Lennar Corp (LEN)
Primarily sell single-family attached and detached homes, and to a lesser extent, condominiums, in communities targeted to first-time, move-up and active adult homebuyers.
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Maintining a T-down on all home builders - we are not out of the woods yet by a long shot! Applies to commercial properties too.
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This is going down... watch and see
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A bounce up possibly related to the recent government extension of housing tax break, but this may just add a little more air to the housing bubble and not really correct the underlying problems. With unemployment continuing to rise and the eventual rise in the interest rate, there appear to be too many dangers to be long on the housing industry.
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Shorting all the 1 star home builders I have room for.
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per floridabuilder
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Another homebuilder/"neo-urbanist" developer on the ropes. Love the company, hate what's going to happen to them over the next couple of years while they wait out the housing dump.
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Housing market has not hit bottom. FB.
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real estate needs more time to improve
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I don't believe in homebuilders for the long run, well not many at least; however, this is more of a short term play as I believe there is more downside here.
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LEN has a too high valuation compared to its sales potential. It is also loss making at least until 2010.
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30-year Treasury yield. 'nuff said.
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Recent pop provides a great shorting oppurtunity
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Is the P/E thing broken? It says 391.00. Thats not possible is it?!
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FloridaBuilder.
uhhh. . . . and any body who worked in home building for the last 25 years knows that there is no need to build a house in america anytime in the "next decade", to quote Specbear.
Half the homebuilders in the US will be gone soon, or reduced to a shadow of their former glory.
On the other hand, my caps score is going down, so don't listen to me.
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too many homes now
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From the Fraud Institute report:
"A significant issue for Lennar is the level of debt carried by the joint
ventures (unconsolidated entities) it is involved with. This debt is referred
to as “off balance sheet” because Lennar doesn’t report it on its own
financial statements. And while this reporting may comply with the
accounting rules, it is often conveniently used by companies that want to
hide their true financial condition."
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floridabuilder2
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BK candidate
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Mountains of debt and no way to pay it off until land appreciates. That could be a decade. Too many limited partnerships that are doing just as bad as the industry. I think it is going below one dollar.

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