KB Home (KBH)
Homebuilder with domestic operations in the following regions: West Coast, Southwest, Central and Southeast. Also provides mortgage banking services to the majority of its domestic homebuyers through its wholly-owned subsidiary, KB Home Mortgage Company.
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empty rally, just like the cash for clunkers.
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I'll take the downside as this recovery just seems a bit premature and one time items like first buyer stimulus. I'll take the downside from here.
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Exhibit A would be the fact that the average new home has been on the market for 12.9 months. Exhibit B is that we have about 2-3 years of existing home sales just to absorb the vacancies that exist. According to T2, about 6% of all homes built this decade are vacant.
Exhibit C is that the home builders themselves have too much debt and too much inventory relative to their thin equity cushions. The home builders are in the position of trying to hold up a bowling ball with a sheet of paper...in the rain.
Lastly, the home builder stocks are almost universally expensive on a price-to-book basis." (NVR, SPF and KBH have the highest )
- quoted from The Daily Reckoning newsletter 11/5/09
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Inside buying - October 2009
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Stagflation kills the buyers and the builders lose their customers.
Fraud in the first-time home buyer government assistance program may slow home sales in the low end part of the market.
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Long term this stock will be going up but I was trying to short it a little for some extra points. I found I am no bear and going back to long term.
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19.13 by Nov 3rd
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Overvalued with declining revenues forecasted for the next 12+ months.
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They currently aren't building many homes, but assuming the economy recovers slightly, we should see this home builder (for the first-time home buyer) to recover well.
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Earnings still continue to suck. More foreclosures on the way so there's less incentive for new homes out there. I think this is going to retest its lows due to more losses and this continual suction downward despite "green shoots".
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Long Treasury yield going through the roof...
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Invest long term... People will always need a roof over there head.
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I like survivors, and this seems to be one.
oh and floridabuider!
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KB Homes earnings showed improvement year over year and quarter over quarter.... KB Homes is stealing marketshare and sales from bankrupt private builders... they will be one of the survivors.... public builders control only 20% of total homebuilding... KB Homes national market share is probably 1-2%..... you can't generate growth from that when all your competitors are going bankrupt?
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credit Florida Builder
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Will go up with the good news of housing plan
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OBAMA GONNA PAY MY MORTGAGE!!!!
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It has good price to sale ration and it remains a dividend stock. It may cash on the infra-structure projects.
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See HOV.

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