Mirant Corp (MIR)
Mirant Corporation produces and sells electricity in the United States.
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Don't like seeing revenue decline and earnings decline but cash flows, debt, profitable, book value alone makes this impossible to pass. The decline is over and the S&P is about to be stagnant or decline. No brainer.
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Solid business with large footprint with a must-have product
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energy utility industry. purchased MIR in real life portfolio today @14.02/share.
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'cause its being manipulated for the purpose of relieving the owners of the onus of ownership. Just like it was the first time it was bankrupted.
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Great balance sheet. Great balance sheet valuation. Great cash flow. Great cash flow valuation. High analyst estimates of future profit, relative to price. Price seems to be depressed because it is a coal burner, and may have to pay for carbon offsets.
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Coal fired power. Value: P/E 1, P/B O.6, P/S 0.6, Operating Margins are 4X industry.
What's not to like: Coal, Cap & Trade.
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Cheap earnings and growth.
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Bottom of trend line, up up and away to 17
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PEG<=.5
Earnings Growth 5yr >= 25
Price/book <=1
Institutions>=20
Sales(ttm)>=50m
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Current 16.36, Sept 18 09. Limit 16.10
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MIR is among the most profitable and cash rich companies.
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Very cheap based on fundamentals. The stock trades at 0.6X tangible assets, is profitable and growing revenue. The Enterprise value to revenue ratio is below 1 which is rare for a utility.
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low price to book ratio, high margins
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Identified with Fundamental Rule of Thumb screen. CapShot score = 8
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GM should be so lucky as to come out of bankruptcy as well as Mirant has done since it emerged from Chapter 11 back in January of 2006. For the past ten quarters it has had earnings equal to 1.5X the current stock price. If it were paying out those earnings at a 50% payout rate, the effective dividend yield would be about 30%. Two thumbs up for Mirant.
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This Company sold off its assets in Latin America developing a cash position well over 4 billion dollars. Management advised that they would return these funds to shareholders but as it turned out, their method was a Share Repurchase Plan.
During this repurchase program, share prices declined consistantly from well in the $4o. + range to the $18 +current price. It would have been far better if these funds had been distributed as Dividends.
The competence of the current management is severly lacking.
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Large position held by Paulson Capital in their hedge fund (that is up >500% YTD).
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Merchant utility Can they figure out how to blossom?or merge? Beat down with others, less debt.
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This stock was picked by TMFCommodore in the 2008 TMF Stockpicking Contest.
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Currenty buying back 2-4B of stock, using 4.6B from sales of Phillipine and CAribean Assests. Very low Debt for large private utility. Mixed use of Natural Gas and Coal generation allows use of whichever has best economy. Lot of Coal generation means high Natural gas pricing is a benefit (expect Natural gas pricing to hold in 7$ or higher. Looking for gains after buybacks (they are currently buying back at low stock price $37-38. When outsatnding shares reduced to ~150M, 1B or Earnings will be $8 per share. At 15 PE that is $120/share. Price shoul settle somewere between 40 and that 80? in the next year. That is 100% gain.

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