NVR, Inc. (NVR)
The Company's primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings.
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Shorting all almost all Household goods (durables) and all home-builders. with high unemployment, how do you expect people to buy houses or hold onto their mortgages? Because of tax credit, numbers are looking decent, but we'll be back to normal in no time... Short this !!!
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Housing market is going down
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"Exhibit A would be the fact that the average new home has been on the market for 12.9 months. Exhibit B is that we have about 2-3 years of existing home sales just to absorb the vacancies that exist. According to T2, about 6% of all homes built this decade are vacant.
Exhibit C is that the home builders themselves have too much debt and too much inventory relative to their thin equity cushions. The home builders are in the position of trying to hold up a bowling ball with a sheet of paper...in the rain.
Lastly, the home builder stocks are almost universally expensive on a price-to-book basis." (NVR, SPF and KBH have the highest )
- quoted from The Daily Reckoning newsletter 11/5/09
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Still over-inflated... looking for a 10-15% leg down in the next few months.
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per floridabuilder
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I set a screen with the following: Greater than 15% 13 week price change, $10 cash per share or more, greater than 15% institutional ownership, and EPS of $5 or more. The idea was to look for companies that are in acquisition mode (or targets thereof).
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specbear
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This is a no brainer.
NVR is near it's 52 week high in THIS economy!?!? It's laughable. This slimy t u r d of a stock is about to get flushed.
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$350 or less
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Shorting all the 1 star home builders I have room for.
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I LIKE IT BECAUSE ITS A COOL COMPANY AND ITS A HIGH PRICED ONE I WANT IT TO GO UP A TON PLZ
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Homebuilding business. Insider selling. Stock is only down about the same as the overall market, which means there is likely more room to run (on the downside).
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Big insider selling.
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Housing construction will continue to "flat line" as price adjustments for this over inflated sector look for a bottom. Don't look at the stimulus plan as a remedy. The world economy will compel the US to accept a lower standard of living. This means lower wages that can only support lower home prices.
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INSIDER SELLING
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How low can you go? Housing industry hasn't hit bottom yet.
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If you are red thumbing NVR because you hate all builders red thumb away. If you are red thumbing NVR because you think the company is in trouble or is not run well.... you are barking up the wrong tree.
NVR is best in class in the industry. Don't bite into the only apple with a worm in it.
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Obama will build a BIGGER federal government.....
NVR will build and sell the "new guys" there houses.....
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This has to be the best stock in the market right now!!!! the best stock to SHORT!

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