.79 HOG Score: -9.14

Extremely loyal fan base (Like, more than WWE levels of fanboyism) Respectable growth. Extremely prestigious brand.

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Member Avatar Turfscape (40.91) Submitted: 1/29/2014 1:21:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $63.13 HOG Score: -9.50

The recent moves and new product announcements bode well for global growth. Also exciting to see Harley pushing for motorcycle ice racing at the Winter X Games on ESPN recently! The company may be making a bold move towards youthful excitement and danger that used to be associated with their bikes. Will they succeed? To be seen, but it's better to see them try than stagnating.

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Member Avatar Trumpetgirl (< 20) Submitted: 7/6/2013 3:26:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $54.52 HOG Score: -3.05

This trend is here to stay

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Member Avatar NHWeston102 (69.18) Submitted: 5/9/2013 12:20:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $55.42 HOG Score: -5.53

Warren Buffett said it best, "Who can claim a higher level of brand loyalty than a company whose customers tattoo its logo on their arms!?" Under-the-radar recovery going on here as a new generation discovers the joys of "HOG-Heaven!"

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Member Avatar kurtdabear (32.34) Submitted: 5/7/2013 10:30:48 AM : Underperform Start Price: $54.66 HOG Score: +4.72

As a manufacturer high-cost consumer discretionary products in a floundering economy, HOG is probably due for quite a few miles of rough road over the next few years. The fact that they carry a lot of their own credit will not help.

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Member Avatar JonBarleycorn (72.16) Submitted: 11/17/2012 10:27:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $45.31 HOG Score: -1.88

An improving economic picture will lead to more disposible income. Can you say HOG heaven?

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Member Avatar flemminghan (93.47) Submitted: 8/30/2012 1:58:09 PM : Outperform Start Price: $41.05 HOG Score: +15.34

Technical analysis

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Member Avatar pghwilly (< 20) Submitted: 4/28/2012 9:27:34 AM : Outperform Start Price: $50.66 HOG Score: -14.44

My shares of HOG have already doubled in value so I sold them and I believe the price will continue to rise but not at the pace that I have enjoyed.

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Member Avatar 1stMartian (< 20) Submitted: 12/4/2011 10:33:05 AM : Underperform Start Price: $36.73 HOG Score: -18.52

Middle class is shrinking in America and this is a discretionary purchase for most.

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Member Avatar nckballard (< 20) Submitted: 9/30/2011 5:53:12 PM : Underperform Start Price: $32.32 HOG Score: -22.40

The overall economy will see slow growth over the next several years at least. With slow growth in consumer demand for large discretionary purchases and increased competition, there is no justification for such a high P/E ratio.

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Member Avatar FlashGordonX7Gp (< 20) Submitted: 7/15/2011 11:09:07 PM : Outperform Start Price: $39.58 HOG Score: +11.06

Look at HD's history. Not many years ago in was trading at $7+change!

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Member Avatar Lane4876 (< 20) Submitted: 6/6/2011 5:51:42 PM : Outperform Start Price: $35.13 HOG Score: +29.81

Ultimate in brand power and loyalty. People will neglect better products at a lower price to get the "Hog" of their dreams. Life long customers aplenty dropping big $ to get into the HD world.

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Member Avatar pbk100 (29.71) Submitted: 5/25/2011 12:48:21 PM : Underperform Start Price: $34.13 HOG Score: -38.08

Screen: 1-2 stars, 50+ all-star underperforms, P/E>15, P/B >1.5 (ie. anti-Graham), LTdebt:equity>2, Rev growth<10%

11Q1 results good at first glance, but the EPS increase is down to reduced admin costs, not increased revenue. While improved efficiency is good, there's no reason to think it's going to improve any further in subsequent quarters. Sales were up modestly, but - red flag - recievables were up even more. So Q1 earnings figures may be pumped up at the expense of future earnings. A miss in next month's report could be a catalyst for the market to re-assess the rather optimistic growth expectations boiled into the price.

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