Mid-America Apartment (NYSE:MAA)
A self-administrated and self-managed real estate investment trust which owns, acquires and operates multifamily apartment communities mainly in the Sunbelt region of the United States.
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9/18/11 Options Predictor Rank #69. P/C Ratio 0.189 and Call Sizzle 2.778.
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This company was individually screened to verify that during the boom years ('04-'08), their Balance Sheet expansion appeared excessive or at the very least aggressive. At some point or another, something's gotta give with this company. Income will start collapsing due to debt levels, and/or dividends will be slashed or removed, and/or significant losses will be realized. The chances of this being a growth company or having significant growth is heavily muted due to its dividend paying obligations at the current levels of today.
This company was personally found after using a screener. The screener yielded many companies that often relate to the energy/commodity industry, or FIRE (financial insurance real estate).
google screener options:
Market cap over 400M
Dividend yield over 2%
1 Year price change better than -35%
price to book 0.9 or higher
total debt/assets (recent qtr) greater than 50%
total debt/equity (recent qtr) greater than 50%
13 week price change greater than 10%
After individually screening for companies appearing overvalued due to Balance sheet expansion, it yielded the following stocks to short:
EPE NRGP NRGY OFC EV EPB CNK ASCA MAA EVR
For the heavy shorting within the energy sector as part of the above picks, I will offset them with the following longs relating to energy/commodities:
LONG on PBT, BPT, SJT, GCC
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after dividends, watch it slide..novice entry
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the end of cheap credit for the housing industry will be a boon for apartments. Would be owners will have to delay buying, forcing them into rentals, driving up prices, i.e. profits for MAA and other related stocks.
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Mid-America Apartment Communities is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and manages apartments in the southeast and south-central United States. The company through its continuous acquisition and development has been able to expand its portfolio to more than forty thousand apartments spread across 13 states.
The U.S. housing market has slumped since reaching its peak in 2005. However, apartment market outlook continues to be robust considering factors like expected increase in job growth rate by 1.2% for the coming year. Moreover, mortgage defaults had shoot up sharply owing to 17 straight rate hikes till mid 2006. This has put up a halt on aggressive lending. Endorsing the same, most of the first time homebuyers have no alternative left other than renting option. This has pushed demand for rental house and has resulted elevation in rental by 4.0% to 4.4% across the state.
The company through its three-tier market strategy has been able to spread its portfolio across different states. This should enable the company to withstand diverse economic cycles in different states. Moreover, the company has set up its base in areas with nourishing job opportunities; as it has entered in seven of the ten top national markets.
The company has been successfully able to complete its renovation of 1,086 apartment units, which has yielded them a rent hike of 17%. A subdued supply pressure should persist in the near future, which should supplement this rising rental rates. The management through new development, redevelopment and core acquisition initiatives expects funds from operation (FFO) for fiscal 2007 to around $3.40 to $3.60 per share, an increase of more than 2% in comparison with last year. Mismatch between demand-supply should aid Mid-America to get the better deal, when matched against market.
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