MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG)
The Company through its wholly owned subsidiary Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation provides private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry.
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This met a high level screen to indicate a buy and strong outperform against its peers (other tickers in its industry). My 1st version of this spreadsheet devles deep into the company's balnace sheet and recent income statements, combined with other relevant price data for the company including insider/institutional holdings, short interest, debt levels, etc.
Testing capabilities of this 1st version of my automated, valuation spreadhseet matched with my personal criteria and see how it holds up.
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See attached article from July.
http://markets.kiplinger.com/kiplinger/?GUID=9438711&Page=MediaViewer&Ticker=MTG
Sounds like an alternative to what may have been an eventual BK. Maybe a company to look at a few years down the road if housing shows more promise. Just my opinion.
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I'm re-donwthumbing this thing although it could have a dead cat bounce. They're burining a billion a quarter in losses. This could go bankrupt.
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They are the leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the U.S. MGIC was burned in the subprime meltdown, but has since been clawing its way back. They are lowering their expenses and raising origination standards.
This stock is trading for less than cash and has a low price to operating cash flow. It's also selling at about half of book and sales. Insiders own 24% of the company. This pick doesn't reflect any sense that I have of a bottom in housing. In fact, mortgage deliquencies across the board were up in the second quarter. I would rather be early on this than late.
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beaten down stock has rebounded from bottom.
trades at discount to cash on hand.
Cash on hand exceeds debt.
4 straight upward weeks
riding upward 20dayMA.
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it is run by a good group of executives who already are trying to put the company back on its feet.
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With housing bottoming watch out for this one up up up it goes
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Because so many think it will fail, it will succeed. Price target: $3.69
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short slope of hope
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As the housing market recovers this stock will soar.
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Housing turnaround will shoot this stock through the roof.
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Playing the lotto.
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I DONT KNOW IF THIS STOCK IS GOING HIGHER STOCK BUT FOR NOW SELL IT
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Revenue on track to exceed 2006 levels. PMI is going to be required on all mortgages without 20% down and it is going to cost more. If housing is likely to bottom by mid 2009, it will require buyers to obtain mortgages. Increasing demand for services from the largest of the PMI providers should equal a rising stock price. Debt to equity ratios look good (<50%) and there has been steady insider buying over the last year. It scares me to make this call, but I think it is a reasonable one over 3-5 years.
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The market share leader that's grabbing additional share in a necssary industry.
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Another unfairly beaten up financial insurer that will benefit when real estate come back in the second quarter 2009.
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Yet another stock on CAPS that has no business having a 1-star rating. Is it me, or is the vast majority of CAPS players bandwagon types? Where's the foresight, folks?
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MGIC is trading at only 31 cents of market cap per dollar of net tangible assets. Once it's done losing money (probably not until 4Q 2009), look for it to triple.
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mortgage insurance companies have not loss as much money as people would like to believe they were extreme undervalued by the housing crash and will jump back up on realization on the stablization

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