US Airways Group, Inc. (LCC)
The Company's primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier through its ownership of the common stock of US Airways, America West Holdings, Piedmont, PSA, MSC and AAL.
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Relatively attractive due to current low price and likely to improve fundamentals. With costs cut so deep, any slight increase in revenue, even 1 %, will boost the earnings wildly.
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uP, UP and away in my beautiful US Airways balloon.
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C never to do stupid thing on stock
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It's hard to believe that Mr. Market values US Airways outlook at 10% less than it did yesterday! One would think a plane crashed. No I don't think airlines are out of trouble. 10% unemployment will continue to keep travel in check. Overall however, US Airways is holding it's own. Increasing it's cash position and paying down some debt. Citi buying all 23 Million shares of an offering today is interesting. That could be good or bad considering Citi's track record. Overall, it does appear to be excessively dilutive for a mere $100 Million or so of capital when you have $4 Billion in Debt. With expenses down, flights cut until the exisiting ones are near capacity, lower fuel costs, etc. I'm willing to give them a chance at this price.
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Did Warren Buffet see some value it this stock when he brought it awhile ago, although he admits it was a mistake.
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The sector has been hit hard, this company can outperform from this price to 500% as we recover from this decade.
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As a USAIR Chairman status frequent flier who live on this airline, I can assure you it is on a path to continuous success. I fully expect the stock to double to $6 by Q3.
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This is a bit of a gamble, since I'm not a big fan of airlines. But it's worth a look since it's dirt cheap compared to other functioning U.S. Airlines.
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What happened during this season (July-Aug) last year? It went from $1.76 to $9.39 in 1 month! And this year their business position has improved drastically from what it was then, so despite possible bankruptcy in the coming years (which I also doubt), the relative short term prospects are great.
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LCC is undervalue even at its recent price. LCC has learned the way to survive in time like this one. Other carriers just don't know how to keep going.
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Rate Strong buy @ or Below $2.25
Min Target: $3.25 (good for a trade)
Low Target: $4.00
GOAL: $6.00
High Target: $8.00
Long term this stock could be over $10
Always have a goal in mind when buying a stock. (ie 10%gain, 50%gain or a stop order at -10%) Don't think in terms of months or years, think about percentage gains and losses.
Pitch: If this stock is 1/8th of your portfolio @ or below $2.25 You might have a good investment. signed My Opinion!
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going to stay in till it reaches 6
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As recession lessens and we pull out, even if it isn't within several months, people will start travelling again and the airline industry will boom. With better economic conditions will come a rise in oil prices so I don't think it will make it up the targeted 1 yr estimate (yahoo) but it will definately pick up some lost ground. Regardless, summer travels are frequent and winter break travels and spring break travels will boost LCC, so will business travels.
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trend PS test
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No measurable insider ownership, all institutional. LT debt is 3x cash on hand, 7 analysts currently following. Unfortunately this whole industry is very volitle based on oil/fuel costs. Just under 1B in negative cash flow last year. I don't know that I agree that you're going to get much revenue by charging extra for window seats or sitting at the front of the plane. I personally switched to another airline when I found that they wanted to charge me for a window seat when checking in online, versus taking whatever was left upon arrival at the airport. Of discount carriers, AirTran and Southwest are the best to fly, and of the main carriers I pick American. No doubt this stock will go up just because the industry has been beaten to a pulp, but long term staying power is not thre unless they do some serious re-thinking at the top. I'll be optimistically watching and hoping the guys at the top can come up with better ways to increase revenues, decrease costs, and attract passengers.
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$12 a share by July 15th
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Grabbing this while it's still pickable. As shaky as some parts of the company are (fee structure, customer service), with the consolidation and capacity cuts in the industry, I do not think they are going bankrupt within the next couple years, which would be the only thing to push the stock significantly lower at this point. With any kind of competent management (laugh if you want), they can knock down some debt and keep things on track.

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