Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

A biopharmaceutical company focused on creating differentiated, value-added vaccines that improve upon current preventive options for a range of infectious diseases.

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Member Avatar ButtSauce (99.33) Submitted: 5/17/2007 4:57:25 PM : Underperform Start Price: $2.90 NVAX Score: +48.46

The pitch sounds great on paper. That said, Leonardo Da Vinci once won a contest to design a machine that could defend an Italian city from naval invasion. His drawing won the contest, and when it came time to build it, he explained it couldn't be built because the screws needed to hold it together were so big that they wouldn't be able to turn the giant wrench needed to puts the screws into place (I am not joking - this really happened). And I'm afraid that what 80% (or more) of these biopharms represent. Awesome idea, but the execution is simply not thought out and too expensive.

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Member Avatar EnglishTeach (65.99) Submitted: 5/11/2007 10:16:56 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.08 NVAX Score: -51.81

Not so much a "Thumbs-up" as a "Hmm, I wonder..."

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Member Avatar serio7 (< 20) Submitted: 4/17/2007 10:46:39 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.10 NVAX Score: -53.90

bird flu is for real and is being covered up by governments that want to prevent hysteria. When a major outbreak is finally reported closer to home then this stock will take off.

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Member Avatar bigjohnson438 (< 20) Submitted: 4/16/2007 11:19:11 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.14 NVAX Score: -54.90

Strictly speculation....bird flue driven.

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Member Avatar MRBIGGIN (44.46) Submitted: 2/14/2007 4:32:55 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.92 NVAX Score: -64.43

Bird Flu is will be found in the USA within the next 2 years!

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Member Avatar NetscribeNanoTch (75.04) Submitted: 1/30/2007 7:31:12 AM : Underperform Start Price: $4.05 NVAX Score: +67.14

Novavax is a biotechnology company engaged in creating pharmaceutical and vaccine products, and licensing them at various stages of development to realize their value. The company, using its proprietary virus-like particle and Novasome adjuvant technologies, is developing vaccines to protect against H5N1 pandemic influenza, seasonal flu, and other viral diseases. The company has transitioned from focusing on developing a pipeline of women's health pharmaceuticals to conducting research and development on proprietary formulations of FDA-approved drugs and on next-generation vaccines and biological for a variety of infectious diseases.

The company has been reporting a decline in revenues since the last five years. Continuing with the same, it witnessed a rough operating environment in 2006, which is expected to continue in 2007 also. For the past eighteen months the company was eying on avian flu pandemic to accelerate its entry into the flu vaccine market. But it did not materialize as the US government has issued the contracts to pharma majors GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis and Iomai. This shows that despite of the proclamations of its vaccine technology leadership, it has been unable to attract government funding for its bird flu programs.

The company is not expected to benefit form any other new contracts because most of the major initiatives on pandemic preparedness have already been funded and the value of any remaining contracts will be nominal. Additionally, Novavax is considered to be a Bird Flu Stock, and the investor’s interest in this stock tends to decline as the flu season ends in March. Backing on this fact it is expected that the company’s stock will trade at a lower range in the coming months.

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Member Avatar bobbyrocks (27.85) Submitted: 1/19/2007 6:30:34 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.98 NVAX Score: -66.46

avain flu

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Member Avatar kahuna7945 (< 20) Submitted: 12/8/2006 4:55:35 PM : Outperform Start Price: $4.94 NVAX Score: -73.43

upcoming flu season

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Member Avatar grannystocks (85.51) Submitted: 11/14/2006 12:02:26 AM : Outperform Start Price: $4.90 NVAX Score: -74.98

Developing ways of making vaccine without the old fashioned and slow method of using eggs. Will allow large quantities of vaccine to be quickly created and will allow for quick reconfiguration as flu mutates. Receiving a lot of government money and support, working with the CDC, bird flu is breaking out in Indonesia again.... Also makes a vaccine for cervical cancer.

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Member Avatar dhgates (< 20) Submitted: 10/5/2006 9:55:27 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.85 NVAX Score: -70.96

This pick is contingent upon NVAX's avian flu research success. If it passes it's clinical tests and can be sent into the marketplace, it should rise quickly. If not, stagnation or more drops are likey.

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Member Avatar matavat (< 20) Submitted: 9/26/2006 8:27:46 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.73 NVAX Score: -71.15

exceptional products!! a good buy-out candidate [SGC is looking]

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Member Avatar martin7548 (< 20) Submitted: 8/24/2006 12:36:33 AM : Outperform Start Price: $3.87 NVAX Score: -75.44

Tied to concerns over the flu. Se what this flu season brings.

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