Grand Canyon Education (LOPE)

spreadsheetV1 (< 20) Submitted: 11/23/2009 1:45:11 AM : Start Price: $19.69 LOPE Score: +2.62

This met a high level screen to indicate a sell and strong underperform against its peers (other tickers in its industry). My 1st version of this spreadsheet devles deep into the company's balance sheet and recent income statements, combined with other relevant price data for the company including insider/institutional holdings, short interest, debt levels, etc.
I'm testing capabilities of this 1st version of my automated, valuation spreadsheet matched with my personal criteria and see how it holds up.

hofbauer (< 20) Submitted: 11/12/2009 2:48:13 PM : Start Price: $17.83 LOPE Score: +5.90

illogical advice from acacia 09.11.12

JerryDreamer (< 20) Submitted: 8/2/2009 8:36:55 PM : Start Price: $17.81 LOPE Score: +3.75

There is less momentum, less volume, and less buying going on. We are in the last part of this rally.

Paramnesia1930 (98.20) Submitted: 7/31/2009 7:31:18 PM : Start Price: $17.81 LOPE Score: +3.75

The 1929-1930 equity rally (coming out of The Great Depression) lasted 147 days and the market was up 46%. It has been the same amount of time since the March, 2009 low and we are up about the same percentage. It’s déjà vu (paramnesia), so prepare for a drop of about the same percentage (85%).

TheHague (72.48) Submitted: 4/12/2009 3:53:29 PM : Start Price: $14.91 LOPE Score: -3.15

One of two successful IPO's from 08! Sluggish at the moment, but that will change with changes made att the top!

Evad005 (62.56) Submitted: 3/24/2009 6:40:07 PM : Start Price: $16.75 LOPE Score: +23.04

Time for the educational companies to come down some.

billydakid (99.33) Submitted: 2/3/2009 9:12:58 PM : Start Price: $18.77 LOPE Score: +31.21

This is a Dog.

BuffySoro (98.71) Submitted: 12/23/2008 10:39:42 AM : Start Price: $17.67 LOPE Score: +19.89

PE ratio of 125.
I see it as a bad sign that they wanted to cash out at this time.
How higher can it go? difficult to say because it's an IPO.... NI of 5.5 with a market cap of 767.5M? that's almost a billion haha

+ they say the unemployed will take advantage and improve their education, but if it is so they don't have a job and they have time to go to physical classes (and not do the studying online through LOPE)

... if insiders are cashing out as quickly as possible, even with the current market, no way I am buying from them

Tastylunch (99.64) Submitted: 11/25/2008 9:45:29 PM : Start Price: $12.62 LOPE Score: -13.09

It's an IPO in the one of the worst IPO markets in a looooong time. Wanted 20 bucks a share got 12. Ouchie doodle

Plus it's trading at a hefty premium to net current assets.

A LOPE IPO probably would do well in a normal market climate, and their business should do well in their current economy (education which benefits when ppl are out of work) which makes you wonder why they'd brave an IPO now. They don't seem to neeed the cash...Possibly related to charges of fraud related to instructor pay? Still going public Doesn't sound like a good decision for the company, although I guess insiders are cashing out 75% of shares which might give us a clue as to why...

" Another dampening factor might have been that 75% of the proceeds from the IPO are going to insiders. Young isn't too troubled by this, since he says the firm doesn't need a big infusion of cash, and the private-equity investors want their profits. But analysts are a bit puzzled as to why they decided to do it now.

"I guess the insiders figured that 75% at 12 is better than not getting paid," Molberger said. "

http://biz.yahoo.com/ibd/081120/general01.html?.v=1

Not exactly what I'd call a vote of confidence.

goldminingXpert (99.98) Submitted: 11/24/2008 10:19:52 PM : Start Price: $12.93 LOPE Score: -18.04

It's an IPO.