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NutriSystem, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTRI)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

The Company provides weight management and fitness products and services.

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Member Avatar fmahnke (91.51) Submitted: 4/25/2014 10:32:09 AM : Outperform Start Price: $13.86 NTRI Score: +9.34

Nearly 5% dividend growth potential

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Member Avatar clickme999 (71.30) Submitted: 12/21/2013 6:06:02 AM : Underperform Start Price: $16.61 NTRI Score: +11.60

The stocks huge run-up this year isn't supported by its fundamentals or potential. Mangement effectiveness all poor measured by ROA, ROE, ROIC. Price to cash flow is 24.1, way above industry average of 14.1. I'm betting on this stock to underperform next year, the year after, and the next five years. The dividend they are paying is unsustainable.

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Member Avatar rknapton (< 20) Submitted: 8/22/2013 4:35:38 PM : Underperform Start Price: $12.60 NTRI Score: -8.23

Short. Weight management products company is just getting worse and worse for their stock as their revenues are shrinking. Once one of the top performing stock… not its just full of bag holders who will sell on any rally.

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Member Avatar modestus1 (< 20) Submitted: 3/29/2013 10:01:53 AM : Outperform Start Price: $7.95 NTRI Score: +73.19

Income investors would be attracted to the 8.2% dividend. Plus, more Americans are trying to lose weight.

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Member Avatar sunnyspot (36.51) Submitted: 2/4/2012 8:04:59 AM : Underperform Start Price: $9.76 NTRI Score: -16.08

Recent downgrade to neutral is attributed to eroding customer base and desperate attempts to attract clients using profit-consuming sales promotions.

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Member Avatar TMF1000 (99.69) Submitted: 8/5/2011 10:43:01 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.92 NTRI Score: -18.01

They pay a 5.3% dividend. They make enough cash flow to support it. They have $65 million in cash and about $30 million in debt. I just think it is too cheap and should make a good trade

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Member Avatar leohaas (33.49) Submitted: 7/4/2011 1:37:06 PM : Underperform Start Price: $11.63 NTRI Score: +9.80

For two reasons:
1) My wife tried their food. It is horrible, absolutely disgusting. So they get you to lose weight by not eating.
2) They are now running a 50% off special. That can only mean they are desperate for additional revenue. No doubt their profitability will suffer. Companies that are managed by the top line rather than the bottom line are typically on a down swing (LU under Rich McGinn, anybody?).

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Member Avatar trhdawg (45.24) Submitted: 5/17/2011 11:58:38 AM : Outperform Start Price: $11.51 NTRI Score: -9.80

Simple. I have used it before.

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Member Avatar teknologic (< 20) Submitted: 4/1/2011 4:59:27 PM : Outperform Start Price: $15.63 NTRI Score: -48.41

1x - 4/1

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Member Avatar miksong (< 20) Submitted: 3/21/2011 3:39:54 AM : Underperform Start Price: $11.20 NTRI Score: +9.50

Revenues for the company have been falling like a knife over the last several years. The company deals in an industry driven by fads and its fad is clearly over.

New customer starts have fallen like a knife and this has a circular effect on demand later on as much is circulated through word of mouth. Additionally, about 25% of the company's revenues come from previous users that decide to reup. This universe also now decreases.

Sell-side analysts believe that this thing will miraculously turn things around by 2012E for NO reason. It hasnt been able to do this since 2007, but for some reason it will be able to do it now???

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Member Avatar Maribaza (91.05) Submitted: 2/25/2011 1:00:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.39 NTRI Score: -8.82

Caps most down: Huge drop last night when reporting earnings that met expecations. Seems overreaction, expect correction in next few months

Category      Personal Score
Growth Rates %      Low
Price Ratios      High
Profit Margins %      Low
Financial Condition      Very High
Investment Returns %      Very High
Management Efficiency   Very High
Total Score      High

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Member Avatar simori (< 20) Submitted: 11/26/2010 7:30:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $16.68 NTRI Score: -68.90

Low glycemic diet and great cognitive-behavioral model. It's the best weight control/diabetic product on the market.

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Member Avatar SqueezePort (< 20) Submitted: 10/26/2010 5:51:39 PM : Outperform Start Price: $15.55 NTRI Score: -62.99

Short interest: 32% of float

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Member Avatar 21popsontop (< 20) Submitted: 10/4/2010 5:32:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $15.23 NTRI Score: -65.27

pleasures without the baggage

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Member Avatar BrodieMan720 (94.33) Submitted: 9/19/2010 5:15:00 PM : Underperform Start Price: $14.02 NTRI Score: +59.29

My gut just tells me not to go for this one. Huge returns on Assets, Equity and Investments, yet steadily decreasing revenues...Steadily decreasing revenues, yet paying out a dividend...

They have a nice yield, but looking at historical prices, NTRI may have peaked in the mid-2000's. Yes, Americans are obese and they need weight-loss help, but the long-term for NTRI doesn't seem very solid. I did have a friend who tried this product and it did work for a while, but once his body's metabolism got used to portion control, NTRI wouldn't cut it anymore.

I like products that can maintain customers. Not those that rely on always finding new ones, because if they're product was really efficient, in the end no one would need it.

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Member Avatar kevinlar61 (66.57) Submitted: 7/1/2010 3:39:13 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.39 NTRI Score: -102.50

one of the only diet systems that works

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Member Avatar xclusive247 (< 20) Submitted: 5/19/2010 10:42:54 AM : Outperform Start Price: $17.43 NTRI Score: -83.46

OBESE AMERICA! +buyout candidate!

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Member Avatar BuffetsMentor (23.65) Submitted: 4/1/2010 12:49:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.61 NTRI Score: -48.66

1) america needs to get in shape 2) beaten up 3) lots of short interest 4) some insider trading

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Member Avatar Paramnesia1930 (26.08) Submitted: 3/22/2010 10:48:12 PM : Underperform Start Price: $13.77 NTRI Score: +51.56

Depressed job market, debt laden consumers, rising tax burdens, corporate real estate, credit card defaults, and especially housing starts. The latter typically leads normal recoveries.

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Member Avatar PinochleHead (66.38) Submitted: 3/18/2010 2:04:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $13.39 NTRI Score: -47.86

It's cheap right now. They recently beat estimates for the recent quarter, but gave a disappointing outlook for the next quarter. Quarter? Great, in my opinion. This is my evaluation of the present situation. Everybody lost everything from the end of 2007 to March of 2009. They've gotten a lot of it back since then, but most have not recovered what they lost, and the emotional damage from it all is HUGE. Many could barely afford to eat, let alone think about weight loss programs. And they got depressed and fat. NOW, starting to get some money back in their wallets, hating how fat they've gotten eating at McDonalds. I think a lot of people, now that they've got a little bit of money, a fair amount of fat, and a lot of lingering depression, they want to DO something. But what? I know, let's DIET!!! Gonna be a bunch of that, I think, and a lot of the people who'll be doing it are people that have recently discovered the joy (read, economy) of shopping at Walmart. End of story. I'm not only adding NTRI to my CAPS ratings, I'm buying a decent bundle in a long term buy and hold account (oh yeah, and let's not forget a 4.5% dividend), and right now, a double bundle in a short term swing trading account (will buy for the upswing on 3/18).

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