LHC Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:LHCG)

CAPS Rating: 4 out of 5

The Company provides post acute healthcare services primarily to Medicare beneficiaries in rural markets in the southern United States.

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Member Avatar IndecisiveDDay (< 20) Submitted: 7/4/2013 10:15:50 AM : Underperform Start Price: $19.61 LHCG Score: +5.32

I believe that given the structure of the organization, it seems to me that high acquisition costs of some new facilities purchased by LHC from sister corporations make costs too high for LHC to realize its potential. In my opinion, LHC exists for the benefit of the sister / underlying businesses and not vice versa.

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Member Avatar chris293 (87.27) Submitted: 6/14/2013 3:29:08 AM : Outperform Start Price: $23.20 LHCG Score: -21.19

This sounds like a good company that could have the ability to take advantage of the medical system for billions if it is not honest This is where government and our tax monies seem to have a lot of fraud and outright stealing especially in the southern part of the country. I do hope they are honest since many people will use their services.

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Member Avatar JanBarleycorn (23.38) Submitted: 5/25/2011 2:03:10 AM : Outperform Start Price: $26.39 LHCG Score: -60.17

High EPS & Revenue Growth.

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Member Avatar GaryMK (37.95) Submitted: 3/21/2011 10:52:25 AM : Outperform Start Price: $28.62 LHCG Score: -68.81

Although there is risk given the current unpredictability in the health care sector (due to government regulations, etc.), I think the aging US population will ultimately expand this companies customer base. I think this business is best poised to perform amongst it's peers to take advantage of this.

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Member Avatar WJ1019 (22.02) Submitted: 2/22/2011 10:16:01 AM : Outperform Start Price: $29.47 LHCG Score: -66.02

Stephens just upgraded LHCG to 'overweight'

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Member Avatar AjarnMichael (31.45) Submitted: 2/18/2011 9:58:09 AM : Outperform Start Price: $29.40 LHCG Score: -65.92

Love the home health care story for an aging population and believe the worries about relying on medicare are overblown. The numbers are phenomenal. AN excellent growth record of 27.1%, zero debt, and a Price to earnings ratio of only 0.7. Gotta love the margin of error that those numbers offer.

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Member Avatar russiangambit (29.44) Submitted: 2/6/2011 3:20:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $26.90 LHCG Score: -62.15

R industry starts screen

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Member Avatar magicseeker (50.10) Submitted: 1/6/2011 1:22:36 PM : Outperform Start Price: $30.06 LHCG Score: -75.32

MFI stock, good history

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Member Avatar Stender89 (75.67) Submitted: 12/30/2010 6:46:17 PM : Outperform Start Price: $30.28 LHCG Score: -77.75

To see why I believe LHCG will outperform - Click here:
http://nkvalueinvest.blogspot.com/

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Member Avatar rainmaker59 (49.99) Submitted: 12/13/2010 4:13:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $25.21 LHCG Score: -64.41

Here's what Usnzth writes on 12/7/2010:

Let's start with a stock that has ROE over 21%, less than 2% debt to capital, and a P/E of 9.

Then we have strong management with steady earnings growth in an industry set to explode with the aging baby boomers.

Lastly, we have a price drop of over 11% (over $3.00 per share) over the past five days because of a forward earnings adjustment of 10 cents per share.

I feel that this solid company has been oversold on a bit of bad news. Yes, the Meidcare reimbursements will drop five percent, but management is telling us this will make - at the most - a 4 percent difference in the bottom line next year.

I see no need for such a severe haircut, and bet that this stock will bounce back above $26.00 before the end of January, 2011.

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Member Avatar 4thvalue (51.58) Submitted: 11/2/2010 12:28:18 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.35 LHCG Score: -78.10

Earnings for quarter up 35% over last year. Sales for quarter up 25% over last year. Peat earnings estimates by 4%. Debt 4%. Profit Margin 16%. ROE 22%. Worth $38.75. Trading at a 44% discount.

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Member Avatar clark1943 (84.43) Submitted: 10/30/2010 9:38:51 PM : Outperform Start Price: $27.07 LHCG Score: -77.40

I have a target price of over $40/share.

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Member Avatar NKVD1938 (25.68) Submitted: 5/13/2010 1:39:25 PM : Underperform Start Price: $35.29 LHCG Score: +98.40

Two words: insider selling.
Several more: breaking down ahead of the market palpitations of early May.
Several more: our Congress of Ninnies now "investigating" the industry. Now what these dimwits need to investigate is how a country with our political leadership does not have the approximate living standards of Upper Volta. But that aside, I guess the two salient words I would add are: headline risk.

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Member Avatar musclemilk13 (99.53) Submitted: 3/8/2010 1:31:41 AM : Outperform Start Price: $31.70 LHCG Score: -95.60

Speculating: Forbes #4 Best Small Company (November 2009)
PEG (5yr Expcted): .79
Profit Margin (8% - room for improvement to say the least)
ROA: 21%
ROE: 22%
Low Debt: 4mn

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Member Avatar bluecollarbroker (87.06) Submitted: 2/23/2010 10:56:01 AM : Outperform Start Price: $31.55 LHCG Score: -101.34

running a new screen.

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Member Avatar Desdemuerto (99.30) Submitted: 1/27/2010 3:16:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.26 LHCG Score: -104.22

Long-term pick. Significant short-term pullback is likely if the market continues to drop as the stock is very high off it's lows.

Terrific company in a niche market with no direct competition (rural nursing homes / quasi health care facilities). Amazing growth rate and very intelligent management. History of making great acquisitions. Very good margins. Trading at just 13x my estimate of FCF.

Only risk is that many of the clientele are on medicare and thus any significant government cut-backs of medicare will obviously be detrimental.

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Member Avatar XMFCinco (30.89) Submitted: 1/5/2010 5:58:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $33.11 LHCG Score: -99.55

I like the growth, EPS of around 2, and return on Equity of 25. So thumbs up for me

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Member Avatar Nostradamuss (< 20) Submitted: 10/5/2009 4:16:20 PM : Underperform Start Price: $28.57 LHCG Score: +102.97

-

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Member Avatar landoffree (< 20) Submitted: 10/2/2009 10:13:58 AM : Outperform Start Price: $27.91 LHCG Score: -105.35

I am in this stock for the long haul. The next few years will be health of babyboomers. Since the balance sheet and p/e ratio all look positive this stock should outperform the rest in the sector.

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Member Avatar elingford (< 20) Submitted: 4/3/2009 2:17:37 AM : Underperform Start Price: $25.06 LHCG Score: +140.19

It is clear that something bearish has likely occurred or is on the horizon for stocks in LHCG's sub industry group (i.e. Home Health Care companies compensated by Medicare). If you look at the price action on weekly charts of LHCG, AFAM and AMED in 2008/09; you will clearly see that they have topped and are now declining on massive volume down days despite reporting outstanding earnings and revenue growth for last quarter and giving higher guidance for up coming year and quarter! This is tremendous divergence and people long these stocks should at least consider closing positions. I am not saying that these stocks will certainly go lower but the odds do favor continued downward movement in these stocks over the next few months hence my under perform rating.

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