iShares IBoxx $ InvesTop Invest Grad Cor (LQD)
Exchange Traded Funds
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LQD provides investment grade income at a nice rate with reasonable volatility.
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I am predicting bond will outperfrom equities for the next few years. My reasons are as follows:
The S&P is way overpriced, the P/E ratio is above the historic median.
David Rosenberg points out the S&P has priced in 4% GDP growth for 2010 while the bond market has priced in 2%.
More than 100% of the economic growth we have seen in 2009 has been the result of government spending. This cannot continue forever. If you take away government spending in 2009 real GDP would be down around 6%
While firms have been "beating" earnings estimates those estimated have been DRASTICALLY cut down over the past year.
Lastly if you look at the S&P 500 earnings have been made by cutting costs, as revenue is down. You can only cut costs (lay off people) for so long, eventually you have to sell more.
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Bonds have gone a little bit too far with spreads back to pre crisis days,which while reasonable is not discounting enough defaults to cover any room for error and very little further upside for sure..
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Over the long run, corporate debt will underperfom stocks. It doesn't have the upside potential that common equity does. That said, no portfolio is really diversified without it. I happily took a bad score from a red thumb on this pick last winter while I watched myself not lose as much real-life money.
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Spreads are still higher, strictly, than they ought to be, and this fund will outperform in a short-term perspective, in either a bear or a sideways churn market. One would expect it to be trounced by the 'secular bull', if that beast truly makes a return; I don't think he's back in the ring yet, and that's what this pick is saying.
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In case bonds do better than stocks, a low price etf bond fund.
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This is purely a stock screener play. I hope it doesn't steer me wrong.
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Stock are going nowhere except maybe down, but high quality corporate bonds should offer a good return
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Corporate bonds are a bargain given the spread over 10-year TBonds. Why not get paid a decent yield and avoid the uncertainty of equities for now?
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Bonds no good all bad.
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Steady dividends will likely beat the market, which I believe will be heading south 2009 Q1 as continued bad news sinks in.
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This is a Corporate Bond ETF and is a great way to add these bonds to your portfolio. It currently pays a 5.8% rate of interest monthly and would compound very nicely. The bond spread for corporate bonds is huge right now and this is an easily tradable way to benefit from this right now without having to pick individual bonds.
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Going long on stocks; short on bonds.
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ETF beaten down by credit crisis. Portfolio is built on investment grade corporate bonds. Stodgy dull stuff. I think there's a 15% upside on share price as credit market improves plus there's a 6+% dividend.
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We'll see how lousy I am at timing the market . . . but this is my attempt at saying the worst may be over and Long-term interest rates should begin to head higher.
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Stocks outperform bonds.
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Fixed income market is in a bubble, the yields are too low and do not reflect the reality of rising worldwide inflation. Get ready for a long term bear market in bonds
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U.S. stock bull 3/17/2008.
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