KB Home (KBH)
Homebuilder with domestic operations in the following regions: West Coast, Southwest, Central and Southeast. Also provides mortgage banking services to the majority of its domestic homebuyers through its wholly-owned subsidiary, KB Home Mortgage Company.
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This is Not the stock to have NOW
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Back to basics with more affordable housing, providing a strong case against renting
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The housing sector is slowly coming back
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Overvalued with declining revenues forecasted for the next 12+ months.
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It has been falling for a while and I belive it will go lower before it turns around. I think we will test 52 week lows in the next 3 months or so.
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As continued mortgage defaults flood the market with bargain pre-existing units, new home produces will continue to suffer losses. I expect a number of them will declare bankruptcy over the next year or so as they are stuck with inventory and unable to fund new building.
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They will emerge even strong after the dust settles (it could be a while!).
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I don't have any creative thoughts here. I live in a KB home, and it's fine, but who in their right mind would say KB is in a position to outperform with the storm clouds all over the place? I'm just joining the mob to chuck a few rocks myself, and maybe raise my CAPS percentages on the cheap--ie., The only risk here is that I'm quite sure of myself on this call, which in itself should push the stock up several points...
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OBAMA GONNA PAY MY MORTGAGE!!!!
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Subprime worries blah, blah, blah. Certainly home sales are down but they're down from unprecedented levels in this country's history. A wall of worry is built into this sector and that's what drives markets higher. Technically there's a possible 10% downside, but looking out a year or so I see this in the 59-60 area. Certainly not beyond the realm of possibilities with a float that's 24% short and all those panicked buyers built in if something should turn positive.
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STOP BUILDING START BUYING!!!!!!
Oh and when you get a chance pay your late morgage bill!
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Way too much inventory. Cant give away their homes in Vegas even with a free car for a purchase.
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KBH is poised for strong growth as the housing market has bottomed. It will only go up from here!
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Bottom is here, way undervalued
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Love the homes!!! They have wonderful floor plans. But hey with all the foreclosure they are loosing the game.
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One of the best real estate company investments going in the plagued market.
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BW 2007 Picks
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Terrible cash flow problems. Even in the best of times for the industry, they couldn’t produce.
Disclaimer: As I write this, I'm holding put options on KBH
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I don't think people will be buying new homes for a bit yet.
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Probably will not survive the storm. Assets will run out before the next building boom.

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