Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

Netflix delivers its comprehensive library of movies and TV shows online and through the mail in their ubiquitous red envelopes.

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Member Avatar CashRulez (87.57) Submitted: 5/21/2015 2:20:56 PM : Outperform Start Price: $195.79 NFLX Score: +157.26

The ultimate game-changer with enormous market potential and a top-notch leader. It's very difficult to value this company with any sort of precision and doing so could be a mistake. It's the type of high-growth stock that mistakenly get valued too low when investors don't realize the market potential.

They plan to expand into 200 countries by 2017. This is a much more agressive plan than the previous few years. This is a sign that they've figured international out and are ready to attack. As they acquire more data in different international markets, Netflix will become even more efficient in obtaining content people want to watch, thus becoming more profitable. They are excelling at pricing, technology, growth, and movie production. Reed Hastings was the first to understand where this world is going and his baby continues to innovate.

This will be a top 5 holding for years to come.

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Member Avatar Floresn135 (< 20) Submitted: 5/20/2015 6:12:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $623.57 NFLX Score: -0.40

Netflix has continued to provide original content that is forcing studios to copy their strategy. With it continuing to expand their international market, they will move up.

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Member Avatar jimhsu (94.87) Submitted: 5/15/2015 1:07:42 PM : Underperform Start Price: $614.90 NFLX Score: -0.74

A valuation play. "Show me the numbers". They don't suggest that NFLX will perform in the years to come, despite how the company itself goes.

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Member Avatar kevinim89 (69.56) Submitted: 5/14/2015 2:55:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $583.46 NFLX Score: +6.17

not sure how much bigger this can get...

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Member Avatar HayZeus (39.85) Submitted: 5/8/2015 2:27:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $576.27 NFLX Score: +7.24

Another Worldwide Monopoly

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Member Avatar Funseeker9 (< 20) Submitted: 5/5/2015 10:44:52 AM : Outperform Start Price: $574.19 NFLX Score: +6.91

Int'l expansion

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Member Avatar ElliottSmith (40.48) Submitted: 4/27/2015 8:03:55 AM : Underperform Start Price: $562.05 NFLX Score: -10.33

ridiculous valuation

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Member Avatar BuffettJunior1 (97.95) Submitted: 4/22/2015 8:08:05 PM : Underperform Start Price: $557.59 NFLX Score: -10.18

House of cards valuation!

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Member Avatar JCLscapXperiment (45.75) Submitted: 4/16/2015 11:24:46 AM : Underperform Start Price: $543.74 NFLX Score: -13.08

Jan 17 put option $13.95, $300 strike

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Member Avatar JPMaysMustang (79.01) Submitted: 4/16/2015 10:28:09 AM : Outperform Start Price: $543.87 NFLX Score: +12.89

Netflix reached an all time high today and I gave it a thumbs up - why? Because for 3 reasons.

1.) One of the most obvious trends occuring today is the cutting of cable by Mellennials. They want to pick and choose the content they consume at their own pace, not be force fed copius amounts they don't want from traditional cable companies. This is right in the pocket of Netflix's strategy. Not only this, but they are one of the best providers of this content format.

2.) In the most recent conference call Reed Hastings stated that Netflix currently has 62 million subscribers. That may sound impressive but look at the runway sitting in front of Netflix. 7 billion people on the planet, more than half in developed or developing nations with high speed internet. Continued gh speed internet penetration around the globe. Such an untapped market.

3.) Content creation. Netflix makes amazing content that consumers CRAVE. This creates a brand loyalty moat.

Thumbing up at an all time high - more like NFLX is just getting started.

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Member Avatar km00nster (< 20) Submitted: 4/14/2015 8:35:22 AM : Outperform Start Price: $470.68 NFLX Score: +30.63

I bought ahead of earnings on Wednesday. Miss or Beat, I would say 12 months from now, this is a 550 dollar stock. No one creates or provides as much content as Netflix and they are growing at a fast pace overseas. As expensive as the stock is, I believe they are still undervalued for what there growth potential is.

