+ Watch HOG
on My Watchlist
The Company operates in two business segments: Motorcycles and Financial Services.
M* Wide Moat
Superior brand and product. Now let's talk numbers - everything is growing over the past 4-5 years (sales, earnings, book value, FCF), and the return on capital is nice and high, while the earnings yield is also creating upwards. I think it's undervalued here. Let's ride.
New bikes appeal to even more of the masses.....everyone wants a Harley
Revenue falls while days sales outstanding and days sales in inventory both rise, and the market celebrates a bottom line beat?
who doesn't love a HOG
HD has good fundamentals and I think they are managing their debt well but I’m shorting the stock long term on MF mainly because I want to keep track and see how they manage their brand. Long term, I think smarter consumers will enter the market looking for performance and/or comfort at a reasonable price and won’t want to dress like pirates.All of HD’s competitors offer a better product and don’t sacrifice performance for sound and with HD’s high debt load and failed Buell line I’m skeptical about them competing because HD’s brand is their business. Because of the high stock price, it is a good time to short and the insiders agree.
First great Motorcycle brand to publically endorse the electric. Just imagine the movie bikes it will inspire, or the movies that inspire the bikes
Dividends500 tracks the 200 strongest dividends in the S&P 500. To qualify as a strong dividend, the company must meet two simple requirements:- A payout ratio below 50%- An increasing dividend from the prior yearBecause there are more than 200 dividend paying companies in the S&P 500 that meet these requirements, the qualifying companies with the largest dividend yields were chosen. Dividends500 intends to test this FactSet article, which highlights these strong dividend paying companies and their outperformance versus the S&P 500 as a whole (Page 12).http://www.factset.com/websitefiles/PDFs/dividend/dividend_12.16.13If you have questions or see something you think is inaccurate feel free to let me know.
Extremely loyal fan base (Like, more than WWE levels of fanboyism) Respectable growth. Extremely prestigious brand.
This trend is here to stay
Warren Buffett said it best, "Who can claim a higher level of brand loyalty than a company whose customers tattoo its logo on their arms!?" Under-the-radar recovery going on here as a new generation discovers the joys of "HOG-Heaven!"
As a manufacturer high-cost consumer discretionary products in a floundering economy, HOG is probably due for quite a few miles of rough road over the next few years. The fact that they carry a lot of their own credit will not help.
An improving economic picture will lead to more disposible income. Can you say HOG heaven?
My shares of HOG have already doubled in value so I sold them and I believe the price will continue to rise but not at the pace that I have enjoyed.
Middle class is shrinking in America and this is a discretionary purchase for most.
The overall economy will see slow growth over the next several years at least. With slow growth in consumer demand for large discretionary purchases and increased competition, there is no justification for such a high P/E ratio.
Look at HD's history. Not many years ago in was trading at $7+change!
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