The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

A snack food company and manufacturer of quality chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery products. Its principal product groups include confectionery and snack products; gum and mint refreshment products; and food and beverage enhancers.

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Member Avatar mackrose (46.79) Submitted: 7/18/2014 9:28:08 PM : Outperform Start Price: $92.75 HSY Score: -2.16

Large space set aside in supermarkets for their varied candies. Quality is established. Brand is well known.

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Member Avatar silvertrader1974 (31.00) Submitted: 4/26/2014 1:46:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $96.12 HSY Score: -11.52

Great company, China should help

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Member Avatar Value1234 (40.53) Submitted: 2/24/2014 11:02:21 AM : Underperform Start Price: $107.63 HSY Score: +22.16

Only worth $28.59 based on intrinsic value

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Member Avatar ScoopHoop (< 20) Submitted: 10/8/2013 3:59:43 PM : Outperform Start Price: $90.68 HSY Score: -19.48

Hershey's annual earnings growth is over 14%. Strong worldwide brand. Company plans to open new plant in Malaysia in 2015. Great location to 25 markets, including China.

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Member Avatar Speachless (30.22) Submitted: 6/26/2013 11:30:25 AM : Outperform Start Price: $86.01 HSY Score: -18.52

Cash efficient. Can not be sold to the highest bidder as the HSY trust will not allow that. Has the ability to raise prices to reflect commodity costs and inflation.

An inexpensive indulgence that will be one of the last to be scrimped on in any down turn and will be one of the first to be expanded on during any upturn.

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Member Avatar Teacherman333 (47.10) Submitted: 5/15/2013 11:17:06 AM : Outperform Start Price: $85.87 HSY Score: -15.66

For reference point and to allow for comments by others. As of the end of March, 2013.

ROE 70.48%
Trailing PE 29.06
PB 18.25`
Div yield 1.90%

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Member Avatar DSmod (36.79) Submitted: 7/24/2012 12:34:02 PM : Underperform Start Price: $67.35 HSY Score: +13.59

Overvalued.

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Member Avatar RugbyViking13 (89.26) Submitted: 7/12/2012 6:50:44 PM : Outperform Start Price: $69.10 HSY Score: -16.67

I love chocolate, so does everyone else.

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Member Avatar dreamor (71.88) Submitted: 5/28/2012 2:06:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $64.26 HSY Score: -9.46

BRAND Easy to raise prices,
Capital equipment paid for

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Member Avatar bradford86 (99.78) Submitted: 1/4/2012 12:12:06 PM : Underperform Start Price: $57.89 HSY Score: -0.94

117. The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY) is ridiculously overvalued. I guess this shouldn't surprise me because so is Tootsie Roll Industries (NYSE: TR). I'm downthumbing them both. Hershey should be trading between $50-$55, but the redthumbing at present is mostly because they are trading at the top of their channel. Expect them to fall below $58. There's a new analyst that I've never heard of: "Ticonderoga" that apparently assigned Hershey a price target of $66. Unbelievable. Who are these people? For the most part, Hershey is trading above the other analyst estimates. Look out below!

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Member Avatar dveikus (33.35) Submitted: 7/15/2011 1:19:31 PM : Outperform Start Price: $53.11 HSY Score: +18.84

even during the upcoming recession, we will love chocolate

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Member Avatar SteelReserve (41.35) Submitted: 6/14/2011 1:36:10 PM : Outperform Start Price: $51.71 HSY Score: +21.40

Well known brand with strong dividend. Incoming CEO may make them an even better company.

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Member Avatar btthus (21.43) Submitted: 6/2/2011 5:26:29 AM : Underperform Start Price: $51.70 HSY Score: -24.18

HSY   WEST DAVID J   Executive Vice President   May 25   Sale   54.10   571,100   $30,898,691   126,031   

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Member Avatar Whizkid81 (55.22) Submitted: 2/28/2011 11:54:26 PM : Underperform Start Price: $48.84 HSY Score: -35.94

They have to explore different new flavours, at which chains like Ghirardelli and Godiva are extremely good...But, We do see that Hersheys is a Poor Man's Godiva and although they'll continue to stick around, I don't see much of a growth for them....

