Nautilus, Inc. (NYSE:NLS)
The Company is a designer, developer, manufacturer and marketer of branded fitness and apparel products sold under such well-known brand names as Nautilus, Bowflex, Schwinn Fitness, StairMaster, and Pearl Izumi.
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has seen the bottom
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So,what?,Just because they layed off a few folks,do you realy think they want sell another Bowflex? Heck if nothing else they can start selling toilet paper and come back from here,an't that right ma.
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The best fitness products in the history, financially sound, low valuation. What's not to like? They're going to go the NutriSystem route and put a face- football players to their BowFlex products (Brett Favre and Dick Butkus). New management is coming in to fix up operational problems and the company dividend is yielding 5%. You're getting paid to wait for the turn-around.
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Believe Nautilus is approaching full "wash out" stock price level and likely represents good long term value here in the $8.50 range. Sherborne Partners owns a large percentage of shares - activist investor likely to try and shake things up with the stock trading around book value. Likely to earn only 20-30 cents in the second half of 2007, so this one will take time, but seems to represent attractive entry point here. Likely to do no worse than overall market from this point forward.
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The management team of Nautilus is adrift in a sea of confusion and self deception. As a former member of the engineering team, I saw up close and personal the ineptitude and appalling lack of vision the people at the very top of this corporation are capable of. Until an complete and thorough scorched earth policy is implemented at the board room of this company, investors will see an unending stream of blunders, mis-steps and outright scandalous waste of resources resulting in an ever accelerating death spiral of an otherwise good company.
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Everything looks great, and the stock seems to be on sale according to the numbers. One thing that has my attention (will keep a close eye on it), is the negative cash flow rate...
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A sector leader and a great company. "Buy what you know."
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Good Growth Opportunity, And yielding a 4% dividend at it's current price. It's taken a hit, but I estimate it's stock to hit 14.94 to 18.23 in the next 2 years. By then, my dividend will be helping out my caps score out quite nicely.
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Growing affluent market with aging of baby-boomers, good branding & distribution.
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Nautilus in the short term will increase operating margins, increase direct sales, and confirm the buyout of land America in China before June 07. The company has stable management, aggressive marketing campaign, and brand name recognition that will help keep it on the top of competition for the long run. I have a price of $30 before the end of 07 and $40 in mid 08
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Great balance sheet. Improving market
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The manufacturing problems that caused the delay of six new products have now been taken care of; Nautilus has overhauled its manufacturing operations to improve manfacturing efficiency, which has increased margins. Also, operating expenses for 3rd quarter 2006 virtually same as 3rd quarter of 2005.
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