M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO)
The Company designs, sells and builds single-family homes on finished lots, which it develops or purchases ready for home construction.
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What's to like here? Negative earnings, negative cash flow. Buyers of this name are banking on improved wages. Not going to happen.
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Real estate coming back.
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High beta, low alpha. No earnings, lots of interest payments.Up 110% from its October low. Short in May and go away.
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I firmly believe now is the time to start going long home builder stocks. This sector has been absolutely destroyed the past several years and there continues to be a lot of bad press out there; however, this trend can't remain forever. I am not advocating that we are going to go back to the "glory days" of flipping crappy houses and buying McMansions with no proof of income etc., but people still need a place to live.
One of the largest misconceptions out there is that Home builders can't make money unless the RE market in the US returns to the 2004-2006 era. This is simply not true. What many people forget is that as the average home price has indeed collapsed, so have the input costs and builders are making some insane profit margins right now and should continue to do so going forward.
I'm not going into any specific details for MHO other than that it is towards the top of my list because it has a rock solid cash position and has some of the best land in the country. The best HB stocks will clearly outperform, but this is also a sector bet as well. For more thoughts on my general stance on Home Builder stocks see here: http://caps.fool.com/Pitch/MDC/5078974/yes-fools-you-are-seeing-that-.aspx
I don't expect instant results, but I am currently dipping my toes in the water and buying select HB stocks and I will continue to do so on any dips etc. 5+ years from now, you will be rewarded. Patience is a virtue.
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following the herd
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Earnings outlook - is not looking good.
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Its a homebuider, nuf said! Sales aren't looking too pretty in the recent couple months (when previously an upward trend was being established). Extension of the tax credit doesn't appear to be promising much motivation. With commercial real estate pending doom, residential real estate will feel continue ill affects being "guilty by association".
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This company builds houses. In case you didn't know, there's an excess supply of houses that nobody wants. They'll just have to wait a couple of years until population growth makes those excess houses go away.
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Home building? No thanks!
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rally picks
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This is my worst short every, but I dont think this stock is at a good price. I may throw some lighter fluid on it for fun and double down. Definitely a POS stock.
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In the economics today it doesn't seem to have taken a big bite out of this stock thus far, time will only tell. It maybe only a slow mover but as of right now it seems to be heading in an upward movement.
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In Floridabuilder we trust! In Floridabuilder we trust! In Floridabuilder we trust!
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this stock is a horror show for all of you who have been watching. Its going back down hard so be careful because we havent hit a bottom in housing.
floridabuilder says : everything about them is a disaster. Their run-up was due to the great debt to equity ratio. They have some major issues, poor locations, and big write offs coming up
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/I Homes, Inc. is a builder of single-family homes. The Company sells and constructs single-family homes, attached townhomes and condominiums to first-time, move-up, empty-nester and luxury buyers under the M/I Homes and Showcase Homes trade names. During the year ended December 31, 2007, the Company delivered 3,173 homes. Its homes are sold in the geographic markets, including Columbus and Cincinnati, Ohio; Tampa and Orlando, Florida; Charlotte and Raleigh, North Carolina; Indianapolis, Indiana, and the Virginia and Maryland suburbs of Washington, D.C. The Company supports its homebuilding operations by providing mortgage financing services through its wholly owned subsidiary, M/I Financial Corp. (M/I Financial), and title and insurance brokerage services through subsidiaries that are either wholly or majority-owned by the Company
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Wow this CAPS page looks super extra ugly.
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bearish on everything related to housing for the next year
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I don't know what people are thinking ANYMORE. This stock looks like it's gonna go down the drain. The whole housing market is coming back is just a hoax. Peopl e just blindly jump into this stock like it's gonna get hot.
EVEN IF THE HOUSING MARKET IS COMING BACK. IT'S NOT GONNA BE THIS PIECE OF ...(PLEASE LOOK AT THEIR GODDAMN BALANCE SHEET PEOPLE)
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A housing stock with little liquidity and tons of inventory in a housing market where nothing is moving. 2008 will be a horrible year and the herd will be thinned. People are buying into housing stocks a little early in my opinion. This industry will take longer to turn around than expected. Do you really want to hang on to companies that will have declining revenues and losses for 2+ years?
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Housing.
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