LinkedIn Corp. (NYSE:LNKD)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

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Member Avatar TMFBoiseKen (93.53) Submitted: 3/15/2015 10:03:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $259.80 LNKD Score: -0.72

I can't believe I waited this long to mark LNKD in caps. I've owned shares for a couple years. Oh well, better late than never.

This company is increasing all the important metrics. People are increasingly engaged. LinkedIn is THE only legitimate professional networking site and I want to be along for the ride as the company continues to expand and increase engagement.

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Member Avatar thumbsUpFool (98.26) Submitted: 3/12/2015 10:19:18 PM : Underperform Start Price: $263.63 LNKD Score: +2.13

I am not a naysayer or a doomsday predictor. This market is in new territory though, and it WILL come down sooner, rather than later. There are two strong predictors of serious crashes and those are the Shiller PE (CAPE) and Warren Buffet's favorite Mkt Cap to GNP. The CAPE goes back further, so let's look at that. There have only been three times before now that the CAPE (price to last 10 yr avg earnings or "Cyclically Adjusted PE) has soared past 25x. The Great Depression, The Dot Com boom, and the Housing Boom. All three times the market plummeted back down. The average 3 yr annualized return following these peaks averages about -19%. High PE and negative PE stocks will be absolutely obliterated, and this is one of those. I am calculating based on historical averages that the likelihood the crash has already begun is 27%. It's still more in the markets favor than not that the climb will continue, but each month that passes will eventually tip that in the other direction.

So where are we going?
I don't know, I can only go on history, and history does not always repeat itself exactly the same way. I do know though that I have made many successful stock picks based on books I've read and my personal experiences. History was the sole basis of every one of these books and every one of the decisions I made...

When will the drop occur?
Again, I don't know, I can only guess based on the averages of the amount of time it has taken in the past. In the Great Depression, after the CAPE reached 25, the crash happened within approx 300 days. The market during the dotcom and housing booms started its decline more than 4 years after reaching 25x. It will most likely be somewhere in between but this is one of only 4 data points so many outcomes are possible.

I'm thumbsupfool, why the hell am I giving a thumbs down?

Because this is a seriously overvalued time. One of the greatest in US market history.

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Member Avatar Hitler555 (30.23) Submitted: 2/11/2015 8:34:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $268.94 LNKD Score: -3.51

The Workers Network of every Profession.

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Member Avatar HOGridin (76.51) Submitted: 2/6/2015 12:02:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $262.75 LNKD Score: -2.77

Improving economy may finally yield some wage growth which should push more users and activities toward LinkedIn services. I know this from my own network of underpaid or underemployed associates.

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Member Avatar JohnCLeven (66.70) Submitted: 2/2/2015 8:36:38 PM : Underperform Start Price: $219.44 LNKD Score: -13.28

Good ole fashioned overvaluation.

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Member Avatar ChristoKeller (44.42) Submitted: 1/25/2015 3:06:48 PM : Underperform Start Price: $232.21 LNKD Score: -10.05

No branding.

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Member Avatar jaynew (97.22) Submitted: 1/25/2015 2:19:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $232.21 LNKD Score: +10.05

a favorite holding of mine, LinkedIn is a first-mover, innovator, big-data keeper and customer-focused leader in the recruiting space, with great management and vision, with the long-term trend adding wind in the sales. disruptor of corporate HR processes the world over with a great record of cash-generation. facebook's recent move into the 'at work' space only validates linkedin's vision.

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Member Avatar JackDanny (76.66) Submitted: 11/18/2014 6:08:11 AM : Underperform Start Price: $219.28 LNKD Score: -16.43

An otherwise uninformed bet on Facebook at Work grabbing part of Linkedin's business.

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Member Avatar sjinvestor (39.73) Submitted: 11/14/2014 2:19:13 PM : Underperform Start Price: $232.90 LNKD Score: -9.32

The product is valuable, but there are smaller solutions gaining traction and a big behemoth in Salesforce lurking ahead. Will probably be a great long-term bet, but I think the stock price will be challenged over the next year so am waiting to buy in at a lower price.

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Member Avatar PuddinHead42 (43.94) Submitted: 11/3/2014 9:29:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $209.00 LNKD Score: +8.34

LNKD had great earnings and the big institutions jumped in with high volume and again today, the day after earnings. This is a buy here as it broke past a pivot point in its recent base.

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Member Avatar davidm9999 (62.46) Submitted: 10/19/2014 8:57:33 PM : Underperform Start Price: $195.70 LNKD Score: -21.81

LNKD is fundamentally overvalued and has accounting chicanery to boot

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Member Avatar bobasaur (53.32) Submitted: 9/26/2014 2:24:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $212.51 LNKD Score: +16.87

The moat of building a social network that professionals trust is wide, much wider than the one Facebook enjoys. This should give LinkedIn enough time to develop a solid pricing model while further solidifying its position as THE online presence of every professional.

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Member Avatar crytzcat (< 20) Submitted: 9/17/2014 9:23:32 PM : Outperform Start Price: $210.40 LNKD Score: +19.84

I am a member and it is a great place for professionals to be matched with the position they are seeking. It is also a wonderful place to hang out and meet other professionals.

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Member Avatar My535 (47.21) Submitted: 9/17/2014 2:16:12 PM : Outperform Start Price: $211.60 LNKD Score: +18.96

The career portal. Revenue opportunities just beginning. 4.6 GD Stars.

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Member Avatar kennethkao416 (38.64) Submitted: 9/15/2014 2:25:21 AM : Underperform Start Price: $224.50 LNKD Score: -11.04

good company with crazy ROE

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Member Avatar DINEROne (48.14) Submitted: 9/11/2014 12:11:53 AM : Outperform Start Price: $229.54 LNKD Score: +8.59

This will become HR departments go to place for finding and hiring talented employees

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Member Avatar captious (< 20) Submitted: 9/5/2014 10:57:37 PM : Outperform Start Price: $229.32 LNKD Score: +9.55

Dominant moat in professional networking. Finding new ways to monetize this near monopoly is a great problem to have.

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Member Avatar WiseWillyAgain (78.39) Submitted: 9/4/2014 3:12:57 AM : Outperform Start Price: $225.34 LNKD Score: +11.48

dominant player with mature core products. Large on -going investment in the future. Expansion in Far East should blow profits out

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Member Avatar Kenji94 (58.65) Submitted: 8/28/2014 12:47:35 AM : Underperform Start Price: $222.76 LNKD Score: -12.16

Why people buy this company? It is Extremely overvalued in my opinion! The only way for the stock is DOWN!

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Member Avatar asilverp (60.55) Submitted: 8/27/2014 5:36:37 PM : Underperform Start Price: $222.76 LNKD Score: -12.16

According to Yahoo, this company is selling at 15 times sales. yes, that's right, sales, not earnings sales. At this price in order for it to be a deal it has to get a profit margin of around 20% and grow 10 times the size it is now. I am....doubtful that this will occur. I for one, am unsure about how sustainable growth is in America right now and I'm not really all that impressed with LinkedN as a company.

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