MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)
An online trading company which focused on enabling e-commerce and its related services.
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Way overvalued. There are some challenges coming in the Latin American economy.
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This account tracks the fast-growing shakers and movers and some of the riskier stocks on my watch list.
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Meli is a solid company that has increased its revenues and paid of some of its debts in the recent years, but it is trading so astronomically high over its book value its not even funny. Their current book value per share is roughly $2.41 per share, and its market price is $39.77 per share. You do the math.
Meli to me looks like a corporate bubble thats about to burst. I think prices will drastically drop, than level off.
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It has gone too high.... now is the time for pullback...
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PE for MELI sky high. Entire market overbought. Insider selling. Look out below.
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A young GOOGLE/AMAZON in the heart of one of the worlds major emerging markets. Excluding political instability, or gross mismanagement, I don't see a long term down side here.
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Plenty of room for growth in a company that has already demonstrated how fast it can grow
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Growth in the future.
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Similar theme to my recent picks - simply an overvalued stock
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The next major online market place for Central and Latin America. Solid financials as well
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MELI is the EBAY equivalent in Latin America. The region is experiencing rapid growth and this firm is poised to take advantage of this growth
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There is less momentum, less volume, and less buying going on. We are in the last part of this rally.
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The 1929-1930 equity rally (coming out of The Great Depression) lasted 147 days and the market was up 46%. It has been the same amount of time since the March, 2009 low and we are up about the same percentage. It’s déjà vu (paramnesia), so prepare for a drop of about the same percentage (85%).
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Many more Latino's are buying on-line, as more people are getting connected/online. MELI reported 69% more revenue in Q109 compared to Q108. in Venezuela alone. This is a worldwide trend and LatAm is just getting up to speed.
See also http://www.cadenaglobal.com/noticias/default.asp?Not=221720&Sec=13.
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growing internet commerce in latin america
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I was reading a Fool article that mentioned MELI and it got my attention. I dug around a little and decided to put it in my CAPS portfolio.
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Are you kidding? At the rate internet usage is increasing in South and Central America a company which acts as a amazon/ebay/craig's list is a no brainer.
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Well down on a P/E that exceeded 80 prior to the bear market, this one combines several virtues. It's an obvious growth pick with added bells. Well diversified over all Latin American countries, it offers a nice short position against the US Dollar which I consider to be at the top of a long decline. The diversification of the stock is not just geographical though as the business is built on auction sales, fixed-cost sales and payments. So that would be eBay, Amazon and PayPal all rolled into one with no end in sight growth-wise. Gimme gimme gimme!
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Ebay, amazon and Craigs List all over again? Probably not but get any part of it and this will really take off. It is pretty stupid for anyone to think it would be an AMZ or something like that. South American sales will boom but not as fast and far as the US dot-bubble.
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Latin American eBay? Yes.

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