Invesco Mortgage Capital (NYSE:IVR)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

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Member Avatar 2win (< 20) Submitted: 7/3/2014 8:11:57 AM : Outperform Start Price: $17.23 IVR Score: +0.38

Value & Growth. Benjamin Graham screen: low price to operating cash flow ratio, and near 52-wk high

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Member Avatar afewgoodstocks14 (45.91) Submitted: 4/10/2014 6:07:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $15.19 IVR Score: +4.50

Div. (Yield) $2.00 (12.1%)

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Member Avatar Scalius2000 (38.79) Submitted: 2/6/2014 11:03:56 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.94 IVR Score: +4.89

The return of the REITs

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Member Avatar dollarvaluemenu (38.68) Submitted: 6/21/2013 7:58:58 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.92 IVR Score: -9.78

value

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Member Avatar AndrewJust22 (37.05) Submitted: 8/22/2012 1:32:40 PM : Outperform Start Price: $15.05 IVR Score: -24.40

dividend

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Member Avatar Midcourse (78.08) Submitted: 7/13/2012 5:44:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.13 IVR Score: -23.77

Dividend, P/E, bought MBS's low.

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Member Avatar tgauchat (79.33) Submitted: 5/31/2012 12:49:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.23 IVR Score: -19.79

As long as interest rates are "zero" ... wish I could get a long term mortgage.

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Member Avatar RichardSinFW (27.01) Submitted: 2/10/2012 12:10:37 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.64 IVR Score: -15.22

I don't believe that high a dividend yield can be sustained. I may be wrong and I hope I am; but I don't see how.

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Member Avatar DrLeopold2010 (< 20) Submitted: 2/9/2012 6:36:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.71 IVR Score: +14.08

IVR will out perform; baby boomers searching for actual dividends not annula dividends with high yields IVR is one; so is AGNC.

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Member Avatar 1Langer (92.42) Submitted: 1/31/2012 1:30:56 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.73 IVR Score: +11.47

Company is in with the right company right now. Div will stay high as the fed stays low. Be ready to get out well before the end of low interest rates, or be ready to give all those fat dividend checks back.

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Member Avatar 1stMartian (< 20) Submitted: 12/17/2011 8:17:59 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.83 IVR Score: +14.01

A blind man can see why.

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Member Avatar TSIF (99.96) Submitted: 11/18/2011 11:31:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $9.78 IVR Score: +14.26

When you go to the well and there's not enough water for you and your horse then you should probably avoid that well n the future. Hoping someone hydrofracked it between visits or put a longer rope on the bucket since your last visit can leave you dry. I'm back after Invesco Mortgage Captital anyway after booking my negative points from steep three month selloff after investors determined that the risk reward in the hybrid REIT's was a bit more than they wanted to chase, even with a 20% dividend. Buyers are coming back and if I'd been paying attention I would have closed my loser when it hit $13 and then made this play. It's hard to close a pick here on CAPS when it's in the red. Ego, admitting you were wrong, and the all important accuracy hit in the game itself tends to guide you into holding.

A successful play on dividends on CAPS however, requires a little more luck and anaylsis than one might think. The "dividend play" has to hold it's share price better in a down market than other equities, it has to have some appreciation, though not S&P market beating in an up market, and the dividend reinvestment has to make up the difference to work you into the green over 3-4 quarters of patient dividend reinvestment. Invesco has a chance of being one of those, but fear is not gone on hybrid REIT's. They could be dominos waiting for a catalyst to fall hard. The spread of interst rates could change, borrowers could default, the governement could stop backing the FHA portions, etc.

I think Invesco has a chance of being a long term winner on CAPS, but it isn't the best play if you're looking for an REIT for Real Life stable dividends. I broke in at $15 but we could go lower again. I'm looking to book the December dividend and see how the S&P and the REIT fears are progressing. If I can get a few quarters of dividend reinvestment in....if Invesco can hold their dividend near this level....if the sky doesn't fall...if...if...if....then I'll be able to hold this one for a long term caps play....pretty iffy and that rope could still be too short to get any water out of the well......

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Member Avatar NoDoughBro (70.46) Submitted: 11/17/2011 11:14:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.91 IVR Score: +13.09

Buffet size Dividend. I hope it lasts.

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Member Avatar blessedbyhim (31.57) Submitted: 11/16/2011 2:51:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.02 IVR Score: +15.13

Cause TSIF said so....

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Member Avatar JaxxBrat (< 20) Submitted: 9/22/2011 1:44:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.65 IVR Score: +3.51

IVR is a strong REIT in a strong sector and pays a high yield..

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Member Avatar Skernation (< 20) Submitted: 9/15/2011 1:39:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.67 IVR Score: -1.76

bob

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Member Avatar Guin3666 (53.51) Submitted: 9/8/2011 10:37:05 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.25 IVR Score: +4.55

mREITs work but QE3 may flatten curve a bit.

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Member Avatar Schups (37.90) Submitted: 8/22/2011 11:44:46 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.60 IVR Score: -12.12

Real personal purchase!

Buy and hold for 4 years: you make 100% of dividends + maybe 15-30% return on equity.

: -)

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Member Avatar ATsykora (74.20) Submitted: 8/20/2011 1:16:06 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.86 IVR Score: -12.49

high dividents are sustainable while Feg keeps rates low (promised till mid 2013 but could keep longer)

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Member Avatar dentilfooling (< 20) Submitted: 8/18/2011 10:07:26 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.66 IVR Score: -12.98

With interest rates pegged to a low rate for 2 years, how can you go wrong?

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