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Member Avatar ehostetter (< 20) Submitted: 1/21/2011 9:38:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $45.59 HSY Score: +42.82

The expenses related to the more efficient supply chain are in the past and now they will use some of those cost savings for advertising and growing the iconic brands.

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Member Avatar WVHillbillyDude (83.66) Submitted: 1/3/2011 5:17:59 AM : Outperform Start Price: $43.77 HSY Score: +49.00

Almost time to get Valentines Day candy.

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Member Avatar Imperial1964 (97.74) Submitted: 10/29/2010 8:44:14 PM : Outperform Start Price: $45.63 HSY Score: +31.02

Piotrosky screen.

I don't see much I like here (besides their product), but I am testing a strategy here.

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Member Avatar truthisntstupid (83.84) Submitted: 8/26/2010 12:20:19 AM : Outperform Start Price: $42.64 HSY Score: +25.31

Just how threatened by store brands and substitutes do you think Hershey is? Their product is always the last thing you see just before you check out at many places. It just isn't worth taking a lower-quality substitute when you're probably eyeing a candy bar that costs less than a dollar, anyway. Their products are ubiquitous. You see them everywhere. I think we have a moat here.
Now let's look at why I think it's a good pick and won't tank my CAPS score.
The same reason it would be a good investment in real life, of course. Because I don't 'play to win' at CAPS. I make picks based on whether I believe they would be good choices if I were looking at going in with real money....like I think everyone should.
Because if you don't, your rating and score means nothing to me.
They have a good bit of debt, but it isn't a problem, since interest coverage is 12.5.
Return on equity is 69.2% as listed in CAPS land...while Yahoo!finance lists a return on equity figure of 86.6%. Either one is fine with me.
How about earnings?
Their current PE is 22.6
Yahoo!Finance lists their forward PE at 16.94.
5-year high PE listed here at Fool is 61.
5-year low PE listed here at Fool is 15.9.
Trailing 12 months EPS as listed at Yahoo! is $2.10.
Consensus estimates for EPS 12/2010 are $2.53.
So they're up just a little from their 5-year low PE valuation but earnings are expected to pick up about 20% over earnings shown for the trailing twelve months. Good.
They've raised their dividend for decades. Until 2009. The last dividend payment in Dec 2009 marked the 10th consecutive quarter that they paid the same dividend. It cost them their dividend aristocrat status.
In March of this year (2010) They resumed dividend increases, raising the dividend 7.56% from the $1.19/year they had paid for the last two years to the $1.28/year which is where it stands now.
They lost their aristocrat status but they never cut the dividend. In my opinion, they are not only not going to, but will resume regular dividend increases again.
Dividend yield is currently 2.7%.
So how well is this dividend covered?
The dividend payout ratio is 59%. Hey, just a few months ago the last time I looked at it, it was 63%. Earnings ARE picking up.
Jordan DiPietro ("How Safe Are Kraft Foods' Dividends?") has a table comparing Kraft's cash flow coverage ratio to other companies in the article I have in parenthesis. Hershey's cash flow coverage ratio is 2.71. Take your calculator and hit the 1/X button, and what you find is that hershey's dividend only requires 37% of it's free cash flow.
It has a beta of .32. It won't rise as fast as the indexes but it won't fall as fast either.
Slow and steady and a dividend that is most likely very safe and should continue to grow.
Have a candy bar.

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Member Avatar MedullaOblongata (69.96) Submitted: 6/24/2010 5:12:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $31.80 HSY Score: +131.14

Hershey with Almonds is my favorite candy bar.

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Member Avatar Millsteen (82.19) Submitted: 6/9/2010 3:51:12 PM : Outperform Start Price: $46.70 HSY Score: +6.66

This investment tastes as good as Hershey with almonds and great dividend to boot. Dominates candy category on grocery shelf because everything they make tastes great.

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