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Member Avatar andrewtraylor (41.50) Submitted: 4/10/2015 4:46:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $470.68 NFLX Score: +30.63

More risk, more reward- you get what you pay for most of the time.

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Member Avatar Aphexwolf (81.00) Submitted: 4/9/2015 11:31:59 PM : Underperform Start Price: $450.78 NFLX Score: -36.14

I love Netflix, it's a great service that I use almost every day as well as my friends...so it pains me to give it a thumbs down, but the stock price is WAY too overvalued right now. There's also still uncertainty in the air about whether or not ISP's are going to charge extra fees and premiums to customers to get in on a piece of the money Netflix is bringing in.

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Member Avatar TurtlePerson2 (76.65) Submitted: 4/9/2015 11:51:37 AM : Underperform Start Price: $437.01 NFLX Score: -39.81

100 P/E is a bit unreasonable. This isn't a startup, this company has been around for a decade and a half.

It's true that everyone who graduates from college these days has a Netflix streaming subscription and so it's true that the company is growing, but it's silly to expect this company to deliver the kind of growth in the next few years to justify the ridiculous P/E.

The company is sound, but the stock is overvalued. I expect a pullback from here as growth slows.

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Member Avatar youngblood58 (29.26) Submitted: 4/6/2015 5:26:16 PM : Outperform Start Price: $423.48 NFLX Score: +44.38

Still think Netflix original programming is strong and that international expansion will fuel revenue growth over the long haul. $500 price target in the next year.

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Member Avatar Ellisjeff1234 (62.78) Submitted: 4/4/2015 9:01:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $421.08 NFLX Score: +43.98

Outstanding delivery, content, user growth

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Member Avatar davidm9999 (66.04) Submitted: 3/25/2015 11:12:19 AM : Underperform Start Price: $427.93 NFLX Score: -43.09

Big run-up has this media giant over-valued. +plus it is having identity crisis with being a distributor vs. producer (of movies) vs. mail order company

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Member Avatar golf310 (< 20) Submitted: 3/16/2015 12:42:20 PM : Underperform Start Price: $418.80 NFLX Score: -46.05

Tried the free streaming trial this weekend & it was worthless. Continual buffering even though I have 5mbps service. Went online & saw that buffering has been a continual problem wiht the streaming service

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Member Avatar PiDay (22.44) Submitted: 3/16/2015 9:57:29 AM : Underperform Start Price: $424.75 NFLX Score: -43.87

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Member Avatar thumbsUpFool (97.62) Submitted: 3/12/2015 11:14:11 PM : Underperform Start Price: $447.35 NFLX Score: -36.00

I am not a naysayer or a doomsday predictor. This market is in new territory though, and it WILL come down sooner, rather than later. There are two strong predictors of serious crashes and those are the Shiller PE (CAPE) and Warren Buffet's favorite Mkt Cap to GNP. The CAPE goes back further, so let's look at that. There have only been three times before now that the CAPE (price to last 10 yr avg earnings or "Cyclically Adjusted PE) has soared past 25x. The Great Depression, The Dot Com boom, and the Housing Boom. All three times the market plummeted back down. The average 3 yr annualized return following these peaks averages about -19%. High PE and negative PE stocks will be absolutely obliterated, and this is one of those. I am calculating based on historical averages that the likelihood the crash has already begun is 27%. It's still more in the markets favor than not that the climb will continue, but each month that passes will eventually tip that in the other direction. So where are we going? I don't know, I can only go on history, and history does not always repeat itself exactly the same way. I do know though that I have made many successful stock picks based on books I've read and my personal experiences. History was the sole basis of every one of these books and every one of the decisions I made...When will the drop occur? Again, I don't know, I can only guess based on the averages of the amount of time it has taken in the past. In the Great Depression, after the CAPE reached 25, the crash happened within approx 300 days. The market during the dotcom and housing booms started its decline more than 4 years after reaching 25x. It will most likely be somewhere in between but this is one of only 4 data points so many outcomes are possible. I'm thumbsupfool, why the hell am I giving a thumbs down? Because this is a seriously overvalued time. One of the greatest in US market history.

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