The Macerich Company (NYSE:MAC)
The Company is involved in the acquisition, ownership, development, redevelopment, management and leasing of regional and community shopping centers located throughout the United States.
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This company that handles shopping centers has an outstanding dividend, but if Motley Fool numbers can be trusted it has a payout ratio of 142.6 , a huge p/e and a negative cash flow. Seems like a good candidate for underperforming.
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Bad economy, high oil prices. Malls will suffer.
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dividend unsustainable, retail is going to struggle with the increase in inflation because of QE...not good news for the landlord...
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The REITs are still cheap. No one believes the potential upside possible in this stock.
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Rollercoaster is going down
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Tax credit expiring, slowdown, commercial real estate
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Its 2006 all over again. Speculators are back and really believe that a recovery is here. This MAC is not the Apple computer, it is a company that needs a real recovery in retail business, commercial real estate and banking to remain solvent. This has to happen quickly or this stock will collapse.
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Back in the 70's, I saw REIT's go from $50 to 50 cents a share. Macerich looks like a good candidate for that. While they've made some progress in the past year at trying to get out of the quicksand, they're just too highly leveraged and fighting too strong of headwinds to survive the coming implosion in commercial Real Estate.
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http://seekingalpha.com/article/176417-a-granular-look-at-a-6-billion-reit-is-macerich-the-next-ggp?source=feed
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Can anyone say commercial real estate? If this stock outperforms the SP500, I'll find some way to surgically attach my head to my arse.
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Reggie's analysis...
http://boombustblog.com/200911031196/Re-Commerical-Real-Estate-and-REIT-s-It-s-About-That-Time.html
As we navigate through future, the problems in the financial sector are expected to get worse before they stabilize wherein our expectations of the Distressed scenario (explained later in the report) could well turn into a reality posing a further downside to MAC’s valuation of 64% from the current levels. However, based on weighted average of valuation (probabilities of likelihood of each scenario being the weights used) arrived under four scenarios (mentioned later) including the Distressed scenario, we have arrived at valuation of $9.9 per share for MAC.
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Commercial real estate seems to be the least promising sector I can find right now. Combine that with the dreadful numbers (check its ratios) and this company looks a poor bet for the next year (and probably longer).
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Paying out dividends much higher than earnings in the face of a giant debt.
You cant fool me Macerich Company.
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A GOOD SHOPPING MALLS COMPANY
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MAC has an illiquid balance sheet and a too high valuation compared to its sales potential. Its profitability is decreasing. It distributes an unsustainable dividend.
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The Macerich Comanpany (MAC) has the worst management!!! They are not managing their malls at all. Retailers are leaving their malls by the handfuls. Too much big box competition.
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its own good malls
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any day now...
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Last quarter results show rents received of 50 million and interest on debt of 70 million. Highly leveraged... it's going to zero.
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Snowball's chance in hell of not going to zero eventually. Very simple -- revenues will keep shrinking and they won't be able to pay the interest on their debt. BK